“Republicans lead in eight competitive California House districts 49-47% (acc to Cook Political Report these districts are CA-02, -10, -21, -22, -25, -39, -48 and -50).”
Coop, did you mean CA-07 instead of CA-02? Because the CA-02 is overwhelmingly Democrat, so it wouldn’t be described as “competitive” by Cook, much less show the Republican candidate ahead in a poll.
Among the districts listed, two should be safe Republican (Nunes’s CA-22 and the open CA-50 that Hunter vacated), but the others would be very nice pickups (and CA-25 a nice hold for newly elected Mike García). Our other potential U.S. House pickups in California are 36, 45, 49 and 52.
Cook has 4 of ours “competitive”) Garcia 25 (tossup), the Hunter seat 50 seat (lean), Nunes 22 (LOL) and McClintock 4 (lol) “likely”.
And 4 of theirs
They have CA-21 a tossup, 48 lean rat, 10 and 39 “likely” rat
We should get 48, might get 39. Should never have lost 21 but that’s rat for President country.
10 should be Republican but our candidate ran into problems over tweets about Islam or some crap and I think McCarthy was a little bitch and disavowed him. I’m happy to see the seat still on the radar.
As for this poll, it’s not actually not great given that 4 of them are ours and only 1 of those should be competitive.
As for “other” seats, CD-7 is a nasty tease. I don’t see Ruiz 39 going down. 45 Porter should be a shot. 49, I don’t know but that would ironic after Issa abandoned it like a little wuss. 52, I can’t imagine.