And THAT is the most egregious part of this. Anyone who understands math and modeling should know that you really have NOTHING to support prediction. Its the Hockey Stick global warming model all over again. The best you can do is be like the weatherman..."there is a good chance that tomorrow will be like today." Now thats a great job to have.
Ridiculous. Applying past experience with other diseases to new ones is the essence of epidemiology.
To think we can't learn anything from earlier virus-spread diseases is silly.
You say modeling based on our past experience is useless "NOTHING to support prediction".
Our leaders need to make decisions. How do you propose they inform themselves?