On April 18 I made an estimate of 75,000 deaths by June 1.
We will see how these estimates pan out.
Probably pretty close, or maybe upwards to 80,000.
I predict people will die like they do every day by a number of different reasons.
This COVID crap is no worse than the flu and few deaths are actually the result of the virus itself but as has been stated numerous times by underlying conditions.
The mortality numbers being used are inaccurate at best ad highly inflated.
I haven’t made any such estimate. The only estimate I’ve done is worldwide case data, based on an R0 of 2.5 and each round of infection occurring over a period of 9 days. This model worked well until Apr 2; after that, the case growth has dropped, which I attribute to widespread quarantine measures having been enacted in March.
I’ll have to do a death rate model and see what I come up with.
What is the point of these estimates since there are so many instances of deaths being attributed to the China Virus without any evidence the deceased was tested for the virus.
It’s all BS and a politically motivated fear campaign.