Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

How U.S. polls got it wrong in 2016 — and why they're more likely to get it right this time
CBC News ^ | 10/17/20 | Eric Grenier

Posted on 10/17/2020 8:49:24 AM PDT by mkleesma

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-62 next last
Thought everyone could use a good laugh this morning.
1 posted on 10/17/2020 8:49:24 AM PDT by mkleesma
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: mkleesma
.. they're more likely to get it right this time

             

2 posted on 10/17/2020 8:51:49 AM PDT by tomkat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

If the National Popular Vote doesn’t win the Election, why poll for it?


3 posted on 10/17/2020 8:52:27 AM PDT by Paladin2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

They got it wrong last time by way oversampling Dems. And so they’re fixing it this year by...massively oversampling Dems.

I saw a poll last week whose internals had a +20 Dem sampling. No way that is an accurate representation of the population anywhere outside of CA and NY.


4 posted on 10/17/2020 8:52:29 AM PDT by kevao (BIBLICAL JESUS: Give your money to the poor. SOCIALIST JESUS: Give your neighbor's money to the poor)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Paladin2

If I owned a polling firm, I wouldn’t do national polls.


5 posted on 10/17/2020 8:53:48 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
6 posted on 10/17/2020 8:54:21 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

Thought everyone could use a good laugh this morning.

Thanks, but the real laughs will begin on Nov. 4th when the landslide is bigger than expected.......oh how I hate the left........


7 posted on 10/17/2020 8:55:35 AM PDT by Dawgreg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

Thought everyone could use a good laugh this morning.

Thanks, but the real laughs will begin on Nov. 4th when the landslide is bigger than expected.......oh how I hate the left........


8 posted on 10/17/2020 8:55:36 AM PDT by Dawgreg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

SeeBS “News”


9 posted on 10/17/2020 8:56:06 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("Elections have consequences. We won, you lost. Get over it." --Barack Hussein Obama)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

the formula doesn’t work anymore because nobody has land lines anymore, it is much harder to pick out people in certain areas. I have a cell phone with a Newark Number but I live 50 miles from it in a rural area. I never answer unknown or non saved numbers. Many people do this

They say they do it online now but that is even harder since IP address location can easily be spoofed or just plain wrong. My IP address says I am from Atco NJ or Lakewood, but I am far from those places.

This is why polling is pretty much garbage right now.


10 posted on 10/17/2020 8:56:20 AM PDT by Trump.Deplorable
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

On election day the NYT predicted that Clinton had a 96 percent chance of being president Trump only 2 percent.

After the election, the NYT had an editorial apologizing for getting the election coverage so wrong. They would take some time for quiet reflection to see what they mmissed.

Within a week their “quiet self-reflection” concluded that where they went wrong is that they hadn’t attacked Trump enough in 2015-2016, the rest is history.


11 posted on 10/17/2020 8:56:23 AM PDT by euram
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

They didn’t get it wrong. THE Russians stole it...oh, are we not running with thT anymore? Tough to keep up


12 posted on 10/17/2020 8:57:12 AM PDT by wiseprince
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

They’re getting it right this time by oversampling urban NeverTrump Republicans.


13 posted on 10/17/2020 8:58:03 AM PDT by conservative98
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

It’s a Canadian publication. Thanks for participating, Canada. Now, there’s the door. Go home and get ready for your snow season.


14 posted on 10/17/2020 8:58:30 AM PDT by chuckee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

15 posted on 10/17/2020 9:01:03 AM PDT by Scooter100
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma
As I see it, we need to fight as if we're losing, but don't let the polls and negative reporting convince us to give up.

About the popular vote, nothing will convince me that fraud in blue states didn't account for that.

16 posted on 10/17/2020 9:01:55 AM PDT by TwelveOfTwenty (Prayers for our country and President Trump)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma
I heartily support U.S. Poles.


17 posted on 10/17/2020 9:04:30 AM PDT by Rebelbase
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: euram

The reason the polls were wrong was because the evil Russkies poisoned the bodily fluids of the pollsters.

Reliable sources have told Commie Brainwashing System that Putin congratulated his spies on their 2016 victory and ordered them to do it again this year!:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1KvgtEnABY

;-)


18 posted on 10/17/2020 9:05:13 AM PDT by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma
The Commie Pinko Canadian Broadcorping Castration. In the bag for progressives, leftists and the globalist cabal since....well, since forever.

Yes Sir, the CBC: a festering dunghill of horse$hit and old Arts Center tickets.

19 posted on 10/17/2020 9:06:45 AM PDT by Scooter100
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mkleesma

“In Texas, Trump is ahead by only 0.9 points. In 2016, Clinton was behind in Texas by nearly 12 points.”

This part is a real howler. IIRC, back in September of 2016, the Media Party talked of Hillary even winning Texas. So now they say Trump had this 12 point lead in that state. How this current 0.9 number could ever be accurate when you get out of the urban areas of Austin, DFW, and Houston is beyond me.


20 posted on 10/17/2020 9:07:35 AM PDT by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-62 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson