Anyone who thinks the threat of an EMP is science fiction is literally insane, and not worthy of anyone's time or attention.
An interesting and important article... I wish the author had not relied on Roget’s Thesaurus in every paragraph. If anyone is going to step up to this challenge, it’s President Donald J. Trump... He fights!
The main Electromagnetic Pulse threat is from Our Mr. Sun. The giant solar storm of 1859 caused the Carrington Event, which knocked out telegraph wires in many areas. Not a single computer system was damaged, however.
The solar flare of March 1989 knocked out Quebec’s electrical transmission system for nine hours.
We have one incidence of a man-made EMP attack: the 1962 Starfish Prime 1.4 megaton H-bomb test that was detonated 250 miles above Johnson Atoll, about 900 miles from Hawaii. 300 streetlights were knocked out in Hawaii, garage door openers were damaged, and burglar alarms were triggered. Phone service from Kauai was disrupted.
I’m not worried so much about the effects of an EMP attack. I’m not saying we wouldn’t get our hair mussed, but the real problems will be from the massive full-scale nuclear retaliation and exchange that would ensue. Nobody is going to be able to get away with an EMP attack without a subsequent visit from our submarine fleet.
The real “black swan” is that China is at war with us. Every possible plan of attack — and the infiltration that has already occurred — needs to be quickly identified and thoroughly neutralized.
Every black swan event of recent decades has been predicted.
911 - Predicted
Katrina - Predicted
2008 Financial meltdown - predicted
Trump win over Hillary - predicted
Pandemic - predicted.
Also, many false positives and false negatives predicted.
The challenge is to improve the prediction process. The #1 problem is bias. Bias is accepting some predictions and rejecting other predictiios. Bias in building the model on which the prediction is based.
Look at the current AI literature on AI Artificial Intelligence helping with Coronavirus. The literatue is full of bias. The voluntary chosen bad lifestyle of certain demographic groups is intentionally avoided and ignored.