Dems tend to live in the nation that is their Twitter feed. This is why they’re always shocked when reality barges in and rattles their safe space.
Ballot harvesting is the issue.
Bookmark
Mail in ballot registrations have the party affiliation on the outside so they can destroy the ones from republican areas, and create enough in dhimmicrats areas. If the vote totals for Trump are off the charts unprecedented, are we supposed to believe there was unprecedented totals for Biden when the enthusiasm gaps are chasms. There is energy and excitement everywhere for Trump and crickets for Biden
IBD/Tipp has decided to join the dark side this season
With this far out to go before the election, Trafalgar with their accurate polling in the 2016 presidential election as well as the 2018 midterm congressional elections have earned their credibility. With that, no other polling firm should even be considered as valid for 2020.
.@NateSilver538 I’ll take that bet. I’ll wager $10k to the COVID-19 relief charity of the winner’s choice that @trafalgar_grou
Long John Silver is a Democratic Party hack and propagandist.
“MORE SHY voters than ‘16“
You got that right. In many cities speaking out in favor of Trump can result in loss of friends and family, loss of employment, and physical violence.
I speak out all the time but I have a mean face, 6 foot tall and 240 lbs (should be only 210 lbs but oh well) so I am fairly safe from random one-on-one violence.
I don’t see how these pollsters even reach people. We get so many robo calls, we rarely answer the phone. We let the answering machine get it. If a recording or the caller ID indicates it’s a poll, I’m not interested.
Did they mention the other battleground States in their article?
past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Even Trafalgar can’t take into account the vote manipulation and manufacture that is going to be a far bigger factor this time than ever before.
Both those races were nail biters... Rather than DeSantis we could have been saddled with a black drug addict into S&M cocaine fueled sex with white body builders. A liar and thug... If Gillum had won - Florida would have burned - been looted, and our police attacked. Thank God Bloomberg hadn't come to sign up as many criminals as he could find for that election.
Michigan, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania.....the race is already over if Trump wins those states again. IIRC, Trafalgar had Trump clearly ahead in Arizona too. Trump has 6 weeks to pick up half a point in Minnesota.
It looks really good if this holds.
This is a crazy year for pollsters, even ones like Trafalgar who make a good faith effort to get it right. College students are at home. The Democrats are not organizing or door-knocking in person. Many Democrats are in groups that are scared of their own shadows b/c of China Virus. China Virus has impacted Trump’s numbers. Riots. Riots making more “shy” Trump voters. Good freaking luck with polling in this mess.
Trump will have a hard time pulling ahead of the margin of fraud if those numbers are correct for PA, MI and WI.