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To: Fai Mao

They’re listed right here on FRee Republic this morning.


14 posted on 10/28/2020 7:09:47 AM PDT by nikos1121
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To: nikos1121

The ABC WP poll, and most others that appear t RCP and on TV are, as has been discussed here many times, garbage.

They assumes something like a +9 Democrat turn out and that 95% of democrats will vote for Biden but only 75% of republicans will vote for Trump.

The real fact is that Trump is getting something close to 30% of the democratic vote and 90+% of the Republican vote and that more republicans are voting than democrats due to an enthusiasm gap.

Even leftwing “pundits” are beginning to say the polls are wrong
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3898257/posts.

The polls that have been more accurate show Trump trending up and have him tied or leading.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3898935/posts

The numbers in the poll do not correlate with things like Trump being supported by 24% of blacks in Philadelphia
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3898363/posts

And at 52% approval rating would he be 12 poionts behind?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3898935/posts

From about about a week ago Freeper Darth Vader posted internal polls used by the RNC. Trump’s campaigning for coat tails.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3897097/posts

Post 26 from that thread
_______________________________________
Here are the real world numbers! I just got these latest numbers two days ago from my friend who is friends with the independent pollster who is one of the best. See the FLA number:

NJ Trump 45 Biden 48
NM Trump 45 Biden 46
OR Trump 46 Biden 47
NV Trump 49 Biden 46
CO Trump 47 Biden 47
WI Trump 50 Biden 45
NH Trump 49 Biden 46
ME Trump 48 Biden 46
VA Trump 47 Biden 47
PA Trump 50 Biden 45
MN Trump 47 Biden 44
AZ Trump 50 Biden 45
MI Trump 50 Biden 44
FLA Trump 52 Biden 44
TX Trump 54 Biden 42
NC Trump 53 Biden 43
OH Trump 53 Biden 41
IA Trump 54 Biden 41

National Poll: At least 100 people in each Congressional District have been polled Almost 44 to 50 thousand respondents

Trump 51.2 Biden 44.4
____________________________________________

These numbers are now two weeks old and some of the states Trump was slightly behind in he will now be tied or slightly ahead.
Vote like Trump is behind, but realize we are looking at a 1968 level landslide for Trump.


20 posted on 10/28/2020 7:36:40 AM PDT by Fai Mao (There is no justice until PIAPPS is hanging from a gallows.)
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