COVID-19 Update - 06/08/2020

As of 06/07/2020 23:15 PDST United States CDC - Provisional Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Counties Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:46 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Process JHU Data
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Document Core Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture Nations Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture States Information
As of 00/00/2020 00:00 PDST WorldofMeters - Data Processing begins...
As of 00/00/2020 ??:?? PDST Publish COVID-19 Update - 00/00/00

Section: 01 Commentary, Special Reports, COVID-19 Update Info, & System Notes
Section: 02 the United States Situation
Section: 03 the Global Community Situation Outside China
Section: 04 the Global Community Situation Including China with reservations
Section: 05 the Mortality Report
Section: 06 Miscellaneous Reports of Interest
Section: 07 the United States, Counties (alphabetical / case no descending)
Section: 08 the United States, States Ranking, Provisional Numbers, & Territories
Section: 09 the United States, Ranked with Other Nations
Section: 10 the End of this COVID-19 Update
Section: 11 Data Sources and a Link to My Own Spreadsheet
Section: 12 Linked Spreadsheet: Counties, States, Provisional, Territories, & Nations
Section: 13 Links to Other Resources

Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information⁵
Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)

New Global Cases came in at 109,712 yesterday. Although it was a new record
for a Sunday, it was not an all-time reocrd, which now stands at 147,787 from
Friday 06/05.

New Cases in the United States dropped into a lower region at 18,904. That
was 3,729 Cases less than the day before and 22,819 less than the 41,723 the
day before that.

In the United States we had 373 Fatalities. That was the losest end of day
figure since March 29th, when the figure was 259. There were 702 Fatalities
on Saturday.

Sometime prior to 15:33 PDST the Seven millionth Global Case of COVID-19 was
identified. There are 3,233.757 Active Cases remaining at this time.

Sometime prior to 16:33 PDST the World lost it's 400,000th person to COVID-19
on Saturday. I know this topic is debatable. The number is out there, and I
don't want to simply ignore it.

Sometime prior to 15:33 PDST the United States identified it's 2 millionth
COVID-19 Case. There are 1,133,272 Active Cases remaining at this time.

Again yesterday, the large dump of New Cases onto the rolls like what took
place on Friday in the United States, did not repeat.

You can see the size of that idiotic blowout on Friday. Thankfully Sunday was
another day it didn't repeat.

Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Critical here, courtesy of amorphous

The Active Cases continue to languish in the U. S., as it still remains below
the zenith number of 1,176,025 from 05/30. We had been eliminating Acitve
cases for a few days there. I hope that can return soon. I'd like to think
we've seen our largest Active Case level already.

Our decline in the percent of the global pie returned to normal healthy
reductions on Saturday, and continued on Sunday. Looking back you can see
how we've really made progress here.

Unlike some of the other charts here, we should see a good rise and
fall at some point withone.

With some wild numbers being reported on Friday, this Chart has been
disrupted a bit. It still appears we're on the back side of the curve.

Some folks have shown an interest in seeing the COVID-19 Test figures compared
to the New Cases being declared. The following Data addresses that.

The percentages of New Cases compared with Testing figures, moving down. Check
out that 3.449% single day figure yesterday. That was nice.

The U. S. Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/17
Requested by: Texas Eagle

This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.

The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/17, but the data displayed
here will only go back one month.

The lines are coming together here. That dynamic is much more pronounced
for the Global scene on the Chart addressing that lower down in the Update.

Fata.lities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases - Globally, Excluding M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous

Look at that middle number. There was some relief in the size of that number
today. It was a Sunday, and we'll take it.

See how out of character Friday's number wound up being? Compare our
blue columns over the last few days. Look at that ridiculous jump, then
back down.

As in the U. S. version of this, we should see a good rise and fall at
some point these two.

You can see what one nation like France can do the the charts. I appreciate
them trying to be frank about their numbers, but there must be a little better
way to accomplish that. We saw the same type of thing in the U. S. when eight
states got creative with their numbers on Friday.

