The Karma-kaze of the Democrats... Lovely! (Larry Schweikart Twitter Thread)

Twitter ^ | 10/14/2020 | By Larry Schweikart

[Lazamataz]

1. I know many of you have heard this over and over, but let me review the current state of the races:
   
   
2. Using the China Virus as a smokescreen, about six months ago the DemoKKKrats planned a scheme to steal the presidency through "late" vote counts after the election.
   
   
3. The process would work like this: step one was to terrify DemoKKKrat voters with the likelihood of infection if they voted in person. Step two was to get voters to begin submitting ballots by mail (VBM). Step three was to get the states to go along with "late counting" virtually in perpetuity. Or, more accurately, "count til you win."
   
   
4. Either because of this strategy or because of Demented Perv Biteme's incredible incompetence, his campaign whiffed on the GOTV in person effort.
   
   
5. It was reported they didn't even set up a campaign office in MN until AUGUST!!
   
   
6. Although it's doubtful (and I still don't think they figured this out), it's also possible they knew the closed college campuses would become a MAJOR shortfall (my #s suggest 1-1.5m Ds nationally will be missing due to closed universities). So they "could" have also been trying to get the "Yuts" out early.
   
   
7. Likewise, it's not clear that they understood the results of their own lockdowns would mean no "souls to the polls," a MAJOR early in-person vote machine in Ohio, North Carolina, Texas, Florida, Georgia, and elsewhere. Now that's gone faster than a new season's Dallas Cowboy championship hopes.
   
   
8. Even before the VBM strategy began to get off the ground, Republicans were taking the "late counts" to court and slapping them down in state after state. (I think the record is Rs have won 7/8 so far. However, because some of the rulings were by battling federal courts we are headed for a Supreme Court resolution, which is all the more important because ACB WILL, repeat, WILL be confirmed in the next 10 days. The GOP needs to stall some appeals long enough to ensure a 6-member majority USSC hears these cases.
   
   
9. Suddenly, the "long count" strategy was totally squelched.
   
   
10. It's humorous that the Hoax Media still hasn't figured this out. They still think the election won't "be decided" on election night.
    
    
11. In fact, the panic associated with in person voting means that the DemoKKKrats will be completely voted out in many cases on election day. In other words they did such a good job of terrifying their base they insured the number of late ballots will now be miniscule. Certainly it won't be enough to shift the election day results.
    
    
12. So it's not clear to me that they understand that they have both shot themselves in the foot for being able to pivot to ED---won't happen---but they also shot themselves in the foot for having post-election day ballots trickling in.
    
    
13. Or is it? Do they now suspect what is about to hit them? They are already seeing in NC data, in TargetSmart modeling (if you trust any model after the China Virus) of MI and other states that the black vote is DOWN 4-6%. (This is ON TOP of a 3% shortfall in 2016.)
    
    
14. Then you have to realize that of the remaining 94-96% of blacks who HAVE voted, as much as 15% of them (some say more) will be voting for Trump!
    
    
15. Finally, the VBM scheme, to work, MUST turnout 2016 levels among students---then beat it by a good 30% to compensate for the absence of on-campus students to be mobilized and herded to vote on Election Day.
    
    
16. Please show me: can ANYONE find me one set of VBMs where the "Yuts" are outperforming 2016 by 30%?
    
    
17. In sum, the DemoKKKrats rolled the dice on a bad strategy that has become worse with GOP court victories then stupidly ignored the effects of their own China Virus scare policies.
    
    
18. As Sam Elliot as Gen Burford says in the movie "Gettysburg," . . .
    
    "Lovely."

[Bonemaker]

Very, very well done. Not a dry eye in the house. RIP dear people.

[Disestablishmentarian]

Great stuff, LS.

Do not doubt it: You are performing a valuable service for your country with your independent (of the polls) election analysis.

[little jeremiah]

Larry is very very good about the topic of elections. He was accurate the last two elections.

[little jeremiah]

It’s not just another election.

[thingumbob]

Mark.

[GOPJ]

In fact, the panic associated with in person voting means that the DemoKKKrats will be completely voted out in many cases on election day. In other words they did such a good job of terrifying their base they insured the number of late ballots will now be miniscule. Certainly it won't be enough to shift the election day results.

LS has a way of 'putting it all together'... great post Laz. Hope I'm on this ping list...