Replies

I feel sorry for the English, Dutch, and Swedish people though. Their responses weren’t as timely and appropriate as President Trump’s and it is now a mathematical certainty that a larger percentage of their population will die from COVID-19 by the time things settle in a couple of months.

First of all, let's simply present today's installment of the proper relative comparison of deaths across the world. Below are the April 11th totals for the US and select other countries. While the US' time series ends on Day 18 (which is April 11 - and is basis of the order, i.e., I sorted the data by Day 17 values), I am publishing other countries future totals/'golfer's scores' who are on hole 8 while we're at hole 4.

The US' ranking doesn't look like it'll move from here on out, except with Switzerland with which we're running neck-and-neck. The next nearest country is Luxembourg and the US is good 3800 or so adjusted fatalities ahead of them.

With regard to the assertion made in the article that the US likely won't catch up to the UK, Netherlands, or Sweden...I dunno. If the US has an 18%+ daily rate of increase in fatalities over the next two days, it'll 'catch up' to the Netherlands. The equivalent equalizing growth rates for Sweden and the UK are 28% and 242%, respectively. So, I doubt we'll catch up to the UK and, to a lesser extent, Sweden but I wouldn't yet count out catching up to the Netherlands (though our rate of growth hasn't sped up recently), expecially if they start including COVID-positive car accident fatalities etc in the GitHub data. / sarc (sort of)

And remember, He is the Reason for the Season.

Country	Date of Day 1=day priot to hitting 1,000+ population-adjusted deaths	Day 14	Day 15	Day 16	Day 17	Day 18	Day 19	Day 20
San Marino	3/3/20	68,711	68,711	107,974	107,974	137,421	196,316	196,316
Andorra	3/21/20	68,000	72,250	76,500	89,250	93,500	97,750	106,250
United Kingdom	3/15/20	34,021	41,018	47,016	59,744	78,537	97,497	120,322
West Bank and Gaza	3/25/20	28,167	28,167	28,167	56,334	56,334	-	-
Spain	3/13/20	30,541	35,950	41,855	47,600	53,988	59,222	65,680
Belgium	3/19/20	23,678	28,911	32,686	36,689	41,379	46,669	58,193
France	3/18/20	17,353	19,864	26,521	32,034	37,212	39,762	43,855
Italy	3/5/20	16,291	18,627	22,057	26,395	29,956	33,244	37,308
Netherlands	3/17/20	16,335	19,640	22,189	25,324	28,138	31,273	33,445
Sweden	3/23/20	12,789	15,213	18,848	21,910	25,290	27,746	28,288
Ireland	3/25/20	14,062	15,736	17,611	19,218	21,428	-	-
Switzerland	3/16/20	11,514	13,779	16,619	18,730	20,572	22,683	25,561
United States	3/25/20	12,722	14,695	16,478	18,586	20,463	-	-
Luxembourg	3/17/20	11,810	12,347	15,568	16,105	16,642	16,642	19,326
Macedonia	3/24/20	11,153	12,608	14,063	14,548	15,518	16,488	-
Portugal	3/23/20	9,460	9,973	11,064	12,186	13,116	13,950	15,072
Denmark	3/22/20	9,112	10,131	10,584	11,489	12,338	13,414	13,980
Austria	3/23/20	7,552	8,144	8,995	10,106	10,920	11,809	12,475
Germany	3/25/20	7,990	9,310	10,333	10,967	10,844	-	-
Iran	3/9/20	6,664	7,166	7,649	8,214	8,835	9,404	9,954
Iceland	3/23/20	3,619	5,428	5,428	5,428	5,428	6,333	7,238
Cyprus	3/23/20	3,386	3,386	3,386	3,386	3,762	3,762	3,762