The upward swing can be seen in virtually all European countries (France, Germany, Italy, Czech, etc).
I would attribute it to three factors: (1) Warmer period dissipated cough ‘droplets’ in the air quicker, and we’ve entered the fall period where it lays in the air or on surfaces longer. (2) More in-door drinking/eating going on, than in out-door activities in the summer period...so ‘droplets’ get spread more easily in the structures. (3) Finally, lot of young people have said ‘what-the-heck’ gone to secret parties instead of all this regulated stuff, and early curfews being enforced on clubs/pubs.
I should note too...everyone is testing five to ten times more than they did in March/April.
I can say since day one (Feb period), in my local German town (Wiesbaden), the infection rate is started back up. 290k population, and only 24 deaths. I should note too...we hit some peak in June where the deaths just halted around 22, and stayed there for roughly three months before starting up again. Most all of these attribute to people over the age of seventy, and having secondary health issues.
One other factor...flu season has started up. No science behind it or factual data, but you have to wonder if you got a bit of flu and Covid at the same time...your immune system probably would be terribly taxed to handle both.
“290k population, and only 24 death” — that’s over 80 deaths per million
Agreed. I’m literally in a different country almost weekly. Poland, Germany, The Netherlands, Switzerland, Italy, Croatia, Czech Republic, Romania just in the past three months... Lol!
My anecdotal evidence is always it’s noting like what the media portrays. Two months ago when I was in Poznan Poland the US media was saying that the streets were empty and everyone was fearful of the second COVID wave. Not even close in person!
But I am curious what this fall will look like. I just keep taking my vitamin C and Zinc and hope for the best. Oh and I’m tested almost weekly.