Posted on 04/17/2020 2:01:48 PM PDT by Kaslin
I am in the shelter in place camp. I am also in the camp of thinking we cannot stay sheltered in place for long. I am also in the camp of thinking we must treat this as a regional problem, not a national problem. I am also in the camp of thinking we need the White House to form an articulable plan to help the 50 states reopen.
When I was in campaign management, we had a date certain -- the same date every campaign uses, i.e., the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. From there, we worked our way back.
When would the ads start? How much would they cost? What would be the mail plan? Where would the ads go? How much? When would we start door to door? How many houses did we need to hit? What about phone banking? How many volunteers versus how many paid staff?
If there were a primary, there'd be a mini-campaign inside the big campaign. The goal was to win in November, but you had to win the primary, too. How many donors did we need? What kind of money did we need? How many phone calls needed to be made each day?
Some staffer was assigned to go county by county to figure out how many precincts were in each county, how many votes were needed per county, who we had in each county, who we needed in each county and how many volunteers we could get in each county. Working backward from Election Day, we would hammer out a written plan to keep everyone focused and on track. We had daily and weekly metrics of things that needed to be done. If the metrics of one day could not be met, they rolled over. If they kept rolling over, we would have to assess logjams, impracticalities, reassignment of resources, etc.
It is now April 17, 2020. Assume the President wants to get the country reopened by May 15, 2020. We need to treat this like a campaign.
In just under 30 days, we need to know, among other things, county-by-county data on the virus, its spread, hospitalization rates and deaths; the number of masks needed beyond those already in production; the number of tests that could be ramped up with government help; the number of rapid tests that can be produced and an assessment of their accuracy; what laws and regulations we will need; and what we know that we do not know.
What counties are stable enough now that, if they had the antibody tests and rapid testing capabilities and masks, their citizens could leave the house to go out within their counties? What parts of the country might we be able to reopen on May 1 as test cases?
The President should lead with a basic policy point: The country must open where possible on May 15. Create a plan to help the governors and states reopen. Then, let the economic and health care policy experts design parameters and needs.
We cannot open the whole country by May 15. It's possible we can only open very little on May 1. But set the date, Mr. President. Then get the economics and health care experts to find an appropriate balance.
All the public needs right now is a plan, which they will know is contingent on variables. Then turn the White House press briefings into daily briefings addressing whether we are hitting the metrics to meet the campaign goals -- and if not, why. Let the American people know, and provide reasonable expectations of a timeline. Get the country gearing up to open again.
We are one nation of 50 pretty unique states, with 3,143 counties, parishes and equivalent regions. There are 41,702 zip codes in the United States. They are not all the same, and one-size-fits-all planning will not work for them. Setting out objective criteria each one must meet, the resources and testing they must have, and the rules necessary for reopening are critical now.
Give Americans a timeline, goals and criteria, and let us all get invested in reopening.
alternative titles:
The Fuse Is Burning
or
Our Economy Is Dying
Erickson turns out to be a fair-weather fan. Who would’ve thunk it?
I am really of two minds.
On one hand, if everyone behaved as if they were contagious, and- not being a sociopath - wished to do everything to avoid infecting others, IOW shelter in place, distancing, etc, then the ‘curve’ would be as flat as possible. Of course, we will all eventually be exposed to this virus, but the more it’s spread out, the better care people can receive and the more time is bought for a cure and/or vaccine.
On the other, I do not think that ANY governmental entity, feral, state, or local, should even begin to have the authority to tell any person or business where they can go when they must close. I want so little government that it couldn’t even close a deli, to say nothing of enforcing ‘shelter in place’, and any politician declaring ‘Martial Law’ or any cop or soldier enforcing it should be strung up, on the spot, slowly.
Stanford study shows cases are undercounted by 50-85 fold.
Not percent - fold.
Note deaths aren’t undercounted. Asymptomatic cases are mussed, but not severe acute respiratory syndrome.
No basis for lockdown now.
Select hot spots need to be isolated from the rest of the country.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1.full.pdf
President Trump is Light-Years ahead of the Liberal Left.
The White House has other fish to fry, rather than to wet-nurse the
Gov’s. of States, -that are looking to pin their problems on the Fed’s.
Never, ever trust a NeverTrumper. NEVER.
Eric the Fat is a total idiot.
“Erick Erickson”
Stopped right there.
He’s letting governors face their populations and deal with it. Going to be interesting seeing blue zones watch red zones get back at it while they are held hostage by their leaders and fear.
Our response and social distancing has been generally well thought out.
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It worked. Time to back off gradually.
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Coin operated laundromats were allowed open. Can we open up coin operated car washes?
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How about construction? Roofers? Dry wallers, that have always worn face masks? Plumbers? Electricians? These workers nearly never work near each other.
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Family Farmers? Show me a two seat tractor?
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BTW, what can be done to ever socially distance dentists? Barbers? Hairdressers?
I've maintained (and posted) since Day Two that we were (and are) being conned for some nefarious end or other.
Nothing in the interim has convinced me otherwise.
During the debates Donald Trump made some comments about a certain person. Erick Erickson was upset and dis invited him. I too thought he was wrong and had to fight with myself for many month, but when it was clear that that he would get the nomination I would vote for him which I did. I will vote for him again in November.
In the meantime Erick Erickson has changed his mind and seen the good things President Trump has done for the country and will give him his vote in November. He is not a Never Trumper like some are including some Freepers
More time means more the left gains more ground in Civil War II.
Agreed. Look at face masks. Why the big push without a full discussion, such as: shaving? (they don’t work with beards), why aren’t all food handlers (grocery stores) required to wear them?
Shut up Fat Boy.
I dont care what Erick the Red has to say. That he may be spouting something seemingly reasonable, doesn’t mean he’s suddenly trustworthy.
Eff him.
We just announced the plan. It involves using the CDC’s “early detection system”, to catch outbreaks, so we can then throw the kitchen sink at the outbreaks (ramped-up testing, contact tracing, possibly limited lockdowns, pushing out PPE, making sure hospitals are ready).
It is a clever thing I hadn’t thought of. They apparently have gone back and looked at their pandemic data, and can see that it caught the breakouts we’ve seen, and they know now how to interpret it. So we don’t need to run 10 million tests a week, we need to monitor all the hospitals (like we do for flu), and then target things.
When your favorite restaurant was shut down and you didn’t protest over it, the restaurant owner laid off most of his staff.
The staff didn’t pay their rent on April 1st, so their landlord canceled the building project he was going to do this spring.
So the contractor laid off HIS staff ... and canceled his orders for materials and supplies.
And the building supply company owner — who finally had a couple of good years after nearly a decade-long malaise in the aftermath of the LAST economic meltdown — decided to shut down his business and retire.
And you think the President of the United States can micromanage a “re-opening” of this country like you describe? It ain’t happening. The restaurant probably isn’t opening again because it can’t count on you anymore. The landlord slashed his rent because he can’t find any tenants who can pay their original rent anymore. He isn’t doing the building improvement project. The contractor is going to be operating at 40% of his original capacity. And the phone at the building supply company has already been disconnected, so nobody is answering when your stupid “county campaign coordinator” calls and tells him to open on May 15th.
That was an excellent post and, unfortunately, completely over the head of any lurking collectivist toady who might happen across it.
Either that or they do understand and hope to destroy US anyway.
Prolly about 50/50.
He’s locked in, fantasizing about his beloved pop tart Megyn Kelly!
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