National polls in 2016 were pretty accurate in predicting the margin. Don't forget Clinton won the popular vote by a few points as predicted.
You can ignore national polls because it is states that matter, but if you see the national margin much larger than 2016, it will be a sign that the close races Trump won states like Michigan and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin will be much tougher this time
Don't let polls being wrong lull you into false sense of security. We need to work twice as hard as in 2016 for Trump to win.
You make good points...Rasmussen had Hillary by 2% shortly before the election in 2016; and I think she won the popular vote by a very close percentage- around 1% or 2%. There are a hand full of counties in states like you mention that will be absolutely crucial again, and even small changes from 2016 in the remaining counties of those states could easily tip the balance one way or another.
Which polls ?
The Polls in July or Nov ?
The final polls are always more accurate .
Show me the same July polls.
Lets compare apples to apples not
two different time periods .
stop pushing this bullshit.
The national polls this far out had her way ahead.
Also ahead by double digits in PA, WI and MI.
Tied in FLorida.