Sweden is doing its own thing with regard to isolating. I think most people
are aware of it by now.

Sweden still remains a hot topic, and it's tragectory IS NOT looking good
on that Chart. In it's own group, it's not good at all. If you compare it
to some European Nations, it looks no worse.

I will present the top fifty nations with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities.

Global osChina Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/05
Requested by: Texas Eagle

This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.

The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/05, but the data displayed
here will only go back one month.

That percentage in the right column there, has slipped a bit. It's still
higher than it was a few weeks back.

Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Critical
Cases Globally, Including M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous

Anyone paying attention is already aware of the issues surrounding these
numbers. I'm not going to touch base on them every day.

Charts like this one only show growth. That's why I recently took the advice
of a FReeper and added in a new chart for the U. S. and Global outside China
regions.

Well our Fatalities have fallen off again, and I particularly like it when
the growth goes sub 1.00%. I find I like it even better when it goes
sub 500.

Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one case.
I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this time.

We're not doing bad here. I do wish to see us improve our postion, but it
could be a lot worse.

I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certain days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticeably larger because of it.

This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report list only the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.

Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.

If this area interests you, please use this LINK to the source, and review
the lengthy description and explanation of it's development process.

There are two reports. The presentation above comes from the second one,
and the detailed segmented information below it, may interest you.

These can now also be found under the states on the Alphabetical list. The
states and these entity's numbers should be combined to match that of the
U. S. figures each day.

Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.

The U. S. will be highlighted red here so we can find it easily in the list.
There was 215 nations on this list last night now. I didn't want to post
seven lists with 215 nations on it, so I picked the top 50. Coincidentally,
one report category had the U. S. at 41st, so it wasn't showing up on the
list with the 31 top nations on it. That wasn't the reason why I extended the
list length, but it did work out well.

I work on the nations right next to the states on my spreadsheet. The
states with the District of Columbia come in at a total of 51 lines.
I decided to keep the international reports near that length, and 50
was good enough.

LINK Johns Hopkins University
The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)

LINK You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.

LINK US Counties²⁰⁰, States & DC⁵¹, Territories & Other Entities¹¹, Nations²¹⁴,
and the CDC Provisional Counts⁵³
Five Excel Spreadsheet datasets you can sort for your own studies...

Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own judgement.

LINK Antibiotic Vitamin, the (Vitamin D)
Good article on Vitamin D's likely role in prevention of infection. Thanks Blam.

LINK CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.

LINK CDC National Center for Health Services
Provisional deaths as determined by review of vital documents. Much lower...

LINK Coronavirus infection risk may be reduced by Vitamin D
by Former CDC Chief Dr. Tom Frieden

LINK Coronavirus Spread Quickly Around the World in Late 2019, Study Shows
the University College London Genetics Institute

LINK COVID-19 Deaths Broken Out by Thirds, 05/07/20 Map of US Counties
Very revealing display of Concentrated Death Zones - thanks hoosiermama

LINK COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
New England Journal of Medicine article

LINK Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians

LINK Hydroxychloroquine Has about 90 Percent Chance of Helping COVID-19 Patients
the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, reports 91.6% of patients improved clinically

LINK On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.

LINK R_t COVID-19
Calculates and displays the R_t Factor for each state. Thanks FreedomPoster.

I'm going to be blunt here.

Clearly, you want to find fault with me because I say basically what the public health officials are saying. And you have decided that none of the experts know what they are talking about, therefore neither do I. It looks like your "information" comes from questionable sources like "Plandemic" and you don't want to see any real analysis because for some reason, you find the pseudoscience more appealing. Don't expect any real scientist to validate your belief in pseudoscience, it isn't going to happen.

You have demonstrated that you do not understand anything about infectious disease spread or microorganism biology.

Point by point:

In all your Ph.D. glory you picked an RO that has been demonstrated to be incorrect.

