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McConnell locks down key GOP votes in Supreme Court fight
The Hill ^ | 09/20/20 07:07 PM EDT | JORDAIN CARNEY

Posted on 09/20/2020 4:25:52 PM PDT by robowombat

McConnell locks down key GOP votes in Supreme Court fight BY JORDAIN CARNEY - 09/20/20 07:07 PM EDT 206

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McConnell locks down key GOP votes in Supreme Court fight © Greg Nash Alexander backs vote on Trump Supreme Court nominee: What Democrats 'would do if the shoe were on the other foot' Volume 90%

Republican senators are coalescing behind Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell's (R-Ky.) vow to fill the Supreme Court seat left vacant by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

A number of GOP senators, including both retiring members and vulnerable incumbents, are backing McConnell's promise to hold a vote on whomever President Trump nominates, underscoring Republicans' desire to fill the seat even as they face charges of hypocrisy from Democrats and pushback from some of their own colleagues.

Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.), who is retiring at the end of the year, said on Sunday that he would support filling the seat this year, though he'll make a decision on the nominee once Trump names his pick.

"No one should be surprised that a Republican Senate majority would vote on a Republican President’s Supreme Court nomination, even during a presidential election year. ...Senator McConnell is only doing what Democrat leaders have said they would do if the shoe were on the other foot," Alexander said in a statement.

Alexander's decision follows similar remarks from Sens. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) and Roy Blunt (R-Mo.), who both indicated they would support McConnell if he moves to hold a vote on confirming a third Supreme Court pick for Trump. Neither is up for re-election this year.

Portman, in a statement, noted that McConnell intended to hold a vote and "I intend to fulfill my role as a U.S. Senator and judge that nominee based on his or her merits." Blunt, a member of GOP leadership, added to CBS' Face the Nation that there was "plenty of time" for Republican to confirm a nominee this year.

"The White House and the Senate have some obligation to do what they think in the majority in the Senate is the right thing to do. And there is a Senate majority put there by voters for reasons like this," he said.

The decision by Portman, Blunt and Alexander to align with McConnell and Trump highlights the narrowing pool of GOP senators that Democrats could flip in order to block Republicans from filling the seat in the middle of an election year.

Republicans still face a decision on whether they should try to squeeze in the nomination before the election day or in the end-of-year lame duck, something that is likely to be discussed at a leadership meeting on Monday night and a caucus lunch on Tuesday.

“I’m for whatever gives us the best opportunity to confirm a conservative to the court while giving us the best chance of keeping the Senate and White House,” Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.) told The Hill on Saturday "[But] I suspect we will have a long discussion about it Tuesday."

So far two GOP senators — Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), the only GOP senator to oppose Brett Kavanaugh's nomination, and Susan Collins (R-Maine), who is facing a tough re-election bid — have said that they do not believe the Senate should take up the Supreme Court nomination before the Nov. 3 election, which is 44 days away.

"I did not support taking up a nomination eight months before the 2016 election to fill the vacancy created by the passing of Justice Scalia. We are now even closer to the 2020 election - less than two months out - and I believe the same standard must apply," Murkowski said on Sunday.

Collins, in a statement on Saturday, said the appointment "should be made by the President who is elected on November 3rd."

But Democrats will need at least two more GOP senators to oppose moving a Supreme Court nominee before the election to give them a fighting chance of keeping the seat open until next year.

Alexander and Portman, in particular, were considered potential votes to watch. Alexander, though an ally of McConnell's, is considered an institutionalist and is retiring, freeing him from the guaranteed political blowback that would come from Trump and his supporters for wanting to delay a Supreme Court vote. Portman, meanwhile, has had breaks with Trump over high-profile issues including the emergency declaration for the border wall.

Their decisions don't close the door for Democrats altogether, but they underscore the uphill battle Democrats are likely face.

Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah), the party's 2012 presidential nominee, is considered another lawmaker to watch. He is one of the president's most vocal critics within the caucus and viewed as a potential swing vote. He was the only GOP senator to vote for one of the articles of impeachment earlier this year.

But even if Romney comes out in support of not holding a vote before the election, Democrats would still need to pick up one additional GOP senator to prevent a 50-50 tie that Vice President Mike Pence would be all but guaranteed to break.

In addition to Romney, Sens. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) and Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) are both considered votes to watch.

Grassley, a current member and the former chairman of the Judiciary Committee, said earlier this year that “in the abstract, I would do the same thing in 2020 that I would in 2016" if a Supreme Court vacancy occurred this year. His statement released in the wake of Ginsburg's death did not address what the Senate should do if Trump nominates someone to fill Ginsburg's seat.

Gardner also did not address what the Senate should do. He declined to say, when questioned while speaking before a business group on Saturday, if he stood by his 2016 comments that whoever won the 2016 election should appoint the successor to the late Justice Antonin Scalia's seat.

Gardner's sidestepping comes as several other vulnerable GOP incumbents have endorsed holding a vote this year, further reducing the pool of swing votes for Democrats.

Sen. David Perdue (R-Ga.), who is running for a second term, said on Sunday that the Senate should act on the nomination, painting the Supreme Court battle as a central difference between himself and Democratic candidate Jon Ossoff.

"Once the President announces a nomination, the United States Senate should begin the process that moves this to a full Senate vote," Perdue said.

Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.), who is running against Democratic Gov. Steve Bullock, added in his own statement that the Senate "should move forward with confirming President Trump's nominee."

Perdue and Daines join GOP Sens. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), Martha McSally (R-Ariz.), Kelly Loeffler (R-Ga.) and Judiciary Committee Chairman Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), who are each on the ballot in November and have called for the Senate to act on Trump's forthcoming nomination.

Murkowski: Supreme Court nominee should not be taken up before... Battle lines drawn on precedent in Supreme Court fight Graham, in a tweet linking to his campaign fundraising page, said he was "dead set" on confirming whoever Trump picks.

"I will support President @realDonaldTrump in any effort to move forward regarding the recent vacancy created by the passing of Justice Ginsburg," he added in a separate tweet.

Scott Wong contributed to this report.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: neverwhomever; notwhomever; nowhomeverever; whoevernotwhomever
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To: CurlyDave

I think it has to be 51 for confirmation.


41 posted on 09/20/2020 5:54:46 PM PDT by 100%FEDUP (I'm seeing RED!)
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To: All

we see the DNC plan.

Litigate a long a possible.

Get Kelly in a senator to kill the vote.


42 posted on 09/20/2020 5:55:14 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.tand http://www.house.gov)
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To: Hieronymus

And you think 2 GOP Senators will sit out this historic vote?
One that will change the SC for generations to come.
Something conservatives have dreamed about for decades?
And 2 will sit it out.
Please tell me the 2 you think will sit out this historic vote.


43 posted on 09/20/2020 5:56:08 PM PDT by tennmountainman (The Liberals Are Baby Killers)
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To: longtermmemmory

This will be over before Election Day.


44 posted on 09/20/2020 5:57:39 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: 100%FEDUP

As it is with any vote, it’s a +1 to win. There are hardly ever 51 votes in the Senate. Someone is always out.


45 posted on 09/20/2020 6:01:23 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: tennmountainman

In the end, politicians stand for re-election. Abstaining on the procedural ion and yes on the nominee is the most polite way to split the difference—look moderate and keep the base happy. The GOP could afford up to six abstentions, or three noes, or some combination thereof.

I don’t think that there will be massive arm twisting on the procedure, because I don’t think that it will be needed.

I think Collins votes no on the procedure, and what she does on the confirmation depends entirely on her electoral calculus.


46 posted on 09/20/2020 6:05:43 PM PDT by Hieronymus (“I shall drink to the Pope, if you please, still, to conscience first, and to the Pope afterwards.Â)
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To: longtermmemmory

They are assuming a lot. That snake Kelly is a gun grabbing maniac. No polls ever show Republicans in the lead. That’s part of the game.

Why would McConnell swear in Kelly early? Only to vote against a Republican nominee should Arizona prove itself suicidal and elect this wet piece of dogshit.

This is huge Democrat propaganda and brainwashing at work.


47 posted on 09/20/2020 6:07:58 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: robowombat

“Collins, in a statement on Saturday, said the appointment “should be made by the President who is elected on November 3rd.” “

She trails by 5% and is taking this position? Is she a moron or what?

I definitely hope they won’t need her vote and she gets beat. With friends like her who needs enemies.


48 posted on 09/20/2020 6:11:41 PM PDT by aquila48 (Do not let them make you care! Guilting you is how they control you.)
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To: Hieronymus

You predicted earlier 2 would abstain.

You avoided my question. Who will be the 2 who sit out the final vote.
Put up or STHU.


49 posted on 09/20/2020 6:14:09 PM PDT by tennmountainman (The Liberals Are Baby Killers)
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To: robowombat

The dems are ready to do whatever. Kavanaugh was a whisper compared to this one.


50 posted on 09/20/2020 6:21:21 PM PDT by lurk
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To: tennmountainman

My first degree is in economics.

One can make an estimate without guessing all the particulars—uncertainties can often balance each other out. There are a number of folks who would like to be seen as independent of Trump but simultaneously as good Pubs.

To the extent that there is some room to do so, I think they will be allowed to posture in whatever way they think necessary. Abstaining is one out—two abstentions in the end seem to me most likely.

My guess would be Collins and Gardner as the most likely two. That said my ouija board is not functioning, so I think that I’m more likely to hit the number correctly than to correctly guess every senator’s vote.


51 posted on 09/20/2020 6:22:08 PM PDT by Hieronymus (“I shall drink to the Pope, if you please, still, to conscience first, and to the Pope afterwards.Â)
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To: faithhopecharity

she is mental...and sorry.. this is what makes women politicians look bad...moody..unpredictable..crave attention.


52 posted on 09/20/2020 6:26:34 PM PDT by basalt
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To: aquila48

Collins is the exact reason for calling them republicants. You would think her bottom hurts from all the fence sitting grandstanding she does.


53 posted on 09/20/2020 6:44:45 PM PDT by MHGinTN (A dispensation perspective is a powerful tool for discernment)
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To: basalt

Indeed an awfully bad case


54 posted on 09/20/2020 6:54:51 PM PDT by faithhopecharity (Politicians are not born, they are excreted. Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: CurlyDave

You’re absolutely right. Got ahead of myself there. Thanks for the correction!


55 posted on 09/20/2020 7:07:19 PM PDT by AFB-XYZ (Option 1 -- stand up. Option 2 -- bend over.)
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To: robowombat

This SCOTUS battle will test President Trump’s deal making to the limit!

He will have to make a deal with ALL of the Republican Senators.

BEFORE November 3!

If anyone can do it, he can!

Enlist them in your Army, Mr. President! We are with you 100%!


56 posted on 09/20/2020 7:09:19 PM PDT by Taxman (MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN, AGAIN!)
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To: fortes fortuna juvat

Saw CurlyDave’s correction just before I saw yours. Thanks for making sure I didn’t keep laboring under an incorrect understanding! :-)


57 posted on 09/20/2020 7:10:36 PM PDT by AFB-XYZ (Option 1 -- stand up. Option 2 -- bend over.)
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To: CurlyDave
"Two abstentions and two Rs voting against makes it 49-49 and Pence casts the deciding vote for confirmation."

Yes. The last time, some of the no votes turned into yes votes after some urging from voters and donors and a few meetings. I suspect that will happen again.

58 posted on 09/20/2020 7:40:17 PM PDT by familyop ( "Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy".)
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To: gbscott

Eisenhower—Potter Stuart— October 18, 1958—recess appointment.


59 posted on 09/20/2020 8:09:08 PM PDT by Ozark Tom
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To: 100%FEDUP

I think it is a simple majority and not necessarily 51 votes


60 posted on 09/21/2020 1:39:09 AM PDT by billyboy15
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