[WildHighlander57]

RetiredScientist wrote:

“You might want to suspend judgment until the peak passes. ALL of the predictions are based on MODELS. The statistician, George Box, wrote that “All models are wrong but some are useful.” Gov Coumo has been honest about the use and uncertainty of models. Prudent leaders prepare for the worst and hope for the best. We will know within 1-2 weeks when we have crossed the peak.”

how do you know then that the peak hasn’t already passed?

[RetiredScientist]

I have been plotting the NY Times data set automatically pulled from their github repository (that they update daily) and plotted using the R statistical processing language and R-markdown to prepare plots and reports. The cases in NYC and Monroe County have not yet peaked.