I’ve been fitting cases and deaths in the US using the “Gompertz function” (look it up) as a model. Currently, we are on pace to have a million cases on or about Easter Sunday. And yes, the curve is showing a decrease in the rate of growth; slower than purely exponential.
Cases is a meaningless stat, what are you finding from the deaths curve. Then take out NY/NJ and see what you have. There is a very good chance this virus went through a couple months ago and there is an immunity already.