[Vermont Lt]

Or perhaps, the stuff we did prevented the spread. Why is that so difficult to agree to?

I am absolutely stunned at the number of seemingly intelligent posters who are so “tied” to a model. You think because the circumstances changed, that lower numbers indicate a lie.

That has to be an example of the most close minded, pig headed type of thinking there is.

It doesn’t seem like a lot of you...but there ya go.

[Third Person]

What skin do you have in the game? You seem to be particularly invested

[Balding_Eagle]

Or may the stuff we did had little to do with where we are today:

Sweden Says Controversial Covid-19 Strategy Is Proving Effective; Schools, gyms, cafes, bars and restaurants still open throughout the pandemic

I am absolutely stunned at the number of seemingly intelligent posters who are so “tied” to a model.

[Steve_Seattle]

"I am absolutely stunned at the number of seemingly intelligent posters who are so “tied” to a model. You think because the circumstances changed, that lower numbers indicate a lie. That has to be an example of the most close minded, pig headed type of thinking there is."

I didn't accuse anyone of lying, nor do I think I implied they were lying. I said that - early on, even into late February and early March - prominent health officials suggested that - although we needed to be alert - the average person probably didn't have that much to fear from the corona virus.

I said they were wrong, not that they were lying. And I said that the early numbers supported what they were saying, i.e., that we did not see a spike in cases until mid-March, and a spike in deaths until early April.

It seems that the main problems with the early projections were that the incubation period was much longer than thought, and the virus was more easily spread than originally thought, possibly because many people were asymptomatic or showed only minor symptoms.