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McConnell locks down key GOP votes in Supreme Court fight
The Hill ^ | 09/20/20 07:07 PM EDT | JORDAIN CARNEY

Posted on 09/20/2020 4:25:52 PM PDT by robowombat

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To: CurlyDave

I think it has to be 51 for confirmation.


41 posted on 09/20/2020 5:54:46 PM PDT by 100%FEDUP (I'm seeing RED!)
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To: All

we see the DNC plan.

Litigate a long a possible.

Get Kelly in a senator to kill the vote.


42 posted on 09/20/2020 5:55:14 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.tand http://www.house.gov)
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To: Hieronymus

And you think 2 GOP Senators will sit out this historic vote?
One that will change the SC for generations to come.
Something conservatives have dreamed about for decades?
And 2 will sit it out.
Please tell me the 2 you think will sit out this historic vote.


43 posted on 09/20/2020 5:56:08 PM PDT by tennmountainman (The Liberals Are Baby Killers)
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To: longtermmemmory

This will be over before Election Day.


44 posted on 09/20/2020 5:57:39 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: 100%FEDUP

As it is with any vote, it’s a +1 to win. There are hardly ever 51 votes in the Senate. Someone is always out.


45 posted on 09/20/2020 6:01:23 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: tennmountainman

In the end, politicians stand for re-election. Abstaining on the procedural ion and yes on the nominee is the most polite way to split the difference—look moderate and keep the base happy. The GOP could afford up to six abstentions, or three noes, or some combination thereof.

I don’t think that there will be massive arm twisting on the procedure, because I don’t think that it will be needed.

I think Collins votes no on the procedure, and what she does on the confirmation depends entirely on her electoral calculus.


46 posted on 09/20/2020 6:05:43 PM PDT by Hieronymus (“I shall drink to the Pope, if you please, still, to conscience first, and to the Pope afterwards.Â)
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To: longtermmemmory

They are assuming a lot. That snake Kelly is a gun grabbing maniac. No polls ever show Republicans in the lead. That’s part of the game.

Why would McConnell swear in Kelly early? Only to vote against a Republican nominee should Arizona prove itself suicidal and elect this wet piece of dogshit.

This is huge Democrat propaganda and brainwashing at work.


47 posted on 09/20/2020 6:07:58 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: robowombat

“Collins, in a statement on Saturday, said the appointment “should be made by the President who is elected on November 3rd.” “

She trails by 5% and is taking this position? Is she a moron or what?

I definitely hope they won’t need her vote and she gets beat. With friends like her who needs enemies.


48 posted on 09/20/2020 6:11:41 PM PDT by aquila48 (Do not let them make you care! Guilting you is how they control you.)
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To: Hieronymus

You predicted earlier 2 would abstain.

You avoided my question. Who will be the 2 who sit out the final vote.
Put up or STHU.


49 posted on 09/20/2020 6:14:09 PM PDT by tennmountainman (The Liberals Are Baby Killers)
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To: robowombat

The dems are ready to do whatever. Kavanaugh was a whisper compared to this one.


50 posted on 09/20/2020 6:21:21 PM PDT by lurk
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To: tennmountainman

My first degree is in economics.

One can make an estimate without guessing all the particulars—uncertainties can often balance each other out. There are a number of folks who would like to be seen as independent of Trump but simultaneously as good Pubs.

To the extent that there is some room to do so, I think they will be allowed to posture in whatever way they think necessary. Abstaining is one out—two abstentions in the end seem to me most likely.

My guess would be Collins and Gardner as the most likely two. That said my ouija board is not functioning, so I think that I’m more likely to hit the number correctly than to correctly guess every senator’s vote.


51 posted on 09/20/2020 6:22:08 PM PDT by Hieronymus (“I shall drink to the Pope, if you please, still, to conscience first, and to the Pope afterwards.Â)
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To: faithhopecharity

she is mental...and sorry.. this is what makes women politicians look bad...moody..unpredictable..crave attention.


52 posted on 09/20/2020 6:26:34 PM PDT by basalt
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To: aquila48

Collins is the exact reason for calling them republicants. You would think her bottom hurts from all the fence sitting grandstanding she does.


53 posted on 09/20/2020 6:44:45 PM PDT by MHGinTN (A dispensation perspective is a powerful tool for discernment)
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To: basalt

Indeed an awfully bad case


54 posted on 09/20/2020 6:54:51 PM PDT by faithhopecharity (Politicians are not born, they are excreted. Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: CurlyDave

You’re absolutely right. Got ahead of myself there. Thanks for the correction!


55 posted on 09/20/2020 7:07:19 PM PDT by AFB-XYZ (Option 1 -- stand up. Option 2 -- bend over.)
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To: robowombat

This SCOTUS battle will test President Trump’s deal making to the limit!

He will have to make a deal with ALL of the Republican Senators.

BEFORE November 3!

If anyone can do it, he can!

Enlist them in your Army, Mr. President! We are with you 100%!


56 posted on 09/20/2020 7:09:19 PM PDT by Taxman (MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN, AGAIN!)
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To: fortes fortuna juvat

Saw CurlyDave’s correction just before I saw yours. Thanks for making sure I didn’t keep laboring under an incorrect understanding! :-)


57 posted on 09/20/2020 7:10:36 PM PDT by AFB-XYZ (Option 1 -- stand up. Option 2 -- bend over.)
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To: CurlyDave
"Two abstentions and two Rs voting against makes it 49-49 and Pence casts the deciding vote for confirmation."

Yes. The last time, some of the no votes turned into yes votes after some urging from voters and donors and a few meetings. I suspect that will happen again.

58 posted on 09/20/2020 7:40:17 PM PDT by familyop ( "Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy".)
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To: gbscott

Eisenhower—Potter Stuart— October 18, 1958—recess appointment.


59 posted on 09/20/2020 8:09:08 PM PDT by Ozark Tom
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To: 100%FEDUP

I think it is a simple majority and not necessarily 51 votes


60 posted on 09/21/2020 1:39:09 AM PDT by billyboy15
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