The Senate will be a bloodbath no matter what happens with Trump.
I’ve been predicting D+6 for months and it may go higher.
“I’ve been predicting D+6 for months and it may go higher.”
I think that’s slightly pessimistic but there’s definitely a path to a bloodbath:
Republicans gain in Alabama, and then in other Senate races:
Colorado: gone, Democrat pickup for sure
Maine: gone, 90% sure
Arizona: gone, 80% sure
North Carolina: Dem pervert won’t lose a single vote over the recent revelations, whereas a Republican would have had to resign immediately if he had been caught doing this. Maybe Tillis squeaks this out, but it’s still in serious danger.
South Carolina: 50-50 at best for Light Loafers to be re-elected. He’s either the worst Republican candidate in that state in 20+ years (true), or the demographics of South Carolina are deteriorating quickly in some key areas (also true), or there’s a general trend to the left like everywhere else and like in 2018 (nah).
Iowa, Montana, Georgia x2: could be major trouble.
But surely some analyst will be along to declare that according to secret polls (and ridiculous assumptions) no Republican will lose anywhere, and we’re going to pick up Michigan, Minnesota, Atlantis, Oz, New York and several other fantasy lands. That would be very pleasant indeed, but most fantasy scenarios are.
I fear you may be right.
No way, GOP picks up seats due to a red wave. Americans have had it with the Democrats!