I wonder if anyone has tracked projected fatalities, say, per Worldometers, 3 months out, vs. reported fatalities, once we got there.
No, I’m not asking you, D1, to do this - you are already doing more than anyone could ask. But, maybe someone has kept track of this. It would be a dynamic curve, so, best might be “snapshots” taken every month or so to get a good idea of how these public projections have performed over time.
There appears to be a hint of deceleration in the rate of decrease in fatalities, this last week or two. It may be nothing, but bears watching the next couple weeks.
I’m also curious as to how well many Central states will do as a result of the present delightful(!!) but cool weather.
Somewhere (maybe it was on Worldometers) it seems like I read that fatalities now typically follow confirmed infection by 17-21 days. Is that a slight increase over what was reported earlier on, or is my recollection lousy?