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To: St. Louis Conservative; LS

“Yes, but that’s one poll. Most polls at that point showed the race much closer. The polling average was Clinton +5 at this point. Right now it’s Biden +10.”

If you’re referring to the current RPC average, the specific polls included in their current average make a big difference. For example, in 2016 the LA times tracking poll which showed better numbers for Trump was included, which helped his average. So far I’m not seeing that poll along with some of the others in the current RCP average. Instead we’re mostly seeing polls from polling organizations that historically have looked bad for Trump, at least so far.


149 posted on 06/24/2020 4:03:42 PM PDT by ScottfromNJ
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To: ScottfromNJ

Just my take: the polls have gotten far worse, not better.

The pollsters flat rebelled at changing their methods, and have drifted even further off.

But, hey, you guys believe all the Hoax Polls you want.


152 posted on 06/24/2020 6:27:04 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: ScottfromNJ; LS

The state polls are in now from this survey

New York Times/Siena State Polls

Arizona: Biden 48%, Trump 41%

Florida: Biden 47%, Trump 41%

Michigan: Biden 47%, Trump 36%

North Carolina: Biden 49%, Trump 40%

Pennsylvania: Biden 50%, Trump 40%

Wisconsin: Biden 49%, Trump 38%

https://t.co/E14kuLw6rj


153 posted on 06/25/2020 4:58:43 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
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