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To: byecomey

UNF has bad history ask Rich Baris!! They had Gillum and Nelson winning. Rich does not give them much credence!


236 posted on 10/21/2020 7:59:05 PM PDT by floridalife68 (Love FL and FL Politics)
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To: floridalife68; bort; LS; Coop; Ravi; SpeedyInTexas

Good, because I just did a deep dive and found that their data doesn’t match up to reality.

But we’re all here because we like tea leaf reading, so I did my best with it.

I’m not linking this from the main website. But here’s my analysis and attempt at deriving a magic number on my own.
https://github.com/joeisdone/joeisdone.github.io/blob/master/FloridaPrediction.md

TL;DR - ~500K combined IPEV + VBM lead assuming 2016 turnouts. And “Advantage Biden +8” or better on the Florida EV website (all EV, not just the default IPEV view) is good for us.


239 posted on 10/21/2020 9:58:18 PM PDT by byecomey
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