Posted on 04/07/2020 2:26:17 AM PDT by 867V309
The number of people hospitalized across the United States as a result of the novel coronavirus illness (COVID-19) is reportedly only a fraction of what some health experts projected a few days ago.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Trump winning again.
LMAO @ Older and wiser!!
The Government is not taking control of everything.
They’re are trying to control the infection rates and that’s it.
If you and many others believe this is “IT”......the real thing, grab your rifle, muster up the men, and most of all DO NOT VOTE FOR TRUMP, because he started this whole “ take over”....... and go take back what you feel you have lost.
Either you believe Trump or you don’t.
Either you’re standing with him or not.
The President has set in place all of the National lock downs.
I suppose he’s part of the take down Trump folks too?
I trust the President and don’t see anything dangerous on the Federal level as of yet.
So do something and get off the keyboards if we are now in danger, as you say.
It's no way to win an argument either.
Figures don’t lie, but liars figure.
Great news.
Personally, I shall be happy to see the back end of that freak Fauci.
Hope he plans to retire and SOON.
Dumb statement. You couldn’t destroy the economy and small business if you tried.
Covid-1984 is the biggest scam in history. Goes to show how many gullible morons there are.
As the news gets better, your posts become rarer than my last steak tartar.
You were beating the doom and gloom drum for weeks, and while it is a pandemic, if it hits the level of the 2018-2019 regular flu season numbers {80,000 deaths} in the USA, I will be surprised.
It's bad, but it is way over blown, and you are one of the mini-over-blowers.
You have been an absolute liberal-like chicken little over this chi-com virus.
Get a grip on reality.
The bakery is in a residential area and would have steady business until the store is forced to close for whatever reason.
Their customers are hooked..
You do realize that the U.S. population is 5 times that of Italy and 7 times that of Spain. By showing that our line is in the same ballpark as theirs means our death rate is 5 and 7 times lower!
Is the 75% “drop” in the headline an actual decrease in the number of hospitalizations, or a reduction in the estimate?
You're not concerned about the 'elites' taking chances.
Nope - you come across as a liberal 86 - YOU want the people who make the elite's lives nicer to take the chances. Can I assume your wealthy parents spoiled you and now you're eternally pissed?
Really? I'm not clear on those who made bad business decisions...can you tell us more?
I was posting the real effects of the virus in the wild unmititated, while you FluBros were saying it’s just the common cold.
A month ago I posted the data graphs about what was actually happening in Italy, etc, as a warning about what was heading our way. (And now we can see NYC for ourselves.)
So steps were taken, after warning about the Milan trajectory, (no thanks to the “it’s just a cold” Flubros), and it’s slowly getting wrestled into submission.
If it was up to you “just a cold” FluBros, we’d have sailed full speed right into Guayaquil territory.
You don’t understand how log graphs work, obviously. They are graphing the comparative rates of exponential growth from the same starting points in each country, so it doesn’t matter what the overall population size is until a population reaches way more than a 50% infection rate.
“Shouldn’t the size of the country’s population be taken into account?”
(answer by AndyJackson)
No! That is the point of exponential increases. The important number is the number of newly infected / day divided by the number of presently infected. If it doubles every three days, it doesn’t matter where you start. Soon most of your population will have been infected. The difference between infecting all of Italy and all of the US is about 1/2 of a week.
By plotting the numbers on a log graph you can determine the alpha for each country and as Travis’s plot shows it is pretty much the same country to country.
Now, if you were to show plots for Taiwan or Singapore or China you would see very different patterns because they have broken the chain of multiplication through effective public health measures.”Knowing that Italy, as an example, has 4 times the rate of infection as we do here in this country”
- - - -
You obviously have no scientific training, because you would realize that when you scale effects to the population, there are only two relevant numbers: In calculus it is written as 1/N dN/dt - the fractional increase in cases day over day, and the other is percent of population infected.
The former is about .13 for the US and about .05 for Italy - in other words the “RATE” [rate scientifically means change of a quantity per unit time] of infection in the US is almost 3 times as high as Italy. The second is the fraction of the population infected which is .16% for Italy and .04% for the US. Now why is this latter relevant - because saturation effects will not happen until a significant fraction of the population is infected. Even if both numbers are off by a factor of 100 it would barely effect the rate of spread of the disease.
That Italy has a higher fraction of population infected is because the epidemic has been going in Italy longer than the US - a fact we all know. With cases increasing in the US as they are, it is only a matter of time before we reach the same level of penetration as Italy.
I've always said it is a pandemic, never said it was just the common cold, and I've said it is bad when anyone dies. The average daily death rate in the USA is almost 8,000 a day, every day, from all causes.
32,000 a year die from gunshot wounds {2/3 are suicides} do you want to ban guns?
I know you don't, but you get the point.
During the 2018-2019 flu season, 80,000 Americans died, I doubt that the chi-com virus will kill that many.
The panic is media driven and it is helped by the chicken littles of the world, like you.
There is a difference between reality and sheer panic, and you know it exactly what I'm talking about.
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