It appears much of Latin America, especially Brazil and Mexico, is in a lot of trouble...
OUR numbers are a bit troubling too: Daily fatalities continue to slowly decline (good!), but daily new cases have essentially levelled out at around 20k / day, and total active cases are similarly level at about 1.1 million cases. This is NOT a “bell curve” or anything like one. We seem to be in a sort of balance between COVID-19’s infectiousness and relaxed restrictions on the one hand, and summer and a moderate level of precautions on the other. (My observation as I go about is that many people, maybe 60% of those in stores, no longer wear masks, and in general individuals’ mitigation is more lax -— this in addition to things “opening back up”.)
Hopefully downward trends in daily new cases will resume, and active cases will finally decline emphatically, but, other than hotter weather in the next couple month, I see nothing to drive such trends.
I am ok with the opening up, it is near absolute necessity. But I am not so pleased with the behavior of individuals. If we still have a base of 1 million KNOWN active cases, plus those not detected, when we get to fall, preventing a “second wave” could be tough. IMO.
Paul, if you’ll look back week to week, our numbers have
drifted lower. We’re at the lowest point we have been.
I see the CDC making big noises, but the numbers do not back
them up.
The positives to testing ratio is continuing to drop despite
their claims. Now these do bob up and down a bit, but there
isn’t a general trend upward, which stands in the face of
what they are claiming. New cases are in the high teens to
low 20s. That’s better. Our deaths are also far better.
There seems to be a real vested interest in scaring the
hell out of people. I’m not buying in.
Not inferring you were trying to worry folks. It’s just
that if you don’t really study the numbers, it pretty
easy to see some sort of doom coming.
I came very close to not posting my Update today. What
stopped me what this harangue about things getting worse.
Bull stuff... (again, the CDC, not you...)