It’d be hard for China to take Taiwan even without our intervention. They don’t have the amphibious capability and Taiwan has a good army.
All we have to do is sink their ships and they can’t take the country.
If they chose to fight an air war, then they’ve chosen poorly. Their air force won’t survive.
The only way China would take Taiwan is without Trump as President and an acquiescent Democrat in power.
If the Chinese take Taiwan, their first strike will be a barrage of missile and artillery fire that will wipe out every defense and military base in Taiwan with absolutely zero regard for collateral damage. The Chinese don’t care about people. They’ll kill millions if it gets them what they want. They’ve got a billion more where those came from, and they think DECADES in advance.
You seem to think we have some all-powerful military that can simply stop all attacks in place. The fact is, China would take Taiwan in under 24 hours. We have no response to that. In a long, entrenched fight, we can eventually beat back the Chinese. Will we spend $10 - $20 Trillion and 500,000 American lives to defend Taiwan? Will we risk a nuclear response to defend Taiwan? No and no. Never gonna happen. When it comes to China and Russia, we just don’t care THAT much about these little guys.
An accurate analysis of the situation. China’s bluff is that they have so very many men they can afford to lose. Cannon fodder. That has some merit in a land assault.
An amphibious assault is a completely different thing altogether. Especially when it is known and expected. The CCP would be the victims of a shooting gallery in those waters.
Precision munitions raining down on their assault fleet would minimize if not eliminate that threat.
We and the Taiwanese would quickly establish Air Superiority. The CCP would try to attack our naval assets with hypersonic anti-ship missiles but, even were they to succeed in damaging or sinking a couple of naval assets they can’t sink DG or Guam. Or, CUBI Pt.
Their failure would be humiliating. And, in their culture that level of humiliation is completely unacceptable. Ritual suicide is common for failures far below this level of humiliation.
Of course, if they resort to insane levels of desperation they could nuke Taiwan. That would be the ultimate FU to Taiwan and the USA. Knowing full well the USA would never engage in a nuclear war for Taiwan.
Let’s pray the CCP is very far from that level of desperation.