[PGR88]

According to CDC in 2018-19, 35.5 million people got sick with influenza, 490,600 hospitalized, , and 34,200 died. That’s a hospitalization rate of 1.3%, and a death rate of just below 0.1%

On the TR, 589 got sick, 4 in the hospital, 1 death. That’s a hospitalization rate of 0.6% (!) and a death rate of 0.16%.

THOSE NUMBERS ARE NO WORSE THAN THE COMMON FLU. The only difference - sailors aboard the TR are younger and healthier than the general American population

Its what we have known already for several weeks about this disease - its has outsized effects only on the very old, or those already sick. NOT young, healthy sailors.

This is why I have ZERO respect for Crozier. He’s had grand total of 5 sailors in sick-bay out of nearly 5,000 due. Is this guy stupid, or a traitor playing politics? A lot of testing and a few extra precautions about the TR and the ship would have been fine.

In the meantime, we have taken America’s most expensive weapons system, which was forward-deployed - and neutralized it.

[Professional]

And...when the Secty of the Navy dealt with it, he was forced/asked to resign...

[cba123]

A bunch of young, fit, Navy sailors have a very low risk profile.

The only people at risk, are basically officers.

The general population, much higher.

[Nero Germanicus]

I think we should wait a while to see what the numbers are after the completion of quarantine.

[DoodleBob]

According to CDC in 2018-19, 35.5 million people got sick with influenza, 490,600 hospitalized, , and 34,200 died. That’s a hospitalization rate of 1.3%, and a death rate of just below 0.1%

Technically, the CDC influenza figure is an estimate....millions of people don't even call a doctor for the flu, and nowadays many of us either go to work sick or work from home. Insofar as many believe there are lots of walking but tame coronavirus cases that aren't being recorded anywhere, the 35.5MM figure is an interesting benchmark but not a useful value for calculation purposes.

The hospitalization figures is also an estimate, but there is a little more fact here vs cases. Thus Hospitalization is probably a good proxy for COVID-19 cases. Thus, your case fatality rate formulae should be influenza deaths/hospitalizations vs coronavirus deaths / confirmed cases.

[Zhang Fei]

[The only difference - sailors aboard the TR are younger and healthier than the general American population]

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7.8% of the military is overweight. 70% of the civilian population is overweight. And because the virus takes up to 6 weeks to work its magic, we won’t know the final hospitalization numbers and death toll for the crew until the end of April or the beginning of May.

https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2016/09/11/the-u-s-military-has-a-huge-problem-with-obesity-and-it-s-only-getting-worse/