Posted on 04/07/2020 10:44:52 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Updated model projects far fewer hospital beds will be needed to cope with the CCP virus epidemic in the United States. But the model still doesn’t match reality as there were overall fewer CCP virus hospitalizations than the model assumed already on the day the updated version was released.
The model was developed by the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). It’s previous update from April 1 predicted the country would need 120,000 to 430,000 hospital beds for the virus patients on April 16, when it indicated the epidemic was to peak.
Some online commentators and media, including The Epoch Times, pointed out the projections didn’t measure up to reality, massively overstating the hospital capacity needs in most states.
The projections are important because the main point of current stringent government interventions is to “flatten the curve” of new infections, so the healthcare system doesn’t get overwhelmed with a sudden influx of patients. If the government expects unrealistic number of patients, the mitigation measures may be off too. Indeed, the model was repeatedly referenced by Dr. Deborah Birx, the response coordinator of the White House coronavirus task force, during President Donald Trump’s daily press briefings on the pandemic.
On the evening of April 5, IHME updated its model, slashing the peak expected hospital capacity needs to about 73,000-285,000 beds, while moving the peak to April 15.
The updated model still expected the country would need roughly between 8,000 and 96,000 extra hospital beds at the peak of the epidemic.
But the model again failed to match reality.
Already on April 5, of the 18 states with available daily hospitalization data, the model’s mean estimates overshot for 15 of them. Even the low bound of the model’s estimates was too high for 10 of the states.
(Excerpt) Read more at theepochtimes.com ...
The trick is to figure out if the covid triggered them to die from their other co morbid conditions or not when they might have otherwise survived a different bug. One might make a logical presumption that the stress of the covid infection caused exacerbations with their co-morbidities causing them to perish, thus Covid19 was the likely primary cause. The error being made is that such a person is presumed died of covids without post mortem testing for a positive or negative infection. That is wrong and attempts to do that by dem commies wanting to pad the numbers need to be slapped down.
Don’t forget all uninsured patients will be paid for by the Fed. NYC can now feed the city hospital machinery indefinitely. Need medical care, cough/cough/aches/short breathe, step right in for some Corona care.
That is true, but today’s numbers are purported to be back on the track of predictions, at least in New York.
With the constant changes in the infections rate, posting an article three days old, is not informing us, and in fact giving us mis information.
The article is from the the 5th. Today is the 7th.
We’re into the third day...
Well,you can track ot here and so far, it ain’t bad:
https://www.sccgov.org/sites/phd/DiseaseInformation/novel-coronavirus/Pages/dashboard.aspx?mc_cid=c6d22cdc52&mc_eid=cd2c05bcad
kind of looks like you have a better chance of getting VD....
Loose Women!
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