A very valid opinion. You can sense the anger on the Chinese side. They have kept mum about the actual figure to save themselves from embarrassment but you can see they are looking for retribution. What remains to be seen is what the first spark is going to be that starts the war. My guess is once they are fully deployed in the area they will give an ultimatum to the Indians - vacate the Galwan Valley area within X number of days or hostilities begin.
I have had a feeling since the island and reef issues started that a lot of the push out from China is due to rising internal unrest. They are looking to create something externally in hopes of giving their population someplace to focus their anger.
The population doesn’t feel that they are receiving the return from all the investment and economic ‘progress’ that they are being told has occurred. They know that the real wealth being built is not making it out of the favored politburo hands and a select group of connected individuals.
The clamp downs on communication and increase in monitoring that have happened over the past 10 years have only increased their frustration.
The average Chinese citizen loves their country but knows that they aren’t getting a fair deal.
The government knows of the increased unrest and is looking for a way to divert it. Again my opinion, but based on involvement with the place in some kind since the 80s.
If they try to force something India won’t back down. They know if they back down it would wave a red flag of weakness to Pakistan. Instead they’ll increase their own forces and wait for China to make the first move.
If the bullets start to fly, I’ll wager on the Indian side, especially in a shorter conflict which is what I’d expect. Otherwise it’ll turn into a long drawn out war of attrition. The decision there would lie with which population looses nerve first....again given the long term Pakistan situation that India is accustomed to, I’d say China would not prevail.