Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

The Hill: Don't believe the polls — Trump is winning
The Hill ^ | 10/27/2020 | Jonathan Jakubowski & Christos A. Makridis

Posted on 10/28/2020 8:27:01 AM PDT by BenghaziMemoriam

We predict that President Trump is going to win
the 2020 presidential election — and win big.

While the majority of the polls suggest that
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is
leading, or at best that it’s close, those polls
suffer from at least three problems.

First, the tone of the questions. There is
significant evidence from behavioral psychology
that suggests that the way a question is framed
predetermines the range of potential answers...

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: redwave; trump; winning
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-72 next last
A fairly good analysis.
1 posted on 10/28/2020 8:27:01 AM PDT by BenghaziMemoriam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

In the Hill?!?!? Man, these two are going to get canned.


2 posted on 10/28/2020 8:30:24 AM PDT by FlipWilson
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

Vote fraud will carry the day for Biden


3 posted on 10/28/2020 8:30:30 AM PDT by wny
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

Joe will have to rub his own hairy legs


4 posted on 10/28/2020 8:30:33 AM PDT by butlerweave
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

They have your phone number which means they find you.
When there is so much persecution of Trump supporters, why would anyone admit it to a pollster?


5 posted on 10/28/2020 8:31:15 AM PDT by Little Ray (The Left and Right no longer have anything in common. A House divided against itself cannot stand.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

Let’s keep in mind this is an editorial....


6 posted on 10/28/2020 8:31:19 AM PDT by ealgeone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

7 posted on 10/28/2020 8:32:51 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Joe Biden: Barack Obama minus the pretty talk.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: butlerweave

Trump needs to win by 100,000 votes or they will steal it....Maybe Phliy will riot on Election Day and everyone will stay home..


8 posted on 10/28/2020 8:33:53 AM PDT by Hojczyk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: ealgeone

So?
It’s from The Hill. They are anti Trump. That gives it even more significance.


9 posted on 10/28/2020 8:35:46 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: wny
Maybe not. No doubt they are going to try very hard, However, it's not a given that they will be successful.

Make sure you go out and vote, and not succumb to the notion that their cheating will result in a Biden win.

10 posted on 10/28/2020 8:37:11 AM PDT by Robert DeLong
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: wny

Trump will WIN. His supporters will make sure of it.
There’s NO WAY a candidate who can’t find any supporters and who doesn’t even know who he’s running against is going to win.
That’s not to mention the fact that he’s going to jail.
Well, I suppose that he could live in his basement jail with an ankle bracelet.


11 posted on 10/28/2020 8:39:04 AM PDT by doc maverick
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

I wonder which blue states go for Trump?


12 posted on 10/28/2020 8:39:47 AM PDT by rdl6989
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

The Harris Survey

For Release: Monday k~, January 24th, 1983 1983 #7
ISSN 0273-1037
MONDALE LEADS REAGAN IN TRIAL HEAT FOR THE PRESIDENCY

By Louis Harris

In a trial heat for the 1984 presidential election, former Vice President Walter Mondale is now leading President Ronald Reagan by a 53-44 percent margin. This is the first time in modern political history that an incumbent president has run behind his potential opponent so early in his term. Last April, Mondale and Reagan finished in a 48-48 percent dead heat.

This latest Harris Survey, taken by telephone between January 2nd and 5th among a cross section of 891 likely voters screened from a larger cross section of 1,254 adults nationwide, amply demonstrates just how much President Reagan has slipped. Indeed, not only has the President fallen behind among those Democratic groups where he made a strong showing in 1980, but also he is experiencing some major losses in his 1980 majority base:

—Regionally, the most decisive shifts have taken place in the Midwest, traditionally Republican, and in the West, previously viewed as Reagan country. The President now trails Mondale in the West by 56-41 percent, a complete turnaround from the 53-37 percent margin by which he swept that region in 1980. In the Midwest, Mondale now leads by 53-43 percent, another big shift from the 49-40 percent margin the President held in the last election. In the East, where Reagan won a narrow 45-42 percent plurality in 1980, he is now behind Mondale by 12 points, 54-42 percent. The South is the only region where the results are close: Mondale now holds a narrow 49-48 percent edge in the region where Reagan had a 50-44 percent plurality in 1980.

—A startling change has occurred in the suburbs, where Mondale now leads Reagan by 50-46 percent. The President won the suburbs in a three-way race in 1980 by a decisive 50-39 percent. It is virtually impossible for any Republican to win the White House without winning the suburban vote by at least 8 points. In the traditionally Demo­ cratic big cities, Mondale holds a commanding 63-35 percent majority, dramatically better than the 47-42 percent plurality held by Jimmy Carter in 1980. Among rural voters, Reagan and Mondale are tied at 49 percent. In the small towns, however, the President is holding on to a 51-42 percent lead.

—By political philosophy, President Reagan wins among conservatives by 59-38 percent, but this is still well below the 67-28 percent majority he held in 1980.

Among middle of the road voters, a group Reagan carried by 47-41 percent in the last presidential election, he now trails Mondale by 53-43 percent. Liberals prefer Mondale, not unexpectedly, by 79-20 percent. Most significant now is the fact that any moderate to conservative coalition seems to have disappeared, as conservatives have isolated them­ selves from the broad middle of the electorate.
—Among men, Reagan wins by 52-46 percent; among women, Mondale soars to a 58-37 percent lead. If the election had been held this month, Mondale would owe his victory to the strong anti-Reagan sentiments of women.

—Among union members, Mondale defeats Reagan by 60-37 percent, a 23 point margin, close to a normal Democratic majority. In 1980, Reagan lost the union vote by only 9 points in a three-way race, 51-40 percent.

—As expected, the President would win the Republican vote, but his current 79-16 percent margin is considerably lower than the 85-9 percent by which he won that vote in the last election. Mondale sweeps the Democratic vote by 82-17 percent, a much stronger showing than the 69-23 percent held by Carter in 1980. Among political independents,


13 posted on 10/28/2020 8:40:58 AM PDT by Triple (Socialism denies people the right to the fruits of their labor, and is as abhorrent as slavery)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

I think Trump is ahead in Pennsylvania.

However, I think the dem machine in Philly will “find” a lot of votes.

This is the state I am most nervous about and clearly the Trump campaign agrees.


14 posted on 10/28/2020 8:41:29 AM PDT by volunbeer (Find the truth and accept it - anything else is delusional)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: FlipWilson

In other news a snowball fight is scheduled in hell this afternoon at 3.
There are reporters out there with at least a modicum of intergrity and desire to report the truth. They’re not very popular though, and these writers should be boning up on how to code.


15 posted on 10/28/2020 8:41:33 AM PDT by j.havenfarm ( Beginning my 20th year on FR! 2,500+ replies and still not shutting up!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

I’ve never been Paul but I can tell you for a fact I would live through my teeth if I ever did get polled and tell him the opposite

Couple that Trump chicanery along with the fact that many people don’t want to admit that they like trump because they don’t want their car keyed for other bad things to happen and there you go

Finally you have a disgusting display by the media , who could never ever say anything good about President Trump

and even Democrats even liberals must realize that this is very dangerous for America to have completely one-sided media even if it’s on your side


16 posted on 10/28/2020 8:41:48 AM PDT by Truthoverpower (The guv-mint you get is the Trump winning express ! Yea haw ! Trump Pence II! Save America again)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

The other 2 of the 3 reasons:

“Second, the sample of respondents.
...
Third, the content of the current news cycle. “


17 posted on 10/28/2020 8:41:48 AM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57 returning after lurking since 2000)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

WHO will ‘stand in the gap today’?? Will YOU Freeper???

5 days to SAVE OUR REPUBLIC..

Please Freeper Christian brother and sister...PRAY RIGHT NOW...STOP what you are doing..kneel down and ask God in the name of Jesus to ‘restore America’ and protect President Trump.

Please, please....Do It NOW...

... prayer IS the most powerful HOPE for our Republic...
Please ...... PRAY RIGHT NOW...

“humble yourself’

You must overcome your flesh to pray saints....do it now. STOP whatever you are doing and PRAY....the longest trip you take is the one to your knees before God eternal.

May God Bless America.

I will repost this MOST critical post ‘repeatedly’ from now until the election. Pray that we all truly begin to pray.

Your brother, in the love of Jesus, RevelationDavid

**********************

2 Chronicles 7:14 (NIV)

If my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land.

**********************

2 Cor 10:3-6

For though we walk in the flesh, we do not war after the flesh: 4(For the weapons of our warfare are not carnal, but mighty through God to the pulling down of strong holds;) 5Casting down imaginations, and every high thing that exalteth itself against the knowledge of God, and bringing into captivity every thought to the obedience of Christ; 6And having in a readiness to revenge all disobedience, when your obedience is fulfilled.

*********************

Ephesians 6:12 KJV

For we wrestle not against flesh and blood, but against principalities, against powers, against the rulers of the darkness of this world, against spiritual wickedness in high places.


18 posted on 10/28/2020 8:43:15 AM PDT by RevelationDavid (Don't just 'know about God'...... KNOW GOD....!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam
Great campaign ad for POTUS...just click on the first directional panel.....

(video)

19 posted on 10/28/2020 8:43:21 AM PDT by yoe (President Trump works for We The People - not China as Biden has and will.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenghaziMemoriam

Over the next Seven Days, leave it all on the field. The enemy uses fear to decrease our hope and limit our victories. Patriots & Freedom will be victorious (ISAIAH 43:1 ... “you are Mine”)@lofly727 pic.twitter.com/nyomuHREMP— General Flynn (@GenFlynn) October 28, 2020


20 posted on 10/28/2020 8:43:22 AM PDT by Miss Didi ("After all...tomorrow is another day." Scarlett O'Hara, Gone with the Wind)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-72 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson