Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: teeman8r

The Case Fatality Rate depends completely on the total number of people who have been infected.

My own estimate is 10% of the USA population - about 33 million.

We have tested 33.5 million Americans, and their infection rate is 8.2%.

No one is reporting the antibody test numbers, but they are at least 1.8%, and probably much higher than that.

Total USA deaths are - 128,783

Divide 128,783 deaths by 33 million infections = 0.4%

If we counted COVID deaths the same way we count flu deaths, the COVID Case Fatality Rate would drop to 0.2% - almost identical to the flu rate in 2018.


41 posted on 07/03/2020 8:25:54 AM PDT by zeestephen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: zeestephen

“””We have tested 33.5 million Americans, and their infection rate is 8.2%”””


No, we have conducted 33.5 million tests in the USA.

Many people are tested more than once. The number of Americans tested is probably less than 20 million.


49 posted on 07/03/2020 8:30:37 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies ]

To: zeestephen
The Case Fatality Rate depends completely on the total number of people who have been infected.

The CFR depends on the number of people that have been definitively diagnosed.

The Infection Fatality Rate depends on the number infected and can only be estimated.

64 posted on 07/03/2020 8:59:30 AM PDT by semimojo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson