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India may re-evaluate neutrality in the US-China war
The Sunday Guardian ^ | June 20, 2020, 9:10 pm | M D Nalapat

Posted on 06/20/2020 5:01:14 PM PDT by Zhang Fei

New Delhi: The People’s Republic of China has, since 1949, had three transformational leaders: Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping and now Xi Jinping. All three threw into the waste basket the agreements and protocols agreed upon till then and negotiated their own versions for adoption, whenever they regarded doing so as advantageous to China. Mao charted an entirely new course in domestic and foreign policy, as did Deng. The latter had the advantage of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leadership rungs all but destroyed by the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution of the 1960s. He was, therefore, enabled to slice through the opposition of the ideologues to his plans at bringing China into the front rank of the world’s economies when at the time it was lagging behind India, a country that saw a much lower growth rate during the 1950s to the 1970s than even Pakistan.

When Xi Jinping took over from Hu Jintao in 2012, the rest of the party leadership was strong to a degree that it had not been during the period in office of the growth-focused Jiang Zemin and the first term of the softer hand of Hu Jintao. Xi moved carefully but steadily in consolidating his control over the entire machinery of the CCP. The war that he unleashed on corrupt officials proved effective in getting rid of several within the various rungs of the party machine who had been less than enthusiastic about the new boss in town. Although reports continue to surface, especially outside China, about fissures and cabals designed to weaken the now limitless-termed General Secretary of the CCP, the reality remains that by 2017, Xi had achieved mastery over even the People’s Liberation Army, an important—indeed vital—component of the Party. It was perhaps not entirely coincidental that this was the year when

(Excerpt) Read more at sundayguardianlive.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; dengxiaoping; hujintao; india; jiangzemin; kag; maga; maozedong; pakistan; trump; xijinping
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To: yarddog

[I saw an episode of Firing Line with Daniel Moynihan as guest.

Buckley mentioned that India would take food given to India by America and stamp it as a gift of the USSR. Moynihan who had been Ambassador to India, confirmed that was true.]


Weirdly enough, I think I remember that episode, or having read about it in the National Review, back before the interwebs.


21 posted on 06/20/2020 5:35:06 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: Zhang Fei

India supported the USSR during the cold war. We shouldn’t forget.


22 posted on 06/20/2020 5:37:37 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Moynahan was the ambassador under Nixon who let that stuff pass. Trump won’t.


23 posted on 06/20/2020 5:40:42 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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Comment #24 Removed by Moderator

To: central_va

Not really, yet.

Go shop for anything, anywhere.

“Made in China”


25 posted on 06/20/2020 5:55:42 PM PDT by cba123 ( Toi la nguoi My. Toi bay gio o Viet Nam.)
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To: Fai Mao

Russia is not a viable me threat to any super power. They do not have the wealth or population to fund prolonged war making.


26 posted on 06/20/2020 5:58:28 PM PDT by FreedomNotSafety
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To: va22030

“US-India-Japan should free Tibet

“Yeah, we’ll mobilize and invade./s


27 posted on 06/20/2020 6:00:36 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: Zhang Fei

What about US neutrality in the India-China war?


28 posted on 06/20/2020 6:06:25 PM PDT by Salman (A faction of the ruling class is trying to cancel America.)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

[India supported the USSR during the cold war. We shouldn’t forget.]


It was moral support at best. I’m pretty cynical about India. There’s a defense forum posting where an Indian vet talked about, during Indira Gandhi’s tenure (the late unpleasantness over India’s invasion of East Pakistan, now Bangladesh), an Indian operation to seize Diego Garcia that was recalled at the last minute. He knows about it because of a personal connection - his dad was involved:

http://www.worldaffairsboard.com/printthread.php?t=3473&pp=50&page=2

If we got anything beyond moral support from the Indians, we’d be ahead of the game, or at least the Russians.


29 posted on 06/20/2020 6:13:07 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: Zhang Fei

As I’ve said before, the only reason Chinese aren’t the rudest people on Earth is because there are Indians.


30 posted on 06/20/2020 6:51:05 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: Gen.Blather

Muscle mussel muss ill


31 posted on 06/20/2020 7:01:07 PM PDT by fishtank (The denial of original sin is the root of liberalism.)
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To: catbertz

Russia has backstabbed India on a lot of arms purchases and sold them fourth rate garbage they usually don’t sell anyone else except African countries.

