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But is it really no worse than flu?
Watts Up With That ^ | 9 Apr 2020 | Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

Posted on 04/09/2020 6:36:42 AM PDT by Politically Correct

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To: xrmusn

They are worthless unless they break down ALL the deaths and quit counting ‘may have had symptoms’


For NYC (About 1/3 of the national deaths), the margins are so large that none of that makes a real difference when assessing the severity.

There are normally about 150 +/-10 deaths per day in NYC from all causes combined. Since last Monday they are averaging about 420/day attributed to COVID-19 - so even if *all* of the normal deaths were misapplied and you “corrected” by shifting 150 deaths per day out of the COVID category, you’d still have a nearly 200% increase in deaths.


41 posted on 04/09/2020 7:37:04 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: Hojczyk
"Maybe the virus has spept the USA and we have herd immunity"

"Maybe, maybe, maybe". Without testing, we simply DO NOT KNOW.

Get the data FIRST, THEN reopen the economy IF THE DATA JUSTIFIES IT.

Pick a population of 100,000K, statistically at random throughout the US, and send them "self-swab" test kits. Then we will KNOW, and "maybe" disappears.

42 posted on 04/09/2020 7:38:07 AM PDT by Wonder Warthog (The Hog of Steel and NRA Life Member)
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To: Macoozie

Whine, whine, whine....you sound like a selfish millenial.

Screw off! And leave serious discussion to the adults here.


43 posted on 04/09/2020 7:41:17 AM PDT by Wonder Warthog (The Hog of Steel and NRA Life Member)
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To: RayChuang88

Also, you really wonder why California experienced an unusual cold/flu season this year with a LOT of people in December 2019/January 2020 getting stronger than normal bouts of common cold and influenza. Is it possible COVID-19 went through California


No. It is not plausible that large numbers of COVID-19 cases were happening in the US at that time. Enough pneumonia cases would have resulted in x-rays or CT-scans that the distinctive patterns would have been noted and correlated, many times over. They could plausibly have misrecognized them as SARS at first, but they could not have missed so many examples.


44 posted on 04/09/2020 7:41:47 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: lepton

It could have mutated.


45 posted on 04/09/2020 7:42:40 AM PDT by crusty old prospector
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To: lepton

“Well, except that if you or your employees become infected, their physical bodies become an elevated danger to others. One can attribute the level of danger that is, but it does enter into the calculations.”

According to Malthus, your physical presence on this planet is an elevated danger to me.

According to LaRaza your physical presence in Azatlan is a danger to others.

According to AlGore your car and home heating is killing everybody on the planet.

Do you see the logical fallacies in your argument, or do I need to point them out?

Yeah, you know what you are doing.
A feeble attempt, but well-played none the less.


46 posted on 04/09/2020 7:44:43 AM PDT by Macoozie (Handcuffs and Orange Jumpsuits)
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To: Politically Correct

“The case fatality rate, as a fraction of all closed cases admitted to intensive care, is thus a little over 50%, compared with only 22% for the non-COVID viral pneumonias of the past three years. “

SO, this virus is 2.27 times as deadly as the flu.

NOT ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY A NATIONAL SHUTDOWN and the traumatic results to peoples lives and bringing them financial disaster, and a national economic catastrophe......


47 posted on 04/09/2020 7:45:00 AM PDT by Arlis
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To: Wonder Warthog

What adults?

Those of which you speak are disgruntled babies seeking to justify their own misguided failure to comprehend.


48 posted on 04/09/2020 7:45:13 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Progressives are existential American enemies)
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To: xrmusn; cuban leaf; abb; kabar; DoughtyOne; impimp; CodeJockey
The CV fatality statistics are now so corrupted that they can no longer be used for measurement purposes.

I - along with a few others - have been tracking various CV sources and reports for weeks now. Last week news started surfacing about the extent of CV miss-classification (in order to receive federal medical reimbursements).

It is now obvious from the reporting sources that this is what is occurring. There are now large statistical anomalies and trend reversals - far outside any prior patterns, especially matched against prior control groups.

So, forget CV mortality rates or infection rates ("cases"). The fog of war has indeed completely obscured the battleground. As of now, we have to go on intuition, and trust that Trump has good instincts.

49 posted on 04/09/2020 7:45:50 AM PDT by semantic
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To: Still Thinking
It seems to shake out the 'weak and infirm'; the healthy may
even have already contracted Covid-19 and recovered, while
those less fortunate succumbed to what passed for pneumonia.

For instance, here is the chart for US Pneumonia Deaths -
Weekly .. note how deaths attributed to staight-away
pneumonia have mysteriously 'trailed off':


50 posted on 04/09/2020 7:47:46 AM PDT by _Jim (Save babies)
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To: shelterguy

“You don’t understand the current situation.

