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Florida Early Vote update, 10/02/2020
ElectionCZAR ^ | 10/02/2020 | self

Posted on 10/02/2020 5:33:03 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas

Here are the RETURNED Florida VBM numbers for 2020 (these are returned ballots but not yet counted).

6.4% of VBM ballots have been returned at this point.

5.5% of REP ballots have been returned and 7.5% of DEM ballots have been returned.

10/02/20: REPs - 92,935, DEMs - 183,972, lead of 91,037 for DEMs, 54.0% to 27.2%

10/01/20: REPs - 65,516, DEMs - 126,602, lead of 61,086 for DEMs, 53.4% to 27.7%

09/30/20: REPs - 36,075, DEMs - 70,349, lead of 34,274 for DEMs, 53.3% to 27.3%

09/29/20: REPs - 9,330, DEMs - 18,190, lead of 8,860 for DEMs, 53.5% to 27.5%

09/28/20: REPs - 2,272, DEMs - 3,555, lead of 1,283 for DEMs, 47.7% to 30.5%

09/27/20: REPs - 2,165, DEMs - 3,411, lead of 1,246 for DEMs, 47.9% to 30.4%

09/26/20: REPs - 1,983, DEMs - 3,184, lead of 1,201 for DEMs, 48.2% to 30.0%

09/25/20: REPs - 754, DEMs - 1,673, lead of 919 for DEMs, 55.0% to 24.8%


TOPICS: News/Current Events
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DEMs need to lead VBM ballots returned by 565,000 for Biden to win Florida.

(calculation post #7 http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3889432/posts)

Similar time to 2016 (32 days before election):
10/07/16: REPs - 5,085, DEMs - 3,490, lead of 1,595 for REPs
1 posted on 10/02/2020 5:33:03 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Best Wishes to President Trump and First Lady!

They will be fine. We have Remdesivir available and Regeneron’s monoclonal antibody treatment.


2 posted on 10/02/2020 5:34:24 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

I want to say the DEM lead in FL seems to be accelerating. Heck if I know what that means. I’ve already prepared myself for the worse because (a) too much voter fraud will get through the system, and (b) the DEMs have capitalized on the single-issue voters, particularly those looking for freebies.


3 posted on 10/02/2020 5:36:56 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Ravi; LS; byecomey; bort

My current Predict bets

TX-Senate, bought Cornyn at .83
AK-Senate, bought Sullivan at .72


4 posted on 10/02/2020 5:38:03 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

PredictIt


5 posted on 10/02/2020 5:38:47 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

My #1 question is who or what is keeping check on all these votings: mail in, early voting, election day etc, to prevent multiple votes? Democrats loves to always cheat and steal!


6 posted on 10/02/2020 5:39:33 AM PDT by prophetic (Trump is today's DANIEL. Shut the mouth of lions Lord, let his enemies be the Cat Food instead.)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Ignore these tallies to discourage us; just get out and vote, either way.


7 posted on 10/02/2020 5:40:39 AM PDT by kenmcg (tHE WHOLE)
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To: CatOwner

I think what we are seeing so far is the real DEM haters jumping at the first chance to vote. I’m expecting their return rate to slow down and REP return rate to pick up.

Targets: DEM returns at 74%, REP returns at 79%.

DEMs will lead VBM because so many of them want to vote by mail because of the pandemic.


8 posted on 10/02/2020 5:41:41 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Let’s not forget...ALOT of Dems have been attending Trump rallies. Who knows, maybe they don’t like their cities on fire and/or being harassed while having dinner.


9 posted on 10/02/2020 5:45:32 AM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: Blue Turtle
There are definitely some Trump voters embedded in those DEM tallies. Certainly more than Biden votes in the GOP ballots being returned.

But what about INDEPENDENTS? There are a lot of voters in Florida that do not identify as DEM or GOP.

10 posted on 10/02/2020 5:50:43 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (Orange Man GOOD!)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Remember the NYT article on Trump’s taxes?

Neither does the rest of America.


11 posted on 10/02/2020 6:05:17 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SamAdams76

>> There are definitely some Trump voters embedded in those DEM tallies.

Yup! That’s me and the missus.


12 posted on 10/02/2020 6:07:58 AM PDT by QBFimi (It is not your responsibility to finish the work of perfecting the world... Tarfon)
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To: Ravi; LS; byecomey; bort

If DEMs overplay the Trump/virus story (which they probably will), I wouldn’t be surprised to see Trump move UP in the polls in the coming days.


13 posted on 10/02/2020 6:15:10 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Bump


14 posted on 10/02/2020 6:20:24 AM PDT by WHBates
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To: SpeedyInTexas

I’ve got 3 bets going on the electoral college there. Down over $100 on the Trump testing positive news. Thinking about buying more. Another 1000 shares for $80? Hmmm.....


15 posted on 10/02/2020 6:28:02 AM PDT by Mama Shawna
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Early voting in Florida doesn’t start anywhere in the state until October 19? This, if true, is mail in absentee voting, a little misleading.


16 posted on 10/02/2020 6:28:21 AM PDT by WHBates
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To: WHBates

In Person Early Voting will be added to the totals starting the 20th.


17 posted on 10/02/2020 6:32:19 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Bump.


18 posted on 10/02/2020 6:34:22 AM PDT by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Is this good because Dems vote early or bad because it’s a pretty negative trend?


19 posted on 10/02/2020 6:37:20 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: SamAdams76

Ah, the crypto-liberals that stand for nothing


20 posted on 10/02/2020 6:37:38 AM PDT by Phil DiBasquette
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