A close colleague/friend who is a dem told me that over a month ago he was told by someone in the Biden campaign that Biden’s internals did not show that big of a lead, at the same time the polls had him up by 10+. It was about the time Joe came out of the basement.
Joe’s up - maybe by 4 or 5 nationally, but I doubt by more, and I expect it to close by Nov 3. The key is turnout. The dems seem to be doing well, altho someone here posted that, at least in Texas, those who are voting now are the same ones who voted last time and in the ‘20 primaries.
Trump must do well in the debates, not by attacking Biden, but by pointing out all the good he has done in just four years - and he has been a very consequential President. Above all, it must not be a repeat of last time, which was frankly barely watchable.
Let others attack Hunter.
In Texas they do require a picture ID for voting in person, and the gov limited ballot “drop boxes” to one per county. Plus Texas is not going to vote for a energy-job-killing demented leftist. But they chant “Texas Blue” every election.
Two things.
Debates in my view make very little difference unless a candidate does something really bad.
Early votes mean nothing and that goes double for this year given the public paranoia about the china virus. Whether one votes Oct 15th or Nov 3rd it only counts as 1 vote.