Posted on 04/16/2020 5:29:17 AM PDT by DoughtyOne
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COVID-19 Update
As of 04/15/2020 00:00 PDST
Good morning everyone.
Thank you for stopping by to check out the COVID-19 Update.
Links to Data Sources Used to Create the COVID-19 Update: Located near the bottom of this post.
Links to other resources: Near the bottom of this post.
Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information3: Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)
Johns Hopkins Univeristy vs WorldoMeters
The day before yesterday, I found the Johns Hopkins University's data, less than
desired. The numbers for France fell by 13,050 cases. As of this time, they still
haven't corrected the count. Thinking perhaps there was a reason, I checked on the
WorldoMeters site. It's number was very close to what JHU had before the loss of
those cases. In addition to that, the JHU data has been as much as 38,000 cases
behind WoM's cases. A good portion of that resulted from the lost count from
France.
I've had some problems over time, and it has finally come time to switch data
sources. It was a pain in the posterior to do, but I spend six hours yesterday
not just convering my system to take WoM data, but also to keep it harmonized so
that if something should happen to WoM, I will be able to use JHU again.
There are now over 220 entities that I am tracking on my database. There were
four nations on JHU that aren't on WoM. There are some on WoM that weren't on
JHU. From now on I'm going to pick up every nation carried by either data provider.
There will be some issues with yesterday's numbers. We started out the day today
with the JHU numbers that were about 25,000 down from WoM's numbers. Then we
are ending up the day with WoM numbers that are still well over 10,000 cases
higher than JHU. So what this means is that for this one day, we are going to
be playing catch up, by jumping on the WoM system.
As best I can, I'll try to address figures I am certain were affected by this
dynamic as I make my comments here today.
This is a one day only problem, and it's not really a problem. We'll be getting
a more reliable feed of data, and we haven't really lost anything.
I honestly didn't know if I was going to be able to supply the update this
morning. Luckily, I wrapped up the repairs to the system and things ran smoothly
for the last update of the day. We're good to go...
the Mortality Report
The Mortality Figures Have Become of Interest Due to Perceptions of them Dropping
Here are the figures for the growing totals for four entities.
global osChina osUS
. Global osChina
DATE the US . . Global
-
03/07 17 480 497 3,594
03/08 21 685 706 3,825
03/09 26 864 890 4,026
03/10 28 1,094 1,122 4,284
03/11 38 1,428 1,466 4,638
03/12 40 1,508 1,548 4,720
03/13 47 2,189 2,236 5,429
03/14 57 2,573 2,630 5,833
03/15 69 3,227 3,296 6,513
03/16 85 3,839 3,924 7,154
03/17 113 4,599 4,712 7,954
03/18 140 5,407 5,547 8,810
03/19 196 6,557 6,753 10,030
03/20 252 7,858 8,110 11,399
03/21 329 9,411 9,740 13,049
03/22 396 10,909 11,305 14,706
03/23 428 12,632 13,060 16,563
03/24 581 14,766 15,347 18,919
03/25 753 16,890 17,643 21,308
03/26 1,301 19,484 20,785 24,077
03/27 1,704 22,762 24,466 27,761
03/28 2,229 25,293 27,522 30,852
03/29 2,488 28,226 30,714 34,018
03/30 3,170 31,345 34,515 37,820
03/31 4,055 34,987 39,042 42,354
04/01 5,112 38,837 43,949 47,261
04/02 6,095 43,743 49,838 53,160
04/03 7,403 48,208 55,611 58,937
04/04 8,454 53,012 61,466 64,795
04/05 9,620 56,563 66,183 69,514
04/06 10,943 60,542 71,485 74,816
04/07 12,875 65,937 78,812 82,145
04/08 14,797 70,417 85,214 88,549
04/09 16,691 75,718 92,409 95,745
04/10 18,747 80,667 99,414 102,753
04/11 20,580 84,948 105,528 108,867
04/12 22,115 88,813 110,923 114,269
04/13 23,644 92,745 116,389 119,730
04/14 26,064 102,347 123,411 126,753
04/15 28,554 102,789 131,343 134,685
Here's the chart to go along with those figures.
All of the figures for yesterday are going to look elevated. Please review the
last number in each section for this one day, without being too analytical regarding
the larger growth yesterday. Thanks, and sorry for the problem.
Here are figures revealing the daily growth for those four entities.
global osChina osUS
. Global osChina
DATE the US . . Global
-
03/08 4 205 209 231
03/09 5 179 184 201
03/10 2 230 232 258
03/11 10 334 344 54
03/12 2 80 82 82
03/13 7 681 688 709
03/14 10 384 394 404
03/15 12 654 666 680
03/16 16 612 628 641
03/17 28 760 788 800
03/18 27 808 835 856
03/19 56 1,150 1,206 1,220
03/20 56 1,301 1,357 1,369
03/21 77 1,553 1,630 1,650
03/22 67 1,498 1,565 1,657
03/23 32 1,723 1,755 1,857
03/24 153 2,134 2,287 2,356
03/25 172 2,124 2,296 2,389
03/26 548 2,594 3,142 2,769
03/27 403 3,278 3,681 3,684
03/28 525 2,531 3,056 3,091
03/29 259 2,933 3,192 166
03/30 682 3,119 3,801 3,802
03/31 885 3,642 4,527 4,534
04/01 1,057 3,850 4,907 4,907
04/02 983 4,906 5,889 5,899
04/03 1,308 4,465 5,773 5,777
04/04 1,051 4,804 5,855 5,858
04/05 1,166 3,551 4,717 4,719
04/06 1,323 3,979 5,302 5,302
04/07 1,932 5,395 7,327 7,329
04/08 1,922 4,480 6,402 6,404
04/09 1,894 5,301 7,195 7,196
04/10 2,056 4,949 7,005 7,008
04/11 1,833 4,252 6,085 6,085
04/12 1,535 3,865 5,400 5,402
04/13 1,529 3,932 5,461 5,461
04/14 2,420 4,602 7,022 7,023
04/15 2,490 5,442 7,932 7,932
Here's the chart to go with it
I don't like the look of this, and I'm sure you don't either. I thing we need
to see how things look tomorrow this time, after the new data source has had a
complete day to balance out. Hang in there.
EOD ACCUM INCR
DAILY OVER DAILY
DEATH PREV PERCENT
DATE TOTALS DAY GROWTH
-
03/14 57
03/15 69 12 21.05%
03/16 85 16 23.19%
03/17 113 28 32.94%
03/18 140 27 23.89%
03/19 196 56 40.00%
03/20 252 56 28.57%
03/21 329 77 30.56%
03/22 396 67 20.36%
03/23 428 32 8.08%
03/24 581 153 35.75%
03/25 753 172 29.60%
03/26 1,301 548 72.78%
03/27 1,704 403 30.98%
03/28 2,229 525 30.81%
03/29 2,488 259 11.62%
03/30 3,170 682 27.41%
03/31 4,055 885 27.92%
04/01 5,112 1,057 26.07%
04/02 6,095 983 19.23%
04/03 7,403 1,308 21.46%
04/04 8,454 1,051 14.20%
04/05 9,620 1,166 13.79%
04/06 10,943 1,323 13.75%
04/07 12,875 1,932 17.66%
04/08 14,797 1,922 14.93%
04/09 16,691 1,894 12.80%
04/10 18,747 2,056 12.32%
04/11 20,580 1,833 9.78%
04/12 22,115 1,535 7.46%
04/13 23,644 1,529 7.46%
04/14 26,064 2,420 10.24%
04/15 28,554 2,490 9.56%
This chart tracks the daily inrease over the previous day, the middle column there.
This doesn't look good either, but we know part of the reason why things look so
elevated. Tomorrow...
The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United States of America
Numbers Here Went up Considerably Yesterday
Declared Cases in the United States
EOD DAY'S INCR'SD
DATE CASES GRWTH GROWTH
-
03/20 19,624 5,374 539
03/21 26,747 7,123 1,749
03/22 35,206 8,459 1,336
03/23 46,442 11,236 2,777
03/24 54,893 8,789 -2,427
03/25 60,197 13,966 5,177
03/26 85,991 16,794 2,828
03/27 104,839 18,848 2,054
03/28 124,665 19,826 978
03/29 143,025 18,360 -1,466
03/30 164,620 21,595 3,235
03/31 189,624 25,004 3,409
04/01 216,721 27,097 2,093
04/02 245,559 28,838 1,741
04/03 278,458 32,899 4,061
04/04 312,237 33,779 899
04/05 337,638 25,401 -8,378
04/06 368,376 30,738 5,337
04/07 399,929 31,553 815
04/08 435,160 35,231 3,678
04/09 466,299 31,139 -4,092
04/10 501,609 35,310 4,171
04/11 529,951 28,342 -6,968
04/12 557,590 27,639 -703
04/13 582,594 25,004 -2,635
04/14 609,516 26,922 1,918
04/15 644,348 34,832 7,910
That's not to be unexpected. We picked up larger numbers in all catergories yesterday
and that's even in good categories. I hated having to change the date collection
system, but the data will be more reliable from now own. I spent six hours convering
my data collection system yesterday evening and night. I think it was worth it.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, & Serious/Critical Cases
in the United States
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous
ACTIVE SERIOUS
DATE FATAL RECOV RESOLV CASES CRITICAL
-
03/20 252 152 404 19,220
03/21 329 176 505 26,242
03/22 396 178 574 34,632
03/23 428 178 606 45,836
03/24 581 354 935 54,296
03/25 753 619 1,372 67,825
03/26 1,301 1,868 3,169 82,822
03/27 1,704 2,622 4,326 100,513
03/28 2,229 3,231 5,460 119,205
03/29 2,488 4,562 7,050 135,975
03/30 3,170 5,507 8,677 155,943
03/31 4,055 7,251 11,306 178,318
04/01 5,112 8,878 13,990 202,731 5,005
04/02 6,095 10,403 16,498 229,061 5,421
04/03 7,403 12,283 19,686 258,772 5,787
04/04 8,454 14,825 23,279 288,958 5,870
04/05 9,620 17,977 27,597 310,041 8,702
04/06 10,943 19,810 30,753 337,623 8,983
04/07 12,875 22,711 34,586 365,343 9,169
04/08 14,797 22,891 37,688 397,472 9,279
04/09 16,691 25,928 42,619 423,680 10,011
04/10 18,747 27,314 46,061 455,548 10,917
04/11 20,580 30,502 51,082 478,869 11,471
04/12 22,115 32,634 54,749 502,841 11,766
04/13 23,644 36,948 60,592 522,002 12,772
04/14 26,046 38,820 64,884 544,632 13,473
04/15 28,554 48,708 77,262 567,086 13,487
We bumped up over the 2,000 fatalities line again, but I wouldn't be surprised to see
us dip below that number today. Things were looking better, and with a stable data
source we'll be able to make better assessments. Things have looked good recently, and
I think we're on the right track. Wish I could have confirmed that today.
Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie Continues to Grow
There are a number of factors than can have impact on why we have so many of the global
cases. Perhaps we're ramping up the testing more than others.
Here is what those numbers looked like at the end of the day yesterday. Maybe the virus
was here a lot earlier than we thought. It's hard to tell.
DECLARED DAY'S ACTIVE DAY'S
DATE CASES CHGE CASES CHGE
-
03/20 7.125% 1.297% 10.934% 1.552%
03/21 8.704% 1.579% 13.000% 2.066%
03/22 10.377% 1.673% 15.343% 2.343%
03/23 12.170% 1.793% 17.411% 2.068%
03/24 13.053% 0.883% 18.369% 0.958%
03/25 14.657% 1.604% 20.190% 1.821%
03/26 16.140% 1.483% 21.454% 1.264%
03/27 17.530% 1.390% 22.920% 1.466%.
03/28 18.742% 1.212% 24.126% 1.206%
03/29 19.762% 1.020% 25.289% 1.163%
03/30 20.936% 1.174% 26.777% 1.488%
03/31 22.045% 1.109% 27.885% 1.108%
04/01 23.110% 1.065% 29.120% 1.235%
04/02 24.160% 1.050% 30.482% 1.362%
04/03 24.886% 0.726% 31.057% 0.575%
04/04 25.935% 1.049% 32.400% 1.343%
04/05 26.464% 0.529% 32.866% 0.466%
04/06 27.324% 0.860% 34.153% 1.287%
04/07 27.930% 0.606% 34.854% 0.701%
04/08 28.634% 0.704% 36.125% 1.271%
04/09 29.091% 0.457% 36.790% 0.665%
04/10 29.523% 0.432% 37.363% 0.573%
04/11 29.812% 0.289% 37.872% 0.509%
04/12 30.124% 0.312% 38.500% 0.628%
04/13 30.332% 0.208% 38.714% 0.214%
04/14 30.537% 0.205% 39.364% 0.650%
04/15 30.888% 0.351% 39,489% 0.125%
I mentioned I don't like to make much of the numbers since they were larger and not
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland China
Global Cases have pretty much leveled off, Outside M/L China
Rather than tell you what to expect here, I'll let your see it for yourself.
One thing I can say is that this does toss a blemish on my day of the week study.
We'll have to keep in mind why this day's numbers were so big, when we look back
at the chart that will show a large jump up for yesterday.
Yes, back to still more numbers...
EOD DAY'S INCR'SD
DATE CASES GROWTH GROWTH - compared to day before
-
03/20 194,148 30,824 5,185
03/21 225,932 31,784 963
03/22 257,820 31,888 104
03/23 297,172 39,352 7,464
03/24 341,530 41,462 2,110
03/25 390,378 48,848 7,386
03/26 451,006 60,628 11,780
03/27 516,124 65,118 4,490
03/28 583,107 66,983 1,865
03/29 641,588 58,481 -8,502
03/30 704,051 62,463 3,982
03/31 777,887 73,836 11,373
04/01 855,389 77,502 3,666
04/02 933,937 78,548 1,046
04/03 1,036,395 102,458 23,910
04/04 1,121,349 84,954 -17,054
04/05 1,193.215 71,866 -13,088
04/06 1,265,487 72,272 386
04/07 1,349,117 83,630 11,358
04/08 1,436,669 87,552 3,922
04/09 1,519,961 83,292 -4,260
04/10 1,616,016 96,055 12,763
04/11 1,694,570 78,554 -17,501
04/12 1,767,831 73,261 -5,293
04/13 1,838,067 70,236 -3,025
04/14 1,912,638 74,571 4,335
04/15 2,003,756 91,118 16,547
Tonight's numbers from WoM were at least 20,000 higher than what JHU had online. When
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Crical Cases
Globally, Excluding M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous
ACTIVE SERIOUS
DATE FATAL RECOV RESOLV CASES CRITICAL
-
03/20 8,110 16,393 24,503 169,645
03/21 9,740 19,995 29,735 196,197
03/22 11,305 25,485 36,790 221,030
03/23 13,060 28,470 41,530 258,538
03/24 15,347 35,256 50,603 290,927
03/25 17,643 40,467 58,210 332,168
03/26 20,785 48,084 68,869 382,137
03/27 24,466 56,801 81,267 434,857
03/28 27,522 64,777 92,299 490,808
03/29 30,714 76,342 107,056 534,532
03/30 34,515 89,989 124,504 579,547
03/31 39,052 102,121 141,163 636,724
04/01 43,949 118,092 162,041 693,348
04/02 49,838 135,204 185,042 748,895
04/03 55,611 150,014 205,625 839,770
04/04 61,466 170,309 231,775 889,574 41,993
04/05 66,183 185,921 252,104 941,111 45,633
04/06 71,485 208,635 280,120 985,367 47,201
04/07 78,812 224,264 303,076 1,046,041 47,743
04/08 85,214 253,546 338,760 1,097,909 47,990
04/09 92,409 278,059 370,468 1,149,493 49,001
04/10 99,443 299,451 398,894 1,217,122 49,692
04/11 105,528 326,847 432,375 1,262,195 50,485
04/12 110,928 352,960 463,888 1,303,943 50,735
04/13 116,389 375,551 491,940 1,346,127 51,035
04/14 128,411 407,858 531,269 1,381,369 51,490
04/15 131,343 437,452 568,795 1,434,961 51,043
When you look at those resolved cases there, the jump is over 37.5k. That's a big
Grrrrrrrr...
Flattening...
Well, you couldn't tell it by the numbers below, but I'm confident Thursday's numbers
will once again confirm we're on the right track. If not I'll give everyone a
refund tomorrow.
Lets review the situation again.
Here: (case growth)
-
Global (EC) Global
the Minus Excluding
U. S. the U. S. China
03/29 19,826 38,955 58,481
03/30 21,595 40,868 62,463
03/31 25,004 48,832 73,836
04/01 27,097 50,405 77,502
04/02 28,838 49,710 78,548
04/03 32,899 69,559 102,458
04/04 33,843 51,111 84,954
04/05 25,401 46,465 71,866
04/06 30,738 41,534 72,272
04/07 31,553 52,077 83,630
04/08 35,231 52,321 87,552
04/09 31,139 52,153 83,292
04/10 35,310 60,745 96,055
04/11 28,342 50,212 78,554
04/12 27,639 45,622 73,261
04/13 25,004 45,323 70,236
04/14 26,922 47,649 74,571
04/15 34,832 56,286 91,118
Again, this is a problem of larger than normal data capture in one day. Back to
normal tomorrow.
Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U. K.
Case growth.
Lets Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:
DATE FRANCE GERMANY ITALY SPAIN The U K - 02/20 12 16 3 2 9 02/25 14 18 322 9 13 03/01 100 117 1,128 76 36 03/06 -- 653 -- 670 -- 4,636 -- 401 -- 164 03/11 2,284 1,966 12,462 2,277 459 03/16 6,650 7,272 27,980 9,942 1,553 03/21 14,485 22,364 53,578 25,496 5,067 03/26 -- 29,566 -- 43,938 -- 80,589 -- 57,786 -- 11,812 03/31 52,819 68,180 105,792 94,417 25,481 04/05 93,780 100,123 128,948 131,646 44,440 04/10 125,931 122,171 147,577 158,273 74,605 04/15 -- 147,863 -- 134,753 -- 165,155 -- 180,659 -- 98,476 - Deaths 17,167 3,804 21,645 18,812 12,868 - Populace 66.274m 83.784m 60.462m 46.755m 67.886m - C P M 1m 2,231 1,608 2.732 3,864 1,450 - D P M 1m 234 42 349 366 182
It was mentioned that my population numbers weren't as accurate as I would have
liked, so I updated these figures and the figures in the study of Sweden just
below. I wouldn't pay attention the numb4ers from line to line here. The
per million figures should still be accurate and worthy of comparison.
Sweden and It's Neighbors, Who Has the Best Tactic Againt COVID-19?
Sweeden is doing their own thing with regard to isolating. It doesn't seem like they
are doing too bad.
Here are some numbers to help us look at this issue.
DATE SWEDEN DENMARK FINLAND NORWAY - 02/21 1 0 1 0 02/26 2 0 1 1 03/02 15 4 6 25 03/07 -- 161 -- 27 -- 19 -- 156 03/12 599 617 59 702 03/17 1,196 1,024 321 1,471 03/22 1,934 1,514 626 2,385 03/27 -- 3,069 -- 2,700 -- 1,041 -- 3,771 04/01 4,947 3,290 1,446 4,877 04/06 7,206 4,875 2,176 5,865 04/11 10,151 6,191 2,905 6,409 04/15 11,927 6,681 3,237 6,798 < 4 days not five - Deaths 1,203 309 72 150 - Populace 10.099m 5.792m 5.541m 5.421m - C P M 1m 1,181 1,153 584 1,254 - D P M 1m 119 53 13 28
It was mentioned that my population numbers weren't as accurate as I would have
liked, so I updated these figures and the figures in the study of Sweden just
below. I wouldn't pay attention the numb4ers from line to line here. The
per million figures should still be accurate and worthy of comparison here also.
Now while their case numbers don't look out of whack, I still can't figure out
why their rate of death is so much higher per million.
Whatever Finland is doing, someone should can it and sell it.
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*
Mainland China numbers make up 00.08% of today's cases globally
Nations With Lots of Cases
At the end of the day yesterday, there were:
1 nation(s) with 600,000 plus (take a bow...) 4 nation(s) with 100,000 to 199,999 4 nation(s) with 50,000 to 99,999 6 natiom(s) with 20,000 to 49,999 8 nation(s) with 10,000 to 19,999 16 nation(s) with 5,000 to 9,999 35 nation(s) with 1,000 to 4,999There are currently 74 nations with a 1,000 count or above...
That's a whole lot of nations there.
A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China
End of day figures follow:
DECLAR DAY'S RESOLVED DAY'S PCT DEC ACTIVE
DATE CASES GROWTH CASES GROWTH CS RESOL CASES
-
03/20 - 275,434 - 30,911 - 99,655 - 3,590 - 36.181% - 175,779
03/21 307,280 31,846 105,425 5,770 34.309% 201,855
03/22 339,259 31,979 113,540 8,115 33.467% 225,719
03/23 - 381,621 - 42,362 - 118,369 - 4,829 - 31.017% - 263,252
03/24 423,121 41,500 127,538 9,169 30.142% 295,583
03/25 472,109 48,998 136,178 8,640 28.845% 335,931
03/26 - 532,788 - 60.679 - 146,749 - 10,571 - 27.544% - 386,039
03/27 598,070 65,282 159,533 12,784 26.675% 438,537
03/28 665,164 67,094 171,077 11,544 25.720% 494,087
03/29 - 723,740 - 58,576 - 186,060 - 14,983 - 25.708% - 537,680
03/30 786,291 62,551 203,926 17,848 25.933% 582,383
03/31 860,181 73,890 220,713 16,085 25.659% 639,468
04/01 - 937,783 - 77,602 - 241,591 - 20,878 - 25.762% - 696,192
04/02 1,016,401 78,618 264,935 23,344 26.066% 751,466
04/03 1,118,921 102,520 285,706 20,771 25.534% 833,215
04/04 - 1,203,923 - 85,002 - 312,068 - 26,362 - 25.931% - 891,855
04/05 1,275,856 71,933 332,513 20,445 26.062% 943,343
04/06 1,348,184 72,328 359,618 27,105 26.674% 988,566
04/07 - 1,431,900 - 83,716 - 383,688 - 24,070 - 26.796% - 1,048,212
04/08 1,519,478 87,848 419,465 35,777 27.606% 1,100,283
04/09 1,602,885 83,407 451,259 31,794 28.153% 1,151,626
04/10 - 1,699,019 - 96,134 - 479,758 - 28,499 - 28.237% - 1,219,261
04/11 1,777,666 78,647 513,239 33,481 28.872% 1,264,427
04/12 1,850,966 73,300 544,892 31,653 29.438% 1,306,074
04/13 1,921,369 70,403 573,019 28,127 29.823% 1,348,350
04/14 1,995,989 74,620 612,427 39,408 30.683% 1,383,562
04/15 2,086,097 90,108 650,029 37,602 31.160% 1,436,068
Over the last ten days, the Global percentage of resolved cases has
The other numbers here, I'll take a pass on commmenting on them. We can get a much
better view tomorrow.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Crical Cases
Globally, Including M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Crital here, courtesy of amorphous
ACTIVE SERIOUS
DATE FATAL RECOV RESOLV CASES CRITICAL
-
03/20 11,399 88,256 99,655 175,779
03/21 13,049 92,376 105,425 201,855
03/22 14,706 98,834 113,540 225,719
03/23 16,563 101,806 118,369 263,252
03/24 18,919 108,619 127,358 295,583
03/25 21,308 114,870 136,178 335,931
03/26 24,077 122,672 146,749 386,039
03/27 27,761 131,772 159,533 438,537
03/28 30,852 140,225 171,077 494,087
03/29 34,018 152,042 186,060 537,680
03/30 37,820 166,088 203,908 582,383
03/31 42,354 178,359 220,713 639,468
04/01 47,261 194,330 241,591 696,192
04/02 53,160 211,775 264,935 751,466
04/03 58,937 226,769 285,706 833,215
04/04 64,795 247,273 312,068 891,855 42,288 ch 295
04/05 69,514 262,999 332,513 943,343 45,898 ch 265
04/06 74,816 284,802 359,618 988,566 47,412 ch 211
04/07 82,145 301,543 383,688 1,048,212 47,932 ch 189
04/08 88,549 330,916 419,464 1,100,283 48,166 ch 176
04/09 95,475 355,514 451,259 1,151,626 49,145 ch 144
04/10 102,782 376,976 479,758 1,219,261 49,833 ch 141
04/11 108,867 404,372 513,239 1,264,427 50,624 ch 139
04/12 114,269 430,623 544,892 1,306,074 50,856 ch 121
04/13 119,730 453,289 573,019 1,348,350 51,151 ch 116
04/14 126,753 485,674 612,427 1,383,562 51,603 ch 113
04/15 134,685 515,344 650,029 1,436,068 51,138 ch 95
I know the numbers don't look good for yesterday, but I remain confident they
Population Saturation
Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one case.
I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this time.
1 CASE IN
THIS NUMBER CHANGE CHANGE
OF PEOPLE ON ON
ENTITY 04/15 04/14 04/13 04/14 04/13
-
Globally : 5,411 5,616 5,763 -205 -147
Outside China : 5,415 5,625 5,772 -210 -147
The U. S. A. : 583 607 633 -24 -26
-
INFECTION LEVEL
OF ENTIRE CHANGE CHANGE
POPULACE ON ON
ENTITY 04/15 04/14 04/13 04/14 04/13
-
Globally : 00.0177% 00.0170% 00.0166% 00.0007% 00.0004%
Outside China : 00.0224% 00.0216% 00.0211% 00.0008% 00.0005%
The U. S. A. : 00.1713% 00.1648% 00.1580% 00.0065% 00.0068%
Hopefully within a week or so, we'll begin to see a better direction here.
I was pretty sure things looked better the day before, but yesterday's
numbers don't look so swell. Even so that rate of infection rate for the U. S.
slowed, even with the big numbers.
Daily Case Report Evaluation
I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certaind days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticably larger because of it.
Let's check out the numbers and a chart.
Wk/of Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon - 03/06 2,223 2,265 2,962 3,801 3,977 3,876 4,411 03/13 4,411 4,680 2,085 17,028 11,031 13,847 12,158 03/20 15,748 20,668 25,700 30,911 31,846 31,979 42,362 03/27 41,500 48,988 60,679 65,282 67,094 58,576 62,551 04/03 73,890 77,602 78,618 102,520 85,002 71,933 72,328 04/10 72,328 87,578 83,407 96,134 78,647 73,300 70,403 04/17 74,620 90,108
Friday's do seem to have a bias in favor of larger reports of new cases.
I'll keep tracking this for at least a few more weeks to give folks a chance to detect
patterns not only on Fridays, but other days as well.
States of the Union and the District of Columbia, Alphabetical & by Case Number
Idea of adding more informaton here, courtesy of Presbyterian Reporter
This little report now provides the number of cases and the deaths. I was going
to add more, but the data set I needed to pull this from, didn't provide that
information.. It's an alphabetical and cases by declining number file.
It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file, so you can do your own
sorting, beyond the two sorts I have provided here. Both the states and the counties
come on one Excell spreadsheet.
Here is the Standing of 200 Counties in the U. S.
This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report just list the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.
It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file, so you can do your own
sorting, beyond the two sorts I have provided here. The States and Counties are
included on the same Excel spreadsheet.
Here's what it's all about. From January 20th to the present.
This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...
Data for this Report Sourced From:
LINK Johns Hopkins University
The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)
LINK WorldoMeters
LINK You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.
Other Features:
LINK US States DC51, Territories5+, and Counties200
Excel Spreadsheet with Alphabetical and Numerically descending Cases
Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own discression.
LINK Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info
LINK CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.
LINK CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around
LINK Coronavirus (COVID-19) Map
LINK COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
New England Journal of Medicine article
LINK On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.
LINK Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712
LINK earlyAlert
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians
LINK IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation
LINK National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)
LINK New York City - interesting breakdown, burough, age, sex
LINK World Health Organization
Please place me on the list.
Thanks.
Will refund checks have your name on it? TY.
Oh yes, and your refund will be delayed while we hash that out.
d":^)
That’s a lot of work right there! Have my hands plenty full just tracking my state and county........
On Wednesday April 1 I began tracking the number of ‘serious, critical’ cases being reported in the USA.
These are the people who may likely die in the next few days.
If the ‘serious, critical’ number goes up, we will likely see more deaths. On the other hand if the various drugs being tested are effective in treating the virus, the ‘serious, critical’ number should go down.
Here are the numbers:
Apr 1 Wed 5005
Apr 2 Thu 5421
Apr 3 Fri 5787
Apr 4 Sat 8206
Apr 5 Sun 8702
Apr 6 Mon 8879
Apr 7 Tue 9169
Apr 8 Wed 9279
Apr 9 Thu 10,011
Apr 10 Fri 10916
Apr 11 Sat 11471
Apr 12 Sun 11766
Apr 13 Mon 12722
Apr 14 Tue 13473
Apr 15 Wed 13487
Yesterday, the number of serious and critical cases only increased by 14 patients. While that is great news, we need to keep in mind that 2482 people died yesterday.
What we need to see is a slowdown in the number of people who are serious/critical and a slowdown in the number of people dying.
Got a question. Are your numbers cumulative for each day or are they incremental? I guessing cumulative. Right?
A FReeper suggested that Finlanders use sauna’s more than any other Nordic country & that it could be an explanation for fewer cases there. I have no idea if that’s true, but we know viruses don’t like heat, so maybe it’s having an effect?
Much recently has been said about the bumping up of fatality numbers encouraged by the CDC with NYC bumping theirs up by some 3000. would that account for some of the recent data trends/are they factored into the data you draw upon?
Wilhem went to the “General Westmoreland School” of counting bodies.
Why was a Chinese scientist stripped of security clearance?
Harvard professor among three charged with lying about Chinese government ties LINK
What were the professor's ties to Wuhan lab?
Expert: Chinese Scientists Sell Lab Animals as Meat on the Black Market LINK
Selling a lie? The outbreak caused by bat soup?
Steven Mosher: ‘Most Likely Explanation’ for Coronavirus Is Wuhan Bioweapons Lab LINK
Meaning it was created in a lab and weaponized. Why?
Stock Markets Retreat As Nervous Investors Pocket Week's Gains LINK
Follow the money, who's waiting in the wings to profit (As early as January 26th)?
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Commits $10 Million to Global Response to 2019-nCOV LINK
Bill Gates Predicted Coronavirus-Like Outbreak in 2019 Netflix Documentary LINK
There has been theories that the Wuhan Bio-lab was funded by George Soros
Jeremy Corbyn's brother Piers claims Bill Gates and George Soros are behind coronavirus in bid to cull world's population with poisoned antidote in bizarre conspiracy theory LINK
Could that be disinfo to cover the real reasons? Just a motive of tanking global economies and install global governance, or simply to take down a president and return to "business as usual" with DUmocrat puppets? A 2015 documentary from Italia RAI (Italian national public broadcaster) covers a Chinese Lab that's engineering of a new virus combining Coronavirus from bats with SARS LINK
The Lab Experiment of BAT WOMAN LINK
Did she get a case of ARKANCIDE?
The DELIVERY SYSTEM LINK
DEEP STATE strikes back?
Fauci: There will be a surprise outbreak (2017) LINK
Who will PROFIT from chaos?
Bill Gates calls for nationwide social isolation policy to slow virus LINK
So, Bill Gates and George Soros both tag-team to fund a Wuhan bat virus study while combining it to infect humans, then create an "antidote" to sell to solve the problem that they themselves created.
Bill Gates Calls For National Tracking System For Coronavirus During Reddit AMA
Bill Gates has got a secret!LINK
Bill Gates Calls For National Tracking System For Coronavirus During Reddit AMA LINK
Bill Gates: Coronavirus Means We Need ‘Digital Certificates’ To Prove Who Received Vaccine LINK
Can I offer you a new tattoo?
Bill Gates, MIT Develop New ‘Tattoo ID’ to Check For Vaccinations LINK
The DELIVERY SYSTEM
The Laptop
The Lugi
The ELEVATOR
Door Handles
Chinese Checkers
Air Mail
“No more for Americans!”
In reviewing a few of the cultural differences it seems to me that Finland is: a) a slightly different ethnic makeup (the Russia and indigenous connection) and, b) they are more rural and c) from all I have read they seem prone to slightly less social connection to one another and perhaps slightly less outgoing -- except for immediate family (I'm comparing that to the outgoing nature of the U.S. and perhaps Sweden).
I believe those differences may offer a clue to the difference in the death rate between the two.
Otherwise, see the chart below for a few metrics.
In my opinion, Sweden did it right! Why the rest of the world did not follow that pattern is something I'm sure will stir debate for a long time. By the way, Sweden was not the only country. I'll save that for another day/
Your insight?
click on image to enlarge
cumulative as reported on worldomater
Top 4 largest cities in Sweden (metropolitan area)
Stockholm – 1,515,017
Gothenburg – 599,011
Malmö – 316,588
Uppsala – 160,462
Top 4 largest cities in Finland (metropolitan area)
Helsinki 1,176,976
Tampere 317,316
Turku 254,671
Oulu 188,279
The DEMOCRATS are the leader in 24 states and the District of Columbia.
There are 485,074 cases and 23,443 deaths in those 25 states and DC.
The REPUBLICANS are the leader in 26 states.
There are 152,345 cases and 4,999 deaths in those 26 states.
Where do you feel safer?
I believe it impacted today on the 16th.
Deaths in the U. S. are over 6,100 today.
Something smells awfully fishy about new classifications
in the neighborhood of 3,700 deaths.
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