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To: AndyJackson

You are a real ass. The model predicted far more deaths WITH social distancing, your whole argument was that the model is awesome and only is wrong because social distancing is better than they expected. Okay, or their totals without social distancing was wrong and the rest follows. Either way it was wrong and it’s still wrong. Models aren’t perfect and this one sure isn’t. But go on insulting people for no reason, really helps sell us that you’re a thinker.


35 posted on 04/20/2020 12:20:46 PM PDT by pepsi_junkie (Often wrong, but never in doubt!)
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To: pepsi_junkie

You are an ignorant unthinking ill-educated dolt


36 posted on 04/20/2020 1:43:18 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: pepsi_junkie

1.You didn’t answer the question. Do you believe the germ theory of disease is correct?

2. If so, what does the theory predict about the likelihood of transmitting a disease from one person to the next as distance between them increases.

3. More precisely can you write down an approximate mathematical model for how the probability changes with distance?

4. What do you think the principal uncertainties are in such a model?

5. How are those uncertainties relevant to the present circumstance?


38 posted on 04/20/2020 1:49:32 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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