India has had better luck with Israel and NATO equipment, and would be better going there to get more. There is talk about selling F-35’s to India, as well as modern Abrams tanks if they ditch Russia completely.


32 posted on 06/20/2020 7:03:31 PM PDT by Thunder90 (All posts soley represent my own opinion.)
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To: Thunder90

F-35’s? No way. One will end up in the hands of who knows?


33 posted on 06/20/2020 7:14:44 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: Thunder90

[India has had better luck with Israel and NATO equipment, and would be better going there to get more. There is talk about selling F-35’s to India, as well as modern Abrams tanks if they ditch Russia completely.]


Unlikely to happen for a while re certain items. The Indians want tech transfer. No way that’s gonna happen for F-35’s. I suspect the issue with India on arms sales is the same as the problem foreign investors have had with entering the Indian market. The Indians want a huge amount of benefit while opening their market a tiny crack, and depositing land mines in the path of investors.

This is why so many foreign investors made a beeline for China instead of India when both countries had comparable income. Even at a time when Chinese incomes are almost 5x India’s, foreign investors still largely prefer China, because doing business in India is like pulling teeth, and this is when investors are looking to put capital into India. When you’re talking about selling arms, you don’t want to know what the Indian will demand. It won’t necessarily be your first-born, but it probably won’t be far off.

A while back, I was traveling through the Orient and got into an involved conversation with an Indian-American with a thick Indian regional accent who was on his way to meet a supplier in China. I asked him why he was dealing with Chinese suppliers. Surely Indian suppliers were cheaper. He said, basically, that the Indian stuff was way crappier, and the bureaucracy was just byzantine. In essence, he said life’s too short.


34 posted on 06/20/2020 7:15:45 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: Zhang Fei; yarddog

Back then India was run by a hard left political party and their leader(Neru) was a Soviet loving communist.


35 posted on 06/20/2020 7:21:44 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: Zhang Fei
Interesting info about their 1950s-1970s low growth rate, "lower even than Pakistan".

36 posted on 06/20/2020 7:21:51 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: Secret Agent Man; Fai Mao; Zhang Fei

Maybe we could supply India with the weaponry to deter or defeat the Chinese (at reasonable prices).

We could thereby gain one of the world’s biggest arms markets, and take it from Russia (which is increasingly in bed with China).

As the article points out, just an economic decoupling of India from China, will weaken the Chinese strategically over time.

Its kind of a big deal, with many factors, many variables shifting over time. But the Chinese killing a bunch of Indian soldiers, and seizing some Indian land, seems to be a making a pretty big shift in India - driving them toward the US and its allies, on many fronts.

If India plays its cards right, it could pick up a lot of the business that is getting pulled out from China - a once in a generation opportunity, perhaps the only one of this magnitude that could ever be available to a country as big as India. There is that strong incentive, at the same time that the strong stick of Chinese aggression is driving them in the same direction.

Flipping India into active competition/opposition to China, would be a major geostrategic shift.


37 posted on 06/20/2020 7:29:05 PM PDT by BeauBo
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy

Given that both countries have killed off a substantial portion of their females due to abortion, it doesn’t surprise me.


38 posted on 06/20/2020 7:38:54 PM PDT by Amberdawn (Want To Honor Our Troops? Then Be A Citizen Worth Fighting For.)
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To: va22030

How and why? Who would want to wage nuclear war to conquer a dirt poor province of China? To what end?


39 posted on 06/20/2020 9:04:28 PM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: Zhang Fei

Blah, blah, blah. This is a empty threat to China, IMHO. Posturing. Just when India loses a little border skirmish with China, suddenly they “might not be neutral” in some theoretical war against the USA? Seriously? They would be idiots to NOT take advantage of China while we are kicking their asses. Gee, thanks India.

No, we should not help India, even in the current border dispute. If there is war between the US and China, India will do what is best for India. They are seeking military cooperation with the US, Japan, and Australia, and I don’t oppose that. But if they are serious about countering China, they should be building defense alliances with their neighbors, the ASEAN nations, as they offer land access to China’s southern provinces (and troops) without crossing the Himalayas. If they wait until China controls the ASEAN countries, it will be too late.


40 posted on 06/21/2020 1:03:59 AM PDT by ETCM
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