Posted on 08/21/2020 7:36:21 AM PDT by BeauBo
Over the last 12 hours, the inflow has fallen off pretty sharply, but still exceeds the outflow (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u2kE7m-cbm8 ).
Looking at the weather forecast for Chongqing, the next three days seem clear of rain.
If there were a couple of more days of heavy rain, that raised the level to near the 175 meter design max, I guess that the authorities would have to open the floodgates to release all the inflow, regardless of the effects downstream, to prevent the dam from over-topping.
Ping
If this thing fails, millions will die and China will need to do something drastic to feed their population.
Not to mention the massive migration and relocation of a good portion of their population.
War is in the air for sure.
Xi is Pharaoh. Rain is a plague of locusts.
Ping
The most undercovered story worldwide this year . . . watch the lame media try to blame Trump’s trade policy if it fails.
Sweet fancy Moses!
MIGHT? Seems like increasing the outflow is long overdue. If that net inflow of 26 kcms caused a 2 m rise in 24 hours and they are less than 10 m from overflowing the top, they don't have a lot of margin left. If the inflows don't lessen, they will be overflowing in less than five days.
I'd be at maximum outflow now.
Trump is being blamed for everything!
I was worried that this thing was going down to the point that I started raising chickens again. However, it is looking like that dam is tougher than a lot of us thought.
But yeah, if it DOES burst, things will get ugly internationally.
For perspective, the average outflow was 35 kcms from late June to mid July. Today, they are 40% higher than the June-July average outflow.
Chinese geologist Fan Xiao told Reuters that the storage capacity of Three Gorges is less than 9% of average floodwaters. It can only partially and temporarily intercept the upstream floods, and is powerless to help with floods caused by heavy rainfall in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River.
If it can contain only 9% of AVERAGE floodwaters, then it is probably containing 4% to 5% of this summer’s floodwaters.
A source within the USACE says even if the dam was overtopped it would not fail. An earthen dam, yes. A concrete dam, not likely.
Seems just like noise at this point, with the rainy season almost over.
I think our greatest risk of an EMP attack would have been if it had come to a point of massive failure. But that doesn’t seem to be in store.
Control of the population is of little concern to the Chinese government, as evidenced by government actions in Wuhan this last winter.
Chinese manufacturing has already somewhat been hit by the covid19 virus.
The Chinese are unable to feed their massive population and have depended on international grain imports to feed the masses.
Despite the trade and political tensions between the U.S. and China, they will be even more dependent on grain imports,
and the news, even this morning, is that China purchases of grain as a result of the trade negotiations is still down from previously agreed levels.
Let us not forget, that WWWII was fought because Japan needed more resources for its population; similar scenario, no ?
Scary situation, but catastrophe apparently not imminent.
Win win for you with the chickens.
You’re living my dream.
Honestly, I hate the ChiCom gov’t and all, but I’m praying that this thing does not break. It would be absolutely catastrophic for everybody globally if it does.
Outflow was raised to the highest ever, 48,800 cubic meters per second.
The current record high water level is expected to peak at 168 meters this Sunday, in the fourth major flood (sixth official flood) of this exceptionally heavy monsoon season (twice last year's rainfall).
The Sichuan provincial government (upstream from Three Gorges) declared on Tuesday a level 1 emergency alert for the first time in history.
Floodwaters have wet the feet of the giant Buddha Statute of Leshan (near Chegdu), for the first time since the communists seized power there.
The last group of 180 tourists had to be rescued from the statue, as the waters rose.
Xi has been systematically and deliberately pissing off every country he can.
As far as he is concerned a war killing 100s of millions is better than a revolt killing him.
Maybe he's a democrat at heart?
I think CV-19 has hit China more on the demand side than the supply side. There have been fewer than 5000 deaths in China (who knows the accuracy), but part of that was because China virtually shut down travel into and out of Wuhan very early in the breakout. However, in an attempt to hide the problem, they continued to let foreign air travel into and out of Wuhan. That, to me, was the unforgivable action. I don’t know what will happen if the dam breaks, but for everyone in the world, I hope it doesn’t happen.
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