Posted on 07/17/2020 7:12:04 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Without fail, the media seems intent on making America out to be the lone failure in the world in the battle against the coronavirus.
Many media outlets have described the United States as “losing the war” against the coronavirus because of the number of cases keeps going up. Axios, for example created a chart show that if all coronavirus patients (confirmed cases) were a city, it would be the third-largest city in the country. The recent trend of the media to focus on the total number of cases seems to be a result of the recent spike cases that failed to produce a similar spike in deaths. So far, we’ve only just seen a small bump in fatalities, and there is evidence that data dumps of backlogged data could be inflating those numbers.
p>Nevertheless, because we’ve witnessed a spike in cases and there have roughly 3.5 million cases in the United States, that’s the number the media seems to be gravitating to. Why? Because when you look at the number of cases or the number deaths individually and compare them to other countries, the USA seems be the hardest hit…
…that is until you account for population or look at the ratio of deaths per confirmed cases. I’ve previously examined how the United States measures up on cases and deaths per capita, so we know why the media doesn’t report on that, but the media the media also doesn’t want to report about case fatality rate (CFR). And the following graphs will show you why.
I decided to look at the case fatality rate of the United States and compare it to select European countries. We often hear about how enlightened Europe is compared to the United States, with their progressive politics and various version of universal health care.
(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...
COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate (CFR) comparison of USA and select European countries.
I wonder why the media doesn't report this. 🤔
(Chart via https://t.co/SXYUO5VBEt) pic.twitter.com/0FNd0wr4H9
— Matt Margolis 🇺🇸 (@mattmargolis) July 16, 2020
My read on the Trump strategy is that he plans to wait a couple of weeks until the death rate has two zeros to the right of the decimal and then start calling out the B.S.
That’s what I hope for anyway.
BTW, CFR (Case Fatality Rate) is not necessarily the best or most accurate metric.
As OurWorldInData explains, “it’s important to note that it is the ratio between the number of confirmed deaths from the disease and the number of confirmed cases, not total cases. That means that it is not the same as – and, in fast-moving situations like COVID-19, probably not even very close to – the true risk for an infected person.”
This is very true. The CFR in the United States is currently just under 4 percent, but that doesn’t mean nearly 4 percent of the people infected by COVID-19 will die.
A quick Q” Doesn’t the “test” check for antibodies? If you have the antibodies, you’re safe then, right? Or could you possibly still pass the China Virus on to someone else if your body hasn’t killed it completely?
It is really bizarre.
I read an excellent article yesterday by (I think) some Stanford statistician building on the work of some Stanford (I think) doctor/public health person, and though lengthy, here was the gist:
The various metrics and curves for this virus are, not surprisingly, like all others.
Most importantly, in about 3 weeks, the virus will be essentially done.
(Not addressed of course is the next virus/fear porn attack).
But the media coverage is screaming that in three weeks Armageddon is here, well, a sustained ARmageddon that will last throughout 2021 and that hospitals are being BURIED. Baghdad Bob all over again.
I think by mid-August....something has to change. I don’t know what, but somehow, if the virus really is done by then, somehow, people need to see that reality and that means working around the media.
Democrat governors have already shot their wad by killing as many nursing home and care facility patients as possible, so their media lackeys naturally want to ignore CFR.
The asymptomatic cases show that we need to really test more to know more. Asymptomatic means that one got the infection without the severity.
Too bad because NY still has a high performance capita death rate for a U.S. State. Philadelphia also has tons of packed apartment buildings, and dense population too. per capita feels like a better measurement to me since population density and size vary.
AFAIK. swine flu is forecasted for this winter.
I tested last week and specifically asked that question. The answer is “no”. The tests for COVID infection and antibodies are two different tests.
LOL.
This idiot is looking at a hurricane front and trying to see a silver lining.
As the number of cases soar in the United States in “this second round” the Case fatality rate is bound to fall, because we have better treatment and knowledge about the disease.
The fact that the US has a soaring number of infections is the reason our case fatality rate now appears low.
Democrat Governors are still awaiting their marching orders until November in hopes of the much needed Pelosi states bailout plan.
The nasal swab test is for a current CoVid infection.
The blood test is for the antibodies of CoVid after the infection is over.
It would be nice if this country would STOP trade with them until they really clean up their act.
Now I read that the bubonic plague has resurfaced in China's Inner Mongolia.
This is an analysis that needs to be done in hindsight and should really focus on Infection Fatality Rate, not Case Fatality Rate.
IFR takes the oddities of testing out of the equation.
They won’t tell you WHO has those cases (age, existing co-morbidities, severity of symptoms, etc). Without that information, raw case numbers is as worthless as saying “yesterday it rained” without saying where or how much.
Herd immunity threshold seems to be 10-20%. Stockholm study shows 17%, Sweden got it at 14%. Over 80% of people seem to have massive T cells ready and waiting to deal with covid (makes sense, as we have been bombarded with coronaviruses for our whole lives). Which would explain the cruise ship, where in a perfect environment for the spread of a virus, only 17% became sick.
This thing is OVER. Now when will the Karens, Fearpers and the little tin pot dictators let the fat lady sing?
How long does someone with the China Virus stay sick (if they do get sick at all)? My question goes to how State's China Virus dashboards show "current infections", but some of those tests were done months ago. Those people couldn't possibly still be infected, or could they?
Well since Florida just classified a motorcycle death as being CoVid related AND justified it, I no longer believe ANY data being shoved down our throats
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