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Actual Hospitalizations for Coronavirus Significantly Lower than Projections in Model
Breitbart ^ | April 3,2020 | MICHAEL PATRICK LEAH

Posted on 04/04/2020 5:51:31 AM PDT by Hojczyk

click here to read article


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To: USS Alaska

Exactly !!!

Wish FR had a “like” button


21 posted on 04/04/2020 6:35:36 AM PDT by nevermorelenore ( If My people will pray ....)
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To: Hojczyk

Follow the money


22 posted on 04/04/2020 6:36:42 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: fso301

Many are moving from nursing home beds to hospital beds. At any given point in time, a significant number of nursing home patients are in the hospital and not the nursing home where they live.

There is a need for more beds. But how many more is an estimate of probability, just as how many test positive but don’t need hospitalization is a probability. Because the data is so far new and small, the range of probability is very broad from low to high.

Some use the high number to to safe, rather than sorry. Some use the high number to get more attention and money.
Some use the high number to panic the public into taking the matter serioously. Believe it or not, I see many in my southside Atlanta who are not taking it seriously.


23 posted on 04/04/2020 6:41:40 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion

Try comparing it to modelers of the 2016 election.


24 posted on 04/04/2020 6:43:04 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: WildHighlander57

Funeral Homes and directors are licensed solelyt for public health reasons. Nursing homes and staff are licensed primarily for public health reasons.

Government regulation is not working. Should we double down on it or reduce it?

Funeral directors invite humdreds to funerals where the virus is spread by people crying and coughing and sneezing through runny noses while hugging each other.

Nursing Homes bus the elderly to funerals, and to church, where they can exchange virus with those from other nursing homes, and with those not in nursing homes.

Where Funderals and Nursing Homes are predominantly Black, the virus victims are Black. Where Funerals and Nursing Homes are predominantly white, the virus victims are white.


25 posted on 04/04/2020 6:50:11 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: bert

Rush is certainly aware of 2016 election models and now of 2018 and 2020 election models.

All models are wrong. But some models are useful. George Box, leading modeler.


26 posted on 04/04/2020 6:51:49 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: Hojczyk
It no longer matters. The cowards that call themselves americans will allow their country to be torn apart by this dramabug boogeyman.


27 posted on 04/04/2020 6:54:01 AM PDT by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: Hojczyk

“Projections Model”

It’s a term used to validate propaganda. The first time I heard the word “model” used was in conjunction with the global warming scam. From that point on anytime anything was associated with a “model” I knew it had to be bullshit.


28 posted on 04/04/2020 6:55:11 AM PDT by redfreedom
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To: V_TWIN

The hospital ship is for non COVID patients to ease the load from the local hospitals caring for those stricken with the virus. It will fill slowly but surely.


29 posted on 04/04/2020 6:59:11 AM PDT by cornfedcowboy
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To: Hojczyk

Just a guess, but I know they pretty much emptied the hospitals. No elective surgeries are being done. Normal accidents aren’t happening. And Medicare cases are offloaded to rehab places without the “required” stay.

The hospitals have done a great job making beds available. Locally, it is assumed the “surge” isn’t going to start until next week.

But every day, the available bed number is shrinking.


30 posted on 04/04/2020 7:05:35 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: spintreebob

well, it would appear people staying at home and keeping a safe distance is working, in addition they really can’t get correct stats as ‘this entire thing is fast moving and changing’.....


31 posted on 04/04/2020 7:06:55 AM PDT by caww
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To: V_TWIN

The chief of surgery at NYU was saying that it is only being used for post-op recovery. Of which there is very little. He suggested a better use would be for non-ICU Covid patients.


32 posted on 04/04/2020 7:10:25 AM PDT by The Pack Knight
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To: cornfedcowboy

Yeah I’m aware its for non covid patients. Time will tell if it’s really needed.


33 posted on 04/04/2020 7:11:52 AM PDT by V_TWIN
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To: Hojczyk
Unexpected.™℠®©
34 posted on 04/04/2020 7:57:11 AM PDT by MuttTheHoople
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To: The Pack Knight

Didn’t the decide to do that yesterday...use the ship FOR COVID patients?


35 posted on 04/04/2020 8:07:40 AM PDT by goodnesswins (Trump is as good a dictator as he is a racist.....)
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To: spintreebob

My mother died in the middle of last month. The viewing was limited to a few people at a time, all in the same family, not several siblings together with their various family members, so only about 3-4 could go in together. A daughter and husband with a couple kids...more than that had to go in separately. So, not all funerals are being held in large facilities with large numbers. That is an assumption. Not necessarily true. This was in kokomo, Indiana.


36 posted on 04/04/2020 8:09:16 AM PDT by Shery (Pray for righteousness to be restored and for the peace of Jerusalem.)
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To: Gahanna Bob

Yesterday Debbie Birx acknowledged the 93K number for total deaths. That is the one they really believe. Otherwise they never would have let it come out of Andrew Cuomo’s mouth.

Half to a third of those in NY/NJ I reckon.


37 posted on 04/04/2020 8:12:41 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: bert
That ignorance on display is balderacious drivel. It is pure unadulterated vociferous BS.

So, you are truly embarrassed by your tiny size, as you should be.

When someone jumps the shark, they want the shark to know it.

In your case, balderacious and vociferous words are no substitute for size.

The more you rant, the smaller you get.

38 posted on 04/04/2020 8:34:20 AM PDT by USS Alaska (NUKE THE MOOSELIMB, TERRORISTS, NOW!)
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To: Hojczyk

Mathematical models allow you to have a lot of bias masquerading as science.

I hope a lot of people realize these horrific economic restrictions were based on disease models off by a factor of AT LEAST 25.

And climate models are even more subjective, as well as undermined by real world data that contradicts their projections.

Yet the climate doomers are salivating at the Wuhan virus shutdown, saying “We have a bigger crisis, and we need the same powers.”


39 posted on 04/04/2020 8:45:00 AM PDT by tbw2
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To: fso301

Mathematical models allow you to have a lot of bias masquerading as science.

I hope a lot of people realize these horrific economic restrictions were based on disease models off by a factor of AT LEAST 25.

And climate models are even more subjective, as well as undermined by real world data that contradicts their projections.

Yet the climate doomers are salivating at the Wuhan virus shutdown, saying “We have a bigger crisis, and we need the same powers.”


40 posted on 04/04/2020 8:45:11 AM PDT by tbw2
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