Florida Early Voting Update (10/26): Democrats lead cut to 304k. Republicans up 309k in person early voting.

Joe is Done ^

[springwater13]

This is as of 5:30PM and does not include Miami-Dade or Sarasota. It is very likely the Democrats lead will be well under 300k at the close of business today. It is possible we will be ahead of the early vote by Sunday at this pace which would be incredible. Looking like we could be winning Florida by more than 2 or 3 points if this turnout keeps up.

Today was an exceptionally strong turnout day shaving off 50,000 votes off of the Democrat's lead.

We are within 300 votes of flipping democrat stronghold Palm Beach red in in person early voting.

The main weaknesses remain in Jacksonville and Orlando metro areas. The early vote is weaker than I would like to see. If you are in Florida, VOTE EARLY! There's no reason to wait till November 3rd. The President voted early in Florida Saturday. Early vote in Florida is safe and secure.

[Jess Kitting]

Florida Early Voting Update (10/26): Democrats lead cut to 304k.

304K? That is still a huge lead.

[ConservativeInPA]

We are within 300 votes of flipping democrat stronghold Palm Beach red in in person.

Rush Limbaugh needs to get all his friends in Palm Beach to vote Trump.

[babble-on]

Looking too closely at early voting trends is a mug’s game. We don’t know whom they’re voting for, for one thing.

[dp0622]

boy this turned my frown upside down

well, more like a sinister sneer

but someone KEEPS saying if we go into election day with dems under 300k lead we should be good

under 200k very good

and they said we should gain every day going forward

so this is great

i had planned on voting on election day and taking the old folks of the family with me

i’m beginning not to trust the “surge” in nyc again.

and YES our votes count this time because max (vomit) rose is VERY beatable in this district

plus the votes go towards the meaningless popular vote but it means something to dems and i don’t want to hear it again

[springwater13]

Democrats have a 613k lead in mail-in ballots. Republicans cut that lead in half in one week of early voting. They can eliminate and gain the lead this week in early voting.

Then Republicans will dominate what is left on election day as Democrats voters will be all spent and too afraid to head to the polls because of covid.

[dp0622]

is it more likely Rs are voting for Ds or vice versa.

You comment doesn’t hold much water since 30 percent of Trump’s rallies are non Rs

i know of NO Rs, not one, who are switching to biden

I really just posted this because i wanted to use the phrase “doesn’t hold much water” AND because someone always has to turn a positive thread into a negative

even if a point is semi valid, i think some people just get off on depressing FReepers or at least never letting them feel good

i have no idea why.

maybe misery loves company

[coaster123]

GO TRUMP!!

[rwilson99]

Not compared to 2016.

[hollywood12345]

No because remember the Democrats use up a lot of the super voters on the mail in ballots so the Democrats have a deficit of 100,000 super voters...And the Republicans have a surplus of about 200,000 super voters... The Democrats are eating into their election day.

[PermaRag]

In addition to that, this particular guessing game appears to omit independents entirely which is tantamount to assuming they break evenly for both candidates; do they really? The bottom line is that there’s a whole lot of unprovable assumptions being built into calculations that presume to forecast things down to the decimal-point level.

But it’s all we’ve got at this point, unless you want to rely on biased, left wing media/university polling and NOBODY here wants that.

[DarthVader]

It was much larger in 2016 about 600K

[tallyhoe]

I didn’t know when you walk into polling place you ask for Democratic ballot or Republican ballot! I thought they were just ballots!

[DMD13]

That may be true but the Democrats need a 650K lead to overcome the Republicans election day edge.

[tallyhoe]

I wouldn’t vote for Biden for mud puddle watcher!!!

[edwinland]

Superb map. Well done. Thanks for posting.

[PermaRag]

“I didn’t know when you walk into polling place you ask for Democratic ballot or Republican ballot! I thought they were just ballots!”

Florida has party registration, so the party of the ballot requester is known and doesn’t have to be assumed. Same for North Carolina and about 25 other states.

In states where there is no party registration, e.g. Texas, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Georgia, Virginia and many more, people are making assumptions based on some Democrat company’s data as to which party ballot requesters and early voters belong to. If that doesn’t strike you as overly reliable, you’re not alone.

[babble-on]

Election day is in a week. I can wait that long, maybe a little longer, to find out who wins.

[SunkenCiv]

• Schweikart: What to Watch for on Election Night

[nbenyo]

“In states where there is no party registration, e.g. Texas, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Georgia, Virginia and many more, people are making assumptions based on some Democrat company’s data as to which party ballot requesters and early voters belong to. If that doesn’t strike you as overly reliable, you’re not alone.”

Correct. Some company tried to do this for Texas in 2018 and grossly overestimated GOP turnout. That year, Ted Cruz barely held off Beto, and Dems gained 2 US House seats and 12 Texas House seats.