Posted on 04/25/2020 6:02:02 PM PDT by lasereye
With the latest reports of plummeting death rates from all causes, this crisis is over. The pandemic of doom erupted as a panic of pols and is now a comedy of Mash-minded med admins and stooges, covering their ifs ands and butts with ever more morbid and distorted statistics.
The crisis now will hit the politicians and political Doctor Faucis who gullibly accepted and trumpeted what statistician William Briggs calls “the most colossal and costly blown forecast of all time.”
An egregious statistical horror story of millions of projected deaths, suffused with incense and lugubrious accents from Imperial College of London to Harvard School of Public Health, prompted the pols to impose a vandalistic lockdown on the economy. It would have been an outrage even if the assumptions were not wildly astronomically wrong.
Flattening the curve was always a fool’s errand that widened the damage.
President Trump had better take notice. He will soon own this gigantic botch of policy and leadership. No one will notice that his opponents urged even more panicky blunders.
The latest figures on overall death rates from all causes show no increase at all. Deaths are lower than in 2019, 2018, 2017 and 2015, slightly higher than in 2016. Any upward bias is imparted by population growth.
Now writing a book on the crisis with bestselling author Jay Richards, Briggs concludes: “Since pneumonia deaths are up, yet all deaths are down, it must mean people are being recorded as dying from other things at smaller rates than usual.” Deaths from other causes are simply being ascribed to the coronavirus.
As usual every year, deaths began trending downward in January. It’s an annual pattern. Look it up. Since the lockdown began in mid-March, the politicians cannot claim that their policies had anything to do with the declining death rate.
A global study published in Israel by Professor Isaac Ben-Israel, chairman of the Israeli Space Agency and Council on Research and Development, shows that “the spread of the coronavirus declines to almost zero after 70 days—no matter where it strikes, and no matter what measures governments impose to try to thwart it.”
In fact, by impeding herd immunity, particularly among students and other non-susceptible young people, the lockdown in the U.S. has prolonged and exacerbated the medical problem. As Briggs concludes, “People need to get out into virus-killing sunshine and germicidal air.”
This flu like all previous viral flues will give way only to herd immunity, whether through natural propagation of an extremely infectious pathogen, or through the success of one of the hundreds of vaccine projects.
No evidence indicates that this flu was exceptionally dangerous. On March 20th, the French published a major controlled study that shows no excess mortality at all from coronavirus compared to other flues. SARS and Mers were both much more lethal and did not occasion what Briggs’ reader “Uncle Dave” described as “taking a hammer and sickle to the economy.”
We now know that the crisis was a comedy of errors. The Chinese let it get going in the raw bat markets of Wuhan. But together with the Koreans, the Chinese dithered and demurred and allowed six weeks of rampant propagation to create herd immunity before they began locking everyone up. Therefore, the Chinese and Koreans were among the first to recover.
The Italians scared everybody with their haphazard health system and smoking fogies. Crammed together in subways and tenements, the New Yorkers registered a brief blip of extreme cases. Intubations and ventilators turned out not to help (80 percent died). This sowed fear and frustration among medical personnel slow to see that the problem was impaired hemogloblin in the blood rather than lung damage.
The New York media piled on with panic, with bogus reports of rising deaths. “Coronavirus deaths” soared by assuming that people dying with the virus were dying from it and then by ascribing to the coronavirus other deaths among people with symptoms of pulmonary distress, even without being tested.
Now jacking up the case rate will be further pointless testing. As Briggs points out, “Fauci is calling for ‘tripling’ of testing, which can only boost these dailies [case totals]. And make it seem like there’s a genuine increase occurring. Oh my! The daily reported cases are up! It must mean the disease is spreading!
“No. It could also mean, and probably does given all the other evidence we now have from sampling, that the disease was already there, and we just now have measured it.”
The death rate rises with further reclassification of pneumonia and other pulmonary deaths. When we reach herd immunity, and nearly everyone has the antigen, nearly all deaths can be chalked up to COVID19. Hey, it will be Quod Erat Demonstrandum for the panic mongers.
In a fascinating open letter to German Prime Minister Angela Merkel, epidemiologist Mihai Grigorius concludes that with the French study, corroborated by findings from a Stanford antibody seroprevalence study in Santa Clara county, “the case for extreme measures collapses like a house of cards.” Grigorius says that since the virus has already spread widely in the general population, efforts to stop further spread are both futile and destructive.
So let’s stop pretending that our policies have been rational and need to be phased out, as if they once had a purpose. They should be reversed summarily and acknowledged to be a mistake, perpetrated by statisticians with erroneous computer models.
Perhaps then we can learn from this experience with the flaws of expertise not to shut down the economy again for the totally bogus “crisis” of climate change.
Gov. Hogan FREE MARYLAND.
A sensible article.
Gilder is a genius, why the left, including “The Oprah” does not like him.
Never-Trumper RINO Hogan is a POS!
What? Over? Did you say “over’? Nothing is over until we say it is. Was it over when the German’s bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!
It never was a ‘pandemic’ in 99% of the country.
Gov. Abbott, Open Texas!!!!
Whoever believes this must live on the moon.
Texas never really was closed. At least, not in my area.
Just watched this dr present the case
Part 1. https://youtu.be/xfLVxx_lBLU
Part 2. https://youtu.be/zb6j7o1pLBw
George Gilder bump for later....
This article is absolutely dead on! Thanks for posting it.
How did you get there?
PDJT always does the right thing, …… always.
Page 5 of 11 | EVMS Critical Care COVID-19 Management Protocol 04-20-2020 |
evms.edu/covidcare
11.Escalation of respiratory support (steps); Try to avoid intubation if at all possible, (see Figure 3)
•Accept “permissive hypoxemia” (keep O2 Saturation > 84%) •N/C 1-6 L/min•High Flow Nasal canula (HFNC) up to 60-80 L/min
•Trial of inhaled Flolan (epoprostenol)•Attempt proning (cooperative repositioning-proning; see Figure)
•Intubation ... by Expert intubator; Rapid sequence. No Bagging; Full PPE. Crash/emergency intubations should be avoided.
•Volume protective ventilation; Lowest driving pressure and lowest PEEP as possible. Keep driving pressures < 15 cmH2O. •Moderate sedation to prevent self-extubation
•Trial of inhaled Flolan (epoprostenol)•Prone positioning•?? ECMO < 60 yrs. and no severe commodities/organ failure.
There is widespread concern that using HFNC could increase the risk of viral transmission. There is however, no evidence to support this fear.
HFNC is a better option for the patient and the health care system than intubation and mechanical ventilation.
CPAP/BiPAP may be used in select patients, notably those with COPD exacerbation or heart failure.
A sub-group of patients with COVID-19 deteriorates very rapidly. Intubation and mechanical ventilation may be required in these patients.
12. Treatment of secondary HLH (increasing Ferritin, CRP and transaminases)
•“High dose corticosteroids.” Methylprednisolone 120 mg q 8 hourly for at least 3 days, then wean accruing to CRP, IL-6, Ferritin etc (see Figure 4).
•Tocilizumab (IL-6 inhibitor) as per dosing guideline. •Consider plasma exchange 13.Monitoring•Daily: PCT, CRP, IL-6, BNP, Troponins, Ferritin, Neutrophil-Lymphocyte ratio, D-dimer and Mg.
CRP, IL-6 and Ferritin track disease severity closely.
Thromboelastogram (TEG) on admission and repeated as indicated.
•In patients receiving IV vitamin C, the Accu-Chek™ POC glucose monitor will result in spuriously high blood glucose values. Therefore, a laboratory glucose is recommended to confirm the blood glucose levels.
•Monitor QTc interval if using chloroquine/hydrochloroquine and azithromycin and monitor Mg++ (torsades is uncommon in monitored ICU patients)
•No routine CT scans, follow CXR and chest ultrasound.
•Follow ECHO closely; Pts develop a severe cardiomyopathy.
Page 6 of 11 | EVMS Critical Care COVID-19 Management Protocol 04-20-2020 | evms.edu/covidcare
14.Post ICU managementa.Enoxaparin 40-60 mg s/c dailyb.
Methylprednisone 40 mg day, the wean slowlyc.
Vitamin C 500 mg PO BIDd.
Melatonin 3-6 mg at nig
I know I don't live on the moon because the covid case count in my county has doubled every week for the past 3 weeks. No, the pandemic is far from over here.
all true enough
but the Virus scare is an OPPORTUNITY for the D-commie-nazis to impose the dictatorship they’ve always wanted
1. restrict and track your movements (no freedom to travel)
2. outlaw public gatherings (no freedoms of association or to petition government for one’s grievances)
3. outlaw most religious prayer services (no freedom of religion)
4. scare people into even more patently unconstitutional 2A infringements, on the way to trying to confiscate (shooting it out with every firearms owner)
5. no ability to support yourself economically, you and all the rest of the sheeple are being turned into welfare recipients dependent on the political ruling elite (deep state, globalists?, SorozNazi in up to his neck for sure imho, this all is his wet dream ever since his 3rd Reich days)
6. need anything more be said?
this Virus scare (with its 24/7 mass media propaganda barrage) is the cleverest thing I’ve ever seen to abrogate all of our American liberties and turn USA into a total-control dictatorship. want some money, beg for it you scum! you won’t be permitted to earn or make any on your own. want to leave your home? beg for permission you scum! your wrist bracelet or portable phone with google tracking app is watching your every move out of your front door and reporting it directly to the police or your commie-nazi party local block vigilante force (SS, SA, Stazi, you name it they’re all about the same)
and since your only communications are now monitored and censored (facebook, twitter, etc.) .... you won’t even be permitted to complain about your imprisonment
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