[NELSON111]

>>>computer models are always “best guesses” They are not scientific

As someone who has been a meteorologist for 32 years - THAT is a stupid - ignorant statement. Computer models are based on math and science. Some are crap and some are good. Each model has its bias - and some are good in certain situations - and some are bad for others.

I spend an entire career making forecasts and briefing 3 & 4-star generals and presidents on what computer models said...based on their science and math.

[philman_36]

I spend an entire career making forecasts and briefing 3 & 4-star generals and presidents on what computer models said...based on their science and math.
The advantage there is you KNOW within a short amount of time whether or not you were right in your forecasting.
If you're wrong...well, you know...The Weather Forecast That Saved D-Day

[Trump.Deplorable]

They are only as good as the data you feed into them

For example, we were feeding data in from China and South Korea, the data from China was wrong, so our models were off.

All models are best guesses, because that is what a model is.

Could you build a model, based on the past 10 years of lottery number drawings predict next week winning lottery numbers?

If you could, you and all your scientific pals would be crazy rich right now.

[DeplorableGirl]

And I’ve lived thru dozens of hurricanes living in South Louisiana, you people have gotten it wrong, endangered lives with useless hysteria, & caused misery....based on wrong models. It’s a pure guess.
But you never lose your jobs; Damn shame.