You have no idea what this disease does to a person.

You have no experience with serious medical issues.”

Your Logical Fallacies are compounded.

Do you even realize how weak your statements are?

My responses, with just as equal force are:

Yes I do.
Yes I do.
Yes I do.

Like arguing with a child.

Now, go clean your room! No desert for you!


51 posted on 04/09/2020 7:50:10 AM PDT by Macoozie (Handcuffs and Orange Jumpsuits)
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To: Macoozie

Well, you’ve shown you have no comprehension of magnitudes, nor differentiations between even the most broad types of danger (physical, proximal, intellectual, moral), nor probabilities, and equate unproven nebulous hypotheses with your failure to understand disease theory.


52 posted on 04/09/2020 7:54:27 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: Macoozie

In the last three years my son has spent nearly 300 days in the hospital due to an illness that has symptoms exactly like the coronavirus.

It starts in the lungs and raises holy hell.

Do you want to know what a cytokine storm does to someone? Ask me. I saw it every day for months.


53 posted on 04/09/2020 7:55:24 AM PDT by shelterguy
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To: lepton
As to why everything has been shut down, that’s largely because of NYC...which actually has a very serious issue and is the center of national screaming about most everything.

I have not seen anything that says COVID-19 is 20x worse than the seasonal flu, so I'd appreciate some context. It's 20x worse as far as what? Contagiousness? Mortality?

The last I heard, NYC still allows mass-transit on subways and buses. If you wanted to create a viral cesspool, mass-transit is the way to go. I don't care what precautions one takes--they should've shut down their mass transit system weeks ago, if they thought this was an issue.

Where are you, Mayor DeBlasio? The world wonders...

54 posted on 04/09/2020 7:55:38 AM PDT by Lou L (Health "insurance" is NOT the same as health "care")
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To: semantic

Add to that that even the “official” death numbers tell me that only two people within a 70 mile radius of me have died of this virus. I have more important things to worry about, like the survival of the businesses around me that have been shut down due to this farce.


55 posted on 04/09/2020 7:56:05 AM PDT by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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To: Wonder Warthog

“Screw off! And leave serious discussion to the adults here.”

Awe, Sweetie, you crapped your bloomers again?

Typical, sheeple. Those goobermint checks all these years have made you weak minded.

Your Constitution is being shredded and you go quietly along.


56 posted on 04/09/2020 7:56:15 AM PDT by Macoozie (Handcuffs and Orange Jumpsuits)
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To: Arlis

SO, this virus is 2.27 times as deadly as the flu.


So you’re saying that what you got out of this is that it is only possible for anything at all to be 4.45 times as deadly as the flu?


57 posted on 04/09/2020 7:56:42 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: Lou L

A few of us have been saying that - that NYC should’ve shut down the subways - WEEKS ago! Especially, after the GCS spreader was ID’d, so publicly.

DeBlob, and CuCu Cuomo, have been TOTAL FAILURES on this entire CV debacle.

The entire metro should’ve been quarantined.

They allowed those spreaders to go about, freely, on subways, tunnels, trains, etc....and, beyond.


58 posted on 04/09/2020 7:59:34 AM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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To: lepton

“your failure to understand disease theory.”

Logical Fallacy:
1 Argument from Authority
2 Strawman

My argument has nothing to do with disease theory, so your quoting scholarly works has no bearing.

My argument lies in the Constitution.

There is no legal basis for shutting down the entire country, and the economic damage this shutdown will cause will be far worse than the ChiComflu.

You have provided nothing to counter that claim.

You want to be held under House Arrest, with no charge, no trial, no judge, to lock yourself in your hovel, and shiver in the cold and dark. And to condemn others, with less, to a worse fate.

To quote the latest child tyrant: “How dare you!”

For me? Maximum Liberty for US Citizens.
Go about your life, with those of like mind.
Speech, association, religion , those things matter to me.

For you? I guess not so much.


59 posted on 04/09/2020 8:09:40 AM PDT by Macoozie (Handcuffs and Orange Jumpsuits)
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To: semantic

The CV fatality statistics are now so corrupted that they can no longer be used for measurement purposes.
= = = = = = = = = = = = = =
Yes, ‘foolish example’ but if a plane with 300 passengers were to crash and no survivors, if ONE of the crew may have ‘shown signs’ of CV all 300 or so deaths would be attributed TO CV..

Now, if they said the 300 or so died as a result of CV, it could/would be a factual statement
BUT
‘they’ should not be counted as HAVING CV, which these clowns are prone to do.


60 posted on 04/09/2020 8:10:00 AM PDT by xrmusn (6/98"HRC is the Grandmother that lures Hansel & Gretel to the pot")
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