My "model" utilized actual case data and the mathematical formula of case growth derived from the case data. The mathematical formula closely matched case growth until April 2. After April 2, the growth of new cases slowed, so the mathematical formula tells me what the cases numbers would look like without the quarantines/lockdowns/etc. The quarantines, etc., were put into place during the last two weeks of March. We see a slowing of the growth of new cases after an incubation period passed.
Covid-19 spread at the rate of each person infected 2.5 others within a period of 9 days. The mathematics of this is pretty straightforward.
You still don’t understand the limits of the math and you still think you are smarter than the virus and all the environmental factors involved. I warned you about extrapolation but you continue to insist you know the outcome of things that never happened or will come to be. 90% off from prediction? Give me a break Karnak. I ain’t no entomologist but I know snake oil when I see it.
You want to continue the lockdown? Be my guest and lock yourself away.