Newt Gingrich: Dems' attempt to flip Senate could be determined by this Republican primary Tuesday

FOX News ^ | 8/1/20 | Newt Gingrich

[DoodleDawg]

We are watching a fascinating, bold and audacious effort by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y. to steal the U.S. Senate seat in Kansas.

While Sen. Pat Roberts, R-Kan., is retiring after four terms, this would normally be a safe Republican seat. In fact, no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate seat from Kansas since 1932. This 82-year record of Republican senators (since the election of Sen. Clyde Reed in 1938) is the longest of any state in the country.

The Democrats are running State Senator Barbara Bollier, a Republican-turned-Democrat. She would normally be expected to run a good race, get 45 percent or less, and stay in Kansas.

However, Schumer and the Washington Democrats have come up with a clever scheme to change history, break the Republicans’ biggest winning streak and steal the Kansas seat to help take over a majority in the US Senate.

The general problem for Republicans is a crowded primary Tuesday. The specific problem for Republicans is Kris Kobach, the former secretary of state in Kansas. He is seen as being too far to the right. In fact, when he ran for governor in 2018, he only received 43 percent of the vote – a poor showing for a Republican in this state.

[DoodleDawg]

Operation Chaos in reverse. The Democrats did this in 2018 to pair Kobach against Kelly. They're trying again with the race against Bollier.

[DIRTYSECRET]

Brownback’s fault. A conservative who didn’t deliver results so Kobach gets the blame. Kobach is a loser so you go for the possible rino. Buckley rule.

[rintintin]

It looks like Kobach is REALLY unpopular with establishment DC Republicans and the US Chamber of Commerce.

Does it have something to do with the issue of cheap labor immigration? Maybe it’s his opposition to bringing in large numbers of immigrants on work visas, when millions of Americans are out of work? Is that why a lot of powerful people don’t like him?

[tennmountainman]

Yep. In this case, must go with the RINO.
Kansas just isn’t as conservative as it once was.
And we need to hold that seat

[Meatspace]

This is legacy Republican Senate Seat. Democrats have no respect for that Kansas tradition and will stop at nothing to steal the seat.

[Dilbert San Diego]

Well, it’s going to be close in the Senate.

Right now, Republicans are in control by 53 to 47.

Doug Jones in Alabama should lose to Tuberville, so that would get us to 54 to 46.

But then a number of GOP senators are in trouble. In addition to Kansas, I hear Colorado, Iowa, Maine, Arizona, and Montana see GOP incumbents in tough races.

So if the GOP loses four of these six other states, that brings us to 50-50. Then we need to see Trump get reelected to still control the Senate, with Mike Pence as the tie breaking vote, otherwise Biden’s running mate is the tie breaker for Democrat control.

Any Democrat incumbents in trouble besides Doug Jones?

[rfp1234]

Kathleen Sebelius was elected Gov. not long ago.
Enough said.

[DIRTYSECRET]

Please be advised there are more than a Jim Jeffords or 2 if it goes 50-50.

[yarddog]

Wichita had a very liberal congressman for many years. I think most people simply didn’t know. Fortunately gun control got him.

[centurion316]

I think that Kobach would be a good Senator. But, he can’t win the general election. If Marshall is not the Rebublican nominee, the Democrats will win the seat and most likely win the Senate. The Democrats are pouring lots of money into Kobach’s campaign. Kobach is the last man they want in the Senate. It’s not hard to connect the dots.

[Major Matt Mason]

Not my state, but if Kobach wins the primary, then the point should be made that RINOs need to hold their noses and vote for Kobach. Conservatives are constantly being told to hold their noses and vote for RINOs, and you can see where that has gotten us. If a RINO actually wants a Democrat to win, then they don't belong in the party any more given how extreme the Democrats have become.

[edie1960]

Any Democrat incumbents in trouble besides Doug Jones?

Thought I heard a few days ago that John James was closing the gap with Gary Peters in Michigan. Just did a few searches, but couldn’t find something to link here. Wish I could remember what the source was and where I had heard it.

[yarddog]

Well put. Actually, extremely well said.

[DoodleDawg]

This is legacy Republican Senate Seat. Democrats have no respect for that Kansas tradition and will stop at nothing to steal the seat.

Would the Republicans do anything different for a Democrat seat?

[DoodleDawg]

Kobach is the last man they want in the Senate.

But the first man they want to win the nomination. In 2018 Kobach won the primary or came withing five or six points of winning the primary in counties he promptly lost by 25 points in the general. He is poison in eastern Kansas and in the five or six largest counties in the state in terms of population.

[DoodleDawg]

Not my state, but if Kobach wins the primary, then the point should be made that RINOs need to hold their noses and vote for Kobach.

Not going to happen. They would rather have Bollier in there than Kobach.

[DoodleDawg]

Any Democrat incumbents in trouble besides Doug Jones?

No.

[MacNaughton]

6 Doug Jones in Alabama should lose to Tuberville, so that would get us to 54 to 46.

Yard signs in Hoover, AL (metro-Birmingham) 2 years ago before the 2018 mid-term elections.
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Yard sign variation of the 1 above.

The latest version in Hoover, AL.

These signs have been paired with Doug Jones signs in the same yards at an alarming rate. Hoover used to be a strong GOP community. Sadly the Baby-Boomers are being eclipsed by Gen X-Y-Z. BLM has a near-steady presence protesting in front of city hall. My point is that Tuberville is not a sure thing in AL. I have only seen 2 Tuberville signs in Hoover.

[lodi90]

Not going to happen. They would rather have Bollier in there than Kobach.

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The is the problem right here. RINOs prefer progressive Democrats and their agenda to conservative voting GOP grassroots voters. Yet we’re bullied into dragging weak RINOs over the finish line knowing fully they will betray us if they win.

[centurion316]

The Democrats are evil, but they aren’t stupid. What happened in 2018 will be repeated in 2020.