Happy Days reference - nice! I actually have a 2018 photo of myself with the Bronze Fonz in Milwaukee. 
Posted on 10/06/2020 2:45:48 PM PDT by Coop
It does not appear there are any third party candidates in ME-2, just a couple write ins. We really need that House seat. I see no reason why many would ticket split but that’s a quirky area.
In the Senate race there are 2 Is, one very liberal who’s 2nd choice votes would be rat and one douchbag who sounds like he’s trying to be centrist.
ME-1 is unwinnable for Trump but he came close to the at large votes last time. Theoretically Trump could get more 2nd choice votes from Jorgensen voters, Greens on the ballot too. I wonder if redistributed votes will count towards Trump and Biden’s “popular vote” totals with the votes being subtracted from third parties totals? So silly.
That’s a quite optimistic Senate picture you paint. As far as President. I watch Arizona. Everytime I do a “Trump” map i work it without Arizona. I have assumed he was going to lose Arizona. If he holds Arizona then I put his chances of winning much, much higher. Do you have registration numbers for Arizona?
I don’t see how he wins VA without a strong ground game and I don’t think they’ve put much there. Id love to he wrong because that would all but guarantee a Trump win
This is what we mean when we say talk to your friends and family. Tell him why you support Trump and what he may be missing. Trll him why it’s important. Don’t cower to your own child. He may listen to you, surely he respects you enough to not yell at you for sharing your opinion.
Well, why wouldn’t he do a rally there? Would it not help at this point?
I thought you went full Chuck Cunningham.
I'd rather see him do a rally in Council Bluffs IA, right across the river from Omaha. He'd get a ton of Omaha press coverage, plus POTUS could highlight the IA-03 House race (plus two other IA seats) the Pubbies are trying to flip.
I don’t trust any of the polling data when it comes to the Presidential race (and am dubious in other races claiming all these Dem leads). Too many are designed for one purpose, to demoralize and diminish pro-GOP turnout in the hopes that reality will match their fake polling.
Maybe it is optimistic, but I don't understand your apparent pessimism re: AZ. Regarding registration numbers, someone else posted a thread (yesterday?) regarding Maricopa County numbers. But from a statewide perspective the SoS site has not been updated since 8/4/20. At that time Dems had a net gain of 51K over the GOP, in a state Trump won by ~85K votes. Certainly concerning. But I'm estimating another ~45K hidden Trump votes since third party candidates don't seem to be as impactful as in 2016. As of 8/4 statewide AZ RV numbers were GOP = 1,389,960, Dems were 1.293,074, and unaffiliated RVs = 1,273,215. So although the Dems had made gains, the GOP still held a ~97K voter registration advantage two months ago. And Trump's standing among Republicans has improved markedly in the past four years. So I expect him to hold AZ and flip MN due to impressive GOP turnout.
That ranked choice crap has to go. This essentially allows third party voters more than one vote for a single contest. It shouldn’t be remotely legal. Rep. Bruce Poliquin won the 2018 race with the most number of single votes and he should’ve been seated.
Exactly why I'm concerned. If that weren't in place I'd rate ME as a toss-up or even a slight Trump advantage.
Happy Days reference - nice! I actually have a 2018 photo of myself with the Bronze Fonz in Milwaukee.
Coop- God Bless you and thank you for your post! I’ve been saying the same thing for years as a rare species- a Conservative Half Latino in NYC! I know many here that are going to vote for Trump (several neighbors in my building alone!!!) including relatives in Maryland, Virginia and Florida, yet it doesn’t help when we have defeatist attitudes especially in forums like these! BTW- think about some of the loudest voices on our side- the most unlikely people you would have thought of: Brandon Straka - a gay hairdresser from NYC starting the WalkAway movement, Candice Owens- a Black female, Joy Villa- a mixed raced singer from Hollywood, Latinos that started the Lexit Movement, and countless others who live in the heart of the most liberal enclaves (NYC, LA, etc) on the front lines trying to hold our own and fighting to keep America Great! Donate, Advocate, March (please no excuses), do your part....we ALL need to be involved to save our country!!
Glad you enjoyed it, Freddy. I love your enthusiasm. While NYC seems like a tough place for a conservative to be, you have an opportunity to help the GOP win back the Staten Island seat - NY-11, Latina Nicole Malliotakis.
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Yeap! Well ahead of you....donated to her and have been to her rallies and events! She’s going to win back that seat from Max (the commie) Rose! And to think that she actually could have been our mayor if these idiots here in NYC didn’t re-elect DeBozo.....ugh!
Well done! You’re walkin’ the walk...
Haven’t been to Milwaukee in 31 years. Had family in the suburbs. Early settlers of Waukesha County.
It’s not that I’m being pessimistic about AZ; I’m pointing out that if Trump loses NE-02 it could actually be the difference between winning and losing the election, and described two plausible scenarios in which Trump could end up with 268 EVs. (And, BTW, unlike NE-02, I have no reason to suspect that ME-02 will be anything but an easy Trump win.)
I know you weren’t. Just having a little fun. I do agree ME-02 is looking quite good.
Ping for what you just said on another thread about getting involved.
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