First, the correct term is R0--R zero, not R O. If you have evidence that the R0 I used for Covid-19 of 2.5 is not within the range of R0 values that have been published in various sources, provide that evidence. Don't just pull something out of your rear without any validation or evidence whatsoever. Furthermore, for the purpose of calculating the spread of the disease, the R0 I used is rather arbitrary. I used values of R0 = 2.5 with each round of infection lasting 9 days, but I could have just as easily used a different R0 and a different round of infection. Also, since you clearly believe that Covid-19 jumped from 27 cases in December to millions of (asymptomatic) cases in January--do you even have a clue that you are claiming that the R0 of Covid-19 is orders of magnitude higher than the R0 of any pathogen ever known?

Combine this with real scientific data that hypothesize that lock downs and mitigation make no difference — and you are stuck with that you are just plain wrong.

I think I already mentioned that "Plandemic" is not, in fact, a credible source of scientific information. The fact that you do not believe that lock downs, social distancing, etc., had any effect on the course of disease only illustrates further your lack of any understanding of disease transmission processes. Here is a paper on transmission of respiratory viruses: Transmission routes of respiratory viruses among humans. Read it and then explain, using real scientific terms and concepts, why you believe that mitigation measures have no effect. For bonus credit, explain how the 6 foot social distance was derived. Feel free to download and read any of the references linked within that paper.

As for your tenuous grasp on antibodies — there is CLEAR evidence as published by peer reviewed sources that previous corona virus infection confers cross immunity because they are in the same class. You have also not accounted for the two papers that demonstrate attenuation of the virus to less virulent and less severe

So you mention cross immunity of antibodies. Kudos for actually using a scientific term. Just wondering, do you also believe that an antibody test can be specific for Covid-19? Hint: if you do, then you do not understand the mechanism of cross immunity, or cross reactivity. Also, if you are going to mention "two papers", you should provide links to those papers. That is what people do when they actually have facts on their side. If they don't have facts, they only make vague mentions of supposed evidence--like you just did.

There have been numerous ARDS cases in January - April that were influenza negative and retrospectively were CoVID by clinical scenario (although I also insist that we should not include them in a confirmed data set). The fact of the matter is there are reports in the Deep South of entire schools being out in December for horrendous GI and respiratory syndromes.

Influenza like illnesses happen every year. That does *not* mean that Covid-19 has been circulating all of this time. It only means that the causative agent was not identified--either it is an influenza virus that does not show on the typical tests, or it is one of the many viruses that is not typically tested for. So there was a nasty respiratory virus circulating this winter, just like there is every winter. So what.

Combine this with OVERTESTING and the recent WHO statement that asymptomatic spread does NOT exist, and you end up with a big goose egg.

You do realize that this statement completely contradicts the narrative that somehow millions of people contracted Covid-19 simultaneously in January from the 27 people who got Covid-19 in December? "Overtesting" means that there are not cases being missed (a crucial component of the narrative). And asymptomatic transmission also means that there cannot be millions of people spreading Covid-19 while having no symptoms whatsoever (another crucial component of the narrative). So, which is it--a narrative in which millions of people suddenly contracted a disease that never existed in people before, and only a small fraction of them ever had symptoms? Or are the case counts published in various venues actually correct? It can't be both.

You said according to your work, we have 1% of the cases that we should have, leading to 200M cases in your estimation.

So, where are your calculations of the disease trajectory, using an R0 and infection rate that matches actual case data? Do you have any data on cases, deaths, recoveries? I've been keeping a spreadsheet that I have updated daily since Mar 13; where is your data? At the actual rate of growth in the first few months of the pandemic, we would reach 1 billion cases within the next couple of days. But we didn't; the rate of growth started to slow around Apr 11. As a result, the actual number of cases is 1% of what it would have been had nothing been done to alter the rate of growth.

What is your Ph.D in? What is the title of your dissertation. And for the love of all that is good, I would get your money back.

Oh, please. Do you seriously think I'm going to post anything here that would tell anyone my real identity? I'm quite please with my education, actually, at one of the top universities in the country and the world. They did a good job.

And please, please, please stop displaying your ignorance.

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