October 23 2016
Clinton up by 12 points over Trump in ABC News tracking poll
https://abc7ny.com/poll-politics-hillary-clinton-donald-trump/1568931/
Yes, late October was the first time Hillary cleared the 50% threshold. Biden did it in May this year. That is what people are pointing to as being different.
Again that’s one poll. Others showed it way closer. The AVERAGE of polls at this point is double what Hillary. It’s not the same as 2016.