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August 2020: Presidential Race Tightens After Party Conventions (Emerson Poll Biden 49 Trump 47)
Emerson College Polling ^ | 8/31/2020 | Emerson

Posted on 08/31/2020 1:31:43 PM PDT by grayboots

Since the Emerson College July national poll, President Donald Trump has tightened the presidential race to a two-point margin, and is now trailing former Vice President Joe Biden 49% to 47%. In July, former V.P. Joe Biden held a four-point lead over President Trump –– 50% to 46%.

Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson College Polling explains “the Republican convention gave Trump his most positive week of news coverage which likely attributes to his bounce in this month’s poll and increasing job approval.”

Voters planning to vote early in person are breaking for Trump 50% to 49% while those who plan to vote in person on election break for the President 57% to 37%. Voters who said they plan to vote by mail break for Biden 67% to 28%.

(Excerpt) Read more at emersonpolling.reportablenews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
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1 posted on 08/31/2020 1:31:43 PM PDT by grayboots
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To: grayboots

More fake polls to give the demonrats some hope.


2 posted on 08/31/2020 1:33:14 PM PDT by kickstart ("A gun is a tool. It is only as good or as bad as the man who uses it" . Alan Ladd in 'Shane')
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To: grayboots

utter nonsense

Who would trust these people on any subject?


3 posted on 08/31/2020 1:33:57 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Some of the folks around these parts have been sniffing super flu.)
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To: grayboots

College Polling = Utter Crap


4 posted on 08/31/2020 1:35:16 PM PDT by butlerweave
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To: grayboots
Voters who said they plan to vote by mail break for Biden 67% to 28%.

Whether they want to vote for Biden or not, at least if the DNC gets its way with vote-by-mail.

5 posted on 08/31/2020 1:35:26 PM PDT by CommerceComet (Joe Biden: Showing his leadership by cowering in the basement like a scared child.)
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To: grayboots

DNC was all about hating America
RNC was about real people doing extraordinary things.
Dem cities continued to burn as Dem mayors throw gas on the fire by tying the hands of their Law enforcement.

I’m surprised Trump isn’t ahead by 10 points.


6 posted on 08/31/2020 1:35:41 PM PDT by 1Old Pro (#openupstateny)
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To: grayboots

What I don’t understand is how anyone could vote for Biden? What does he offer? I just don’t get it.


7 posted on 08/31/2020 1:37:04 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX (“It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” ― Yogi Berra)
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To: 1Old Pro

Trump IS AHEAD by 10 points if you have learned ANYTHING from 2016 DON’T BELIEVE POLLS even if we are ahead according to polls!!!


8 posted on 08/31/2020 1:37:48 PM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: grayboots
while those who plan to vote in person on election break for the President 57% to 37%.

That's the money quote. Trump voters basically mistrust mail-in and early voting and are PASSIONATE to have their vote count for Trump. They want to show up in person ON THE DAY!

9 posted on 08/31/2020 1:40:22 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: grayboots

I think from now until the election the polls are going to be pretty worthless. I think there’s a lot of Trump voters out there that just want to stay under the radar until they cast their Trump vote. Too much BLM/Antifa/Liberal BS to put up with advertising your support.


10 posted on 08/31/2020 1:41:23 PM PDT by BBQToadRibs
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

I’ve been a political junkie for many years and I can feel a Trump victory in my bones earlier in the process than ever before.


11 posted on 08/31/2020 1:41:26 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: laplata

But can you feel fraud?


12 posted on 08/31/2020 1:43:14 PM PDT by Hieronymus (“I shall drink to the Pope, if you please, still, to conscience first, and to the Pope afterwards.Â)
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To: Hieronymus

That includes the fraud. It won’t work because the numbers voting for Trump will overwhelm any fraud. I was worried about fraud until last week but not so much now.


13 posted on 08/31/2020 1:49:26 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: Pining_4_TX

I agree. Anyone still voting Democrat is vile scum.


14 posted on 08/31/2020 1:50:11 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: grayboots

Biden knows he’s done..the ONLY way they can win now is with massive and I mean MASSIVE voter fraud..just look at Biden today, look at his face he’s SCARED..you can see it written all over his face


15 posted on 08/31/2020 1:57:10 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Sarah Barracuda

He’s been behind the whole time and just now figuring it out.


16 posted on 08/31/2020 1:59:41 PM PDT by Ronniesque
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To: kickstart

What I find reassuring is that this is a National poll. Remember, Clinton won the national vote by 2% but still lost the election only because of the loony liberals in California and New York. And Trump only being down by 2% this far out is a very good sign! Also waiting to see the battleground state polling. I am hoping that it will be very good news for Trump!!


17 posted on 08/31/2020 2:00:32 PM PDT by grayboots
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To: kickstart

The Clinton voters I know are firm for Biden. Therefore I believe this poll is realistic.


18 posted on 08/31/2020 2:04:36 PM PDT by nbenyo
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To: grayboots

if we loss by 2 in the popular vote we prolly win in the Electoral College. This poll gives the Ds a four point edge, which maybe overstates their strength by 2 points. This poll shows 7 points for “someone else.” Figure that drops to 2 and we pick up most of those who choose to not waste their vote, as we did four years ago. Finally, figure we pick up most of the 6 points of undecideds, again as we did four years ago. So, I figure we win the popular vote by 4 points, 51 to 47 to 2. That’s right now. Two more months of good news on economic recovery and dissipation of the mild second wave of the virus, and it could be a larger margin, on the order of 1988. It’s not just me. The Ds are started to see that their goose is cooked. This is why they’re doubling down on the lock down, the violence, and the name calling.


19 posted on 08/31/2020 2:05:21 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: grayboots

Breakdown
D 36.6
R 32.8
I 30.6


20 posted on 08/31/2020 2:07:01 PM PDT by marstegreg
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