Yes, but that’s one poll. Most polls at that point showed the race much closer. The polling average was Clinton +5 at this point. Right now it’s Biden +10.
“Yes, but that’s one poll. Most polls at that point showed the race much closer. The polling average was Clinton +5 at this point. Right now it’s Biden +10.”
If you’re referring to the current RPC average, the specific polls included in their current average make a big difference. For example, in 2016 the LA times tracking poll which showed better numbers for Trump was included, which helped his average. So far I’m not seeing that poll along with some of the others in the current RCP average. Instead we’re mostly seeing polls from polling organizations that historically have looked bad for Trump, at least so far.