Posted on 10/28/2020 6:30:07 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Florida Update:
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 620,908
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 374,996
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 245,912
not great news REP EV + 78% of what is was yesterday at this time
todays 1:15 update Rep EV off yesterdays pace but being offset some by less Dem mail in gains
Rep EV +24,976
Dem Mail +862
Net Rep +24,114
I redid my numbers from my starting point which was on that website this morning (373,008 R lead EV, 619,414 D lead mail, 246,406 total D lead)
1:15 update
EV REP +26,964
dem mail +2356
Net REP + 24,608
“Riots in Philadelphia.”
Except for Wharton, is there anything in Philly worth saving?
Ok there is The Bell and Independence Hall too.
“IF R wins Maricopa (after all votes counted), doesn’t that mean Trump wins AZ?”
No. Maricopa county is republican. Trump won it by a small margin in 2016 but other Republicans carried Maricopa by a large margin. Went for Sinema in 2018 but McSally sucks as a candidate and I suspect Sinema was partially a protest vote by squishy wealthy women who don’t like Trump’s tone.
Trump could lose Maricopa slightly and still win, or win Maricopa and still lose - IF liberal Tucson and Flagstaff turn out.
via JoeIsDone website...
10:15 today - D’s led by ~239k
1:30 today - D’s lead by ~220k
-20k in just north of 3 hours, trending good. Polls are open till 6pm.
oops, for Florida
, trending good.
Yes but we are behind yesterdays pace(a +55Kish day) and Panhandle polls close at 3pm central today because of the hurricane
my goal was +48K today
may be closer to +45K
“Lower air quality in some Chinese cities points to iPhone 12 production surge, Morgan Stanley says”
Every analyst wants an edge.
Yeah, Baris practically called Fauci a lying hack the way he is interfering on behalf of Maderna.
“Trump wins every 2016 state by a bigger margin than 16; will add MN and NH or NV. Long shot wins: VA, NM and whichever of MN or NH he doesn’t win.“
If I am interpreting that correctly, the numbers would be:
Trump’s 2016 states: 306
+MN +10 = 316
+NH +4 = 320
or +NV +6 = 322
Long shots
+VA +13 = 333 or 335
+NM +5 = 338 or 340
+NV or NH +6 or +4 = 344
IPEV broke 400k
401,753
Hooray for our side!
I’ll take a 45k gain today
I just remember that it was very fishy.
yep, good to see...hoping to break below the 200k overall D lead today as well.
Yep.
Rs net gain has been 25k per day on average over the 9 days of IPEV. So, I’m happy with anything over that.
I’ll take a 45k gain today
Yep a nice gain. I suspect Tuesday was our MAX net gain day this week, today and tomorrow 45k-50k days, and Friday lower.
Even though the panhandle polls close at 4 pm eastern, I suspect today, and especially now as the first bands of Zeta are about to move in, polls were dead as people hunkered down
It will be interesting to see the totals compared to yesterday and how much that was a factor for the daily Rep. EV lead
I dunno. Maybe the police HQ is worth saving.
“Florida, known for its voting flubs and hanging chads since an excruciating recount in the 2000 presidential contest, has remade itself into a model of election efficiency for the Covid era of mail-in voting.
Votes cast at early-voting sites or via the mail there are already being loaded into counting equipment and most will have been tabulated as Election Day begins on Nov. 3. Computers are primed to spit out results almost as soon as polls close at 7 p.m.”
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