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He Predicted Trump’s Win in 2016. Now He’s Ready to Call 2020. [Trump will lose]
New York Times ^ | Aug. 5, 2020, 5:00 a.m. | Featuring Allan Lichtman

Posted on 08/05/2020 5:23:22 AM PDT by palmer

The historian Allan Lichtman was the lonely forecaster who predicted Mr. Trump’s victory in 2016 — and also prophesied the president would be impeached. That’s two for two. But Professor Lichtman’s record goes much deeper. In 1980, he developed a presidential prediction model that retrospectively accounted for 120 years of U.S. election history. Over the past four decades, his system has accurately called presidential victors, from Ronald Reagan in ’84 to, well, Mr. Trump in 2016.

blah blah blah

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2020; election; lichtman
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I didn't watch the video, just skipped to the end where he gave one more checkbox to Biden than to Trump. Then he said Trump will lose because he has one less checkbox. Then he said, but he won't lose unless you go out and vote against him.

They try to make the professor out as goofy and eccentric. He was wrong about Bush v Gore but they excuse that as a fluke of the electoral college. But the professor is not some neutral eccentric genius. He's a leftist, including a raging global warming fanatic which is “scientifically irrefutable” just like his lame predictions.

1 posted on 08/05/2020 5:23:22 AM PDT by palmer
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To: palmer

I don’t read anything that the new york times espouses, about anything.


2 posted on 08/05/2020 5:26:33 AM PDT by silent majority rising
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To: palmer

I will get better results from my magic 8 ball from the 60’s


3 posted on 08/05/2020 5:26:48 AM PDT by ronnie raygun
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To: ronnie raygun

I started to read this until I saw the source...


4 posted on 08/05/2020 5:27:50 AM PDT by bennowens
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To: palmer

Screw NYT...

https://www.foxnews.com/media/professor-predicted-trump-win-prediction-biden-2020


5 posted on 08/05/2020 5:28:53 AM PDT by gattaca ("Government's first duty is to protect the people, not run their lives." Ronald Reagan)
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To: palmer

6 posted on 08/05/2020 5:29:03 AM PDT by wastedyears (The left would kill every single one of us and our families if they knew they could get away with it)
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To: silent majority rising
That's a good policy. What they did in this video was try to make it appear closer to inspire their drones to vote against Trump. The professor made that pitch himself.
7 posted on 08/05/2020 5:29:18 AM PDT by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways from Sunday)
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To: palmer

isn’t that the guy who used to wear the blazer with all the question marks on it and pitch for government handouts.


8 posted on 08/05/2020 5:29:31 AM PDT by teeman8r (Armageddon won't be pretty, but it's not like it's the end of the world)
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To: palmer

“The historian Allan Lichtman ...”

No.


9 posted on 08/05/2020 5:30:30 AM PDT by cdcdawg (Don't care. Still voting for Trump.)
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To: palmer

Sorry will not read anything from the NY Slimes. Zero credibility on everything.


10 posted on 08/05/2020 5:31:30 AM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of the day be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: palmer

Someone got to the professor, and, made him an offer he couldn’t refuse.


11 posted on 08/05/2020 5:31:37 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich ( "Where they delete tweets, they will in the end also delete people."-unseen1_unseen)
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To: palmer
New Xi Times

Nuff said.

12 posted on 08/05/2020 5:32:04 AM PDT by kiryandil (Chris Wallace: Because someone has to drive the Clown Car)
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To: palmer

The problem is that there have not been that many presidents. i.e. ALL models are based on anecdotal information.

My brother told me that Reagan would die in office because every president elected on a year ending in zero died in office.

Until Reagan.

The only way Trump loses is massive voter fraud.


13 posted on 08/05/2020 5:33:30 AM PDT by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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To: palmer

There is this and yet there as another individual who has also predicted the last 6 or more Presidential elections who also said Trump in 2016 and would win again in 2020.

Of course it all means nothing just as the polls mean nothing these days. It used to be in days gone by that they were at least accurate at the very time they were taken (yes there were exceptions...”DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN” because a sincere attempt was made to properly sample the population and people would actually take the time to answer the calls from the pollsters.

Those days are gone.


14 posted on 08/05/2020 5:34:03 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: cuban leaf

Reagan missed dying in office by less that a quarter of an inch. To close for comfort.


15 posted on 08/05/2020 5:34:30 AM PDT by mad_as_he$$
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To: All

He figures saying Trump is losing will cause trump-hating lefties to start writing him checks.


16 posted on 08/05/2020 5:34:30 AM PDT by Liz ( Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doescommonn't know which bathroom to use.)
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To: palmer

God will have the final say.


17 posted on 08/05/2020 5:34:45 AM PDT by metmom ( ...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith....)
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To: palmer

“the lonely forecaster who predicted Mr. Trump’s victory in 2016”

Well, since the first sentence was a lie right off the bat I refuse to read the rest of this tripe...we’ll see about who wins.


18 posted on 08/05/2020 5:34:50 AM PDT by V_TWIN
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To: palmer
I just found this:

So he pushed impeachment and pushes gun control.

19 posted on 08/05/2020 5:35:20 AM PDT by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways from Sunday)
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To: palmer

Proverbs 21:30
There is no wisdom, no insight, no plan that can succeed against the Lord.


20 posted on 08/05/2020 5:35:22 AM PDT by Red Badger (To a liberal, 9-11 was 'illegal fireworks activity'...........